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I've also noticed on a few occasions where one plane will be spraying this stuff and then another plane will fly by and its contrail will disappear within like 5- 10 seconds while the other planes contrail will linger for hours
I've sat and watched while a plane was doing the checkerboard pattern, it stopped producing a contrail ,went a bit into the distance and did a U turn and started to produce a contrail again to continue the formation of the checkerboard pattern.
Climate-impacting contrails need ice (super-)saturation to persist longer than a few minutes. However, this simple criterion cannot be easily applied for the prediction of persistent contrails. The current weather forecast models, which lack humidity data for assimilation in the upper troposphere, have difficulties coping with the enormous variability and sharp gradients in the relative humidity field. Thus, ice supersaturation, which is an extremal state of relative humidity, is hard to forecast at a precise location and time to allow contrail-avoiding flight routing. In this paper, we investigate the possibility of using dynamical proxy variables for improved contrail prediction. This idea is guided by the fact that the probability of ice supersaturation differs in different dynamical regimes. Therefore, we determine probability distributions of temperature, water vapour concentration, vertical velocity, divergence, relative and potential vorticity, geopotential height, and lapse rate conditioned on three situations: (a) contrail persistence not possible; (b) contrail persistence possible; and (c) strongly warming persistent contrails possible. While the atmospheric variables are taken from reanalysis data, the conditions (a–c) are based on airborne measurement data and radiation quantities from the reanalysis. It turns out that the vorticity variables, and in particular geopotential and lapse rate, show quite distinct conditional probabilities, suggesting a possibility to base an improved forecast of persistent contrails not only on the traditional quantities of temperature and relative humidity, but on these dynamical proxies as well. Furthermore, we show the existence of long flight tracks with the formation of strongly warming contrails, which are probably embedded in larger ice-supersaturated regions with conditions that foster such contrails. For forecasting purposes, this is a beneficial property since the humidity forecast is easier on large, rather than small, spatial scales.
I've sat and watched while a plane was doing the checkerboard pattern, it stopped producing a contrail ,went a bit into the distance and did a U turn and started to produce a contrail again to continue the formation of the checkerboard pattern.
originally posted by: Zaphod58
a reply to: tacoman101
Not at all. Again, atmospheric conditions. The plane flew out of conditions where contrails formed, and went into a hold, or had to turn back for a mechanical reason, and flew back into the area that contrails formed either while holding, or heading back to the airport they needed to return to.
originally posted by: tacoman101
originally posted by: Zaphod58
a reply to: tacoman101
Not at all. Again, atmospheric conditions. The plane flew out of conditions where contrails formed, and went into a hold, or had to turn back for a mechanical reason, and flew back into the area that contrails formed either while holding, or heading back to the airport they needed to return to.
If thats the case then why didn't it continue to go across the sky back where it came from? Why did it continue to create the checkerboard pattern? I would be more then willing to draw a diagram of what i witnessed if that would help.
originally posted by: tacoman101
a reply to: Zaphod58
Found something that actually makes sense
This
Starts at 14 mins.
This would make sense as to why i seen said plane creating the checkerboard pattern and why i've been noticing it so much around my area being the ozarks. Mountains+Lakes = moisture and lots of it.