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Due to our lack of knowledge concerning the physical parameters of comet ISON, they explored a lot of possibilities and conclude that in general the prospect of ISON surviving perihelion is rather high.
So surviving perihelion is one of the possible scenarios. However if this scenario takes place it is rather obvious that the comet will come out smaller in size and weaker in strength than before perihelion. Additionally exceedinly strong jets will certainly alter the rotational parameters maybe placing the comet once again at the edge of disintegration. According to this probable scenario, I have decided to continue with the Red Alert after perihelion in case the comet reaches to this point.
So if you as an observer thought that you were going to rest observing this comet after perihelion, think again. As comet 85P/Boethin has teached us, disruption may take place at any time at any place in the orbit. So the job ahead is to continue monitoring this comet to the limit of out observational and physical capabilities.
So, there are exciting times ahead. This saga has not ended yet.
So, let us go back to our question. Why is comet ISON not disintegrating?
There are two reasons.
(1) The comet is a slow rotator, thus the powerfull centrifugal forces are not at play. This conclusion is supported by the slow rotational period of 15.7 hours that I found for the comet. And
(2) the comet is large, much larger than other comets that disintegrated. So gravity is holding it together. NASA researchers estimated that the nucleus is less than 4 km in diameter. From our own model calculations, the comet is even larger. I would not be surprised if in the final analysis the comet is 4-6 km in diameter. This conclusion is supported by the fact that non-gravitational forces have not been detected on this comet.
Thus comet ISON continues surprising us. And the final surprise would be if it gets in one piece to perihelion and survives in one piece after perihelion. If it does, we will be in the presence of a comet that has broken all records, all predictions and all paradigms, and that will become if not "the comet of the century" (we are only 13 years into the century), at least the "The Great Comet of the Beginning of the Century".
whatnext21
From this Site
and about why the comet has not disintegrated...
So, let us go back to our question. Why is comet ISON not disintegrating?
There are two reasons.
(1) The comet is a slow rotator, thus the powerfull centrifugal forces are not at play. This conclusion is supported by the slow rotational period of 15.7 hours that I found for the comet. And
(2) the comet is large, much larger than other comets that disintegrated. So gravity is holding it together. NASA researchers estimated that the nucleus is less than 4 km in diameter. From our own model calculations, the comet is even larger. I would not be surprised if in the final analysis the comet is 4-6 km in diameter. This conclusion is supported by the fact that non-gravitational forces have not been detected on this comet.
Latest findings point to larger than 3 to 4 km. It also now has a 582,666.54 year orbital period as of today, November 25th, not 400,864.54 provided on November 22nd by Alan B Chamberlain on JPL hmmm
whatnext21
It also now has a 582,666.54 year orbital period as of today, November 25th, not 400,864.54 provided on November 22nd by Alan B Chamberlain on JPL hmmm
Comet ISON is less than 3 miles (4.8 kilometers) in diameter, about the size of a small mountain, and weighs between 7 billion and 7 trillion pounds (3.2 billion and 3.2 trillion kilograms).
mobtek
reply to post by cheesy
Lol bigger than Australia
Comet ISON is less than 3 miles (4.8 kilometers) in diameter, about the size of a small mountain, and weighs between 7 billion and 7 trillion pounds (3.2 billion and 3.2 trillion kilograms).