in 2026 Two Asteroids To Hit Earth According To NASA JPL

Over the years I have frequently visited the Jet Propulsion Laboratories Near Earth Objects Close Approaches page to keep up with the newly found asteroids which are constantly being discovered. I'm strictly interested in real doom porn so I only check the ones slated to come as close as one lunar distance or less. Now I should clarify just how a lunar distance is measured...it is the distance as measured from the CENTER of the earth to the CENTER of the moon.

(2013 GM3) 2026-Apr-14 17:29 ± 03:18 1.02 | 0.00262 0.01 | 3.53e-5 7.36 7.22 26.3 15 m - 33 m

(2017 RH16) 2026-Sep-01 02:22 ± 04:39 8.03 | 0.02064 0.01 | 2.92e-5 13.41 13.40 25.6 20 m - 45 m

cneos.jpl.nasa.gov...

For both asteroids the close approach distance is listed as .01 lunar distances which is equal to 2386.06 miles...close but not too bad right? That is until we subtract the radius of the earth(3959 miles) and the radius of the moon(1079 miles) which puts the impact zone at 2880 miles beneath the surface of the earth. Looks like a direct hit to me...and both of these asteroids are in the size range of the one that exploded over Russia...if not bigger.
2026 is a mere 8 years away.






















c

This intrigued me, because reading your math at face value actually seems like we will have 2 impacts in 2026.

As much as I appreciate your post, I hope you’re wrong. For my daughters sake.

It's a good thing we live under a protective dome then

Too bad it is not happening now.

a reply to: MissSmartypants

Nice work, Miss.

Okay, I am a little spooked, but at least they are small enough that maybe they too will explode before impact, like that one over Russia.

Plenty of time to prepare. If you see a flash, do not go to the window to see what it was! *that is how most of the people who were hurt in Russia were injured*.

One of the pervasive "conspiracy theories" is that the govts of the Earth seem to be prepping for some degree of mass disaster... to protect themselves, anyway.

Aside from human activities which are more likely to kill most of us, my bet is asteroids and the Sun are the likeliest extraterrestrial problems for Earth, as bad things will happen, eventually... it's a certainty.

Enjoy the time we have.

a reply to: MissSmartypants

I'll go bed now. When I wake up I want to see Phage debunking you.

Wouldn't it be 3959 - 2386 = 1573

Could they have already made allowance for the Earth diameter in the approach distance?

a reply to: MissSmartypants

Those readings are based off AU. An astronomical unit is the distance between the earth and the sun. Not the earth and the moon. Re do your calculations based off 93 million miles or 150 million kilometers. It will miss us with room to spare.

Did the math the moon is 0.002566882112227 AU from earth. So these won even get close.

originally posted by: EmmanuelGoldstein
It's a good thing we live under a protective dome then

Yeah man!!!

The affirmament will protect us!

(I heard a young kid in some Sunday School class call it that many years ago, and not one person corrected them, so from that point on, my friends and I would constantly inject the word "affirmament" into casual conversation. C'mon, it was the 70s. We were really bored)

originally posted by: Fowlerstoad
a reply to: MissSmartypants

Nice work, Miss.

Okay, I am a little spooked, but at least they are small enough that maybe they too will explode before impact, like that one over Russia.

Plenty of time to prepare. If you see a flash, do not go to the window to see what it was! *that is how most of the people who were hurt in Russia were injured*.

The first one is estimated to be anywhere from 49 feet in diameter up to 108 feet in diameter. The second one from 65 feet up to 147 feet in diameter. The one in Russia was 65 feet in diameter.

a reply to: MissSmartypants

So not an ELE but could cause quite the destruction depending on where it hit?

Thanks for the news MissSmartyPants!

originally posted by: dragonridr
a reply to: MissSmartypants

Those readings are based off AU. An astronomical unit is the distance between the earth and the sun. Not the earth and the moon. Re do your calculations based off 93 million miles or 150 million kilometers. It will miss us with room to spare.

She needs better pants.

a reply to: MissSmartypants

2013 GM3 minimum is 0.01 LD. Nominal (most likely) is 1.02 LD.
So it's most likely to hit the moon or fly between the Earth and the moon.

2017 RH16 minimum is 0.01 LD. Nominal (most likely) is 8.03 LD.
So it's most likely to fly way past us.

99942 Apophis (2004 MN4) on 2029-Apr-13 OTOH.....:
99942 Apophis (2004 MN4) 2029-Apr-13 21:46 ± < 00:01 0.10 | 0.00025 0.10 | 0.00025 7.43 5.84 19.7 310 m - 680 m

a reply to: MissSmartypants

If you're right, we have 7 years to build two missiles that can be sent out to the asteroids and explode. There's no shortage of nuclear bombs in Earth's inventory.

Uh...might not work in space though. Do nuclear bombs need air for detonation?

a reply to: carewemust

Why? The Tunguska Event was caused by an object that was estimated to have been between 200 and 620 feet. These are a fraction of that size.

originally posted by: dragonridr
a reply to: MissSmartypants

Those readings are based off AU. An astronomical unit is the distance between the earth and the sun. Not the earth and the moon. Re do your calculations based off 93 million miles or 150 million kilometers. It will miss us with room to spare.

Did the math the moon is 0.002566882112227 AU from earth. So these won even get close.

Nope. Wrong. The minimum miss distance for the first one in AUs (Astronomical Units) is 3.53e-5 and for the second one it's 2.92e-5. The figures I listed before are indeed lunar distances. MissSmartypants wrong? Give me a break.

originally posted by: carewemust
a reply to: MissSmartypants

If you're right, we have 7 years to build two missiles that can be sent out to the asteroids and explode. There's no shortage of nuclear bombs in Earth's inventory.

Uh...might not work in space though. Do nuclear bombs need air for detonation?

No, nuclear warheads do not need air to detonate.

However, if your idea is to vaporize the asteroid with a nuke, remember that in the vacuum of space, heat cannot be effectively conducted and the overpressure that is the prime destructive force of a nuke, is the result of air pressure, which does not exist in space.

You might succeed in breaking up the asteroid with a nuke, but then you would have essentially the same mass as the asteroid, heading in the same general direction as the original asteroid, but now broken into somewhat smaller pieces striking a wider area of the Earth.

Rifle bullet, or shotgun blast, which would you prefer to be hit with?

originally posted by: watchitburn

originally posted by: dragonridr
a reply to: MissSmartypants

Those readings are based off AU. An astronomical unit is the distance between the earth and the sun. Not the earth and the moon. Re do your calculations based off 93 million miles or 150 million kilometers. It will miss us with room to spare.

She needs better pants.

That just shows what you know...I'm not wearing any pants.
And dragonridr was wrong and needs to buy a vowel.

Ready!