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The quarter-point hike in the federal funds rate still leaves interest rates only slightly above near-zero levels. But the move shows the central bank believes the U.S. economy has recovered enough from the 2008 financial crisis to start moving rates back to "normal" levels.
But the move shows the central bank believes the U.S. economy has recovered enough from the 2008 financial crisis to start moving rates back to "normal" levels.
First, he asks why the Fed will be hiking when there is "only moderate growth in the economy as a whole, stagnation in the industrial sector, and an uncertain global environment?"
The reason, he said:
Is that although the funds rate has been stuck at zero for seven years, a lot has happened "under the surface". Exhibit 9 shows the federal funds rate and the policy prescriptions from a range of Taylor Rules. For several years after the recession, most standard policy rules said the FOMC should cut rates well below zero, if that were possible. Now, because of the cumulative progress the economy has made since 2009, even relatively cautious versions of the Taylor Rule call for raising the funds rate sometime soon. The rule that we think best describes Fed Chair Yellen's views—which uses the U6 unemployment gap and a zero equilibrium funds rate — says the FOMC should hike at the December or January meeting, if taken literally. Thus, the same basic framework that has kept the Fed at zero — and that has guided our relatively dovish policy views — now suggests the process of normalization should begin.
originally posted by: marg6043
a reply to: mikegrouchy
And as usual the consumer and tax payer will be the only one that will be screw as always.
Hail to the kings.
originally posted by: FamCore
a reply to: mikegrouchy
Can someone PLEASE spell out for me what this means to regular Joe Schmoe?
Does it mean companies have to pay more, so we also have to pay more?
I don't quite get it :/
originally posted by: FamCore
a reply to: mikegrouchy
Can someone PLEASE spell out for me what this means to regular Joe Schmoe?
Does it mean companies have to pay more, so we also have to pay more?
I don't quite get it :/