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I get what the OP is trying to say. Nobody is advocating for skeptics to stop being skeptical. However, there are those who call themselves a skeptic, when all they are really doing is saying, "Nope, no way, not true, you're so stupid if you believe that".
Originally posted by Hefficide
As I sit here smoking my cigarette, I have to say I am a bit skeptical of your premise.
~Heff
Originally posted by Snsoc
I have one word for skeptics.
Cigarettes
In the ganzfeld telepathy test the meta-analytic hit rate with unselected subjects is 32% where chance expectation is 25%. If that 32% hit rate is the "real" telepathy effect, then for us to have a 99% chance of getting a significant effect at p < 0.005, we would need to run 989 trials. One ganzfeld session lasts about 1.5 hours, or about 1,483 total hours. Previous experiments show that it is not advisable to run more than one session per day. So we have to potentially recruit 989 x 2 people to participate, an experimenter who will spend 4+ years running these people day in and day out, and at the end we'll end up with p < 0.005. Randi will say those results aren't good enough, because you could get such a result by chance 5 in 1,000 times. Thus, he will require odds against chance of at least a million to 1 to pay out $1 million, and then the amount of time and money it would take to get a significant result would be far in excess of $1 million.
Originally posted by okamitengu
as far as i can see, alot of sceptics are just trolling.
they look for threads they can derail with their superior knowledge of where you are wrong.
if you believe something, and you investigate it to the point where you are confident, who gives a flying rats patootie what anyone else says.
most sceptics are just in that camp because it makes them feel safe and secure in their world
Originally posted by humphreysjim
Originally posted by Snsoc
I have one word for skeptics:
Cigarettes.
Cigarettes.
Therefore, Aliens!
Just about sums up the believer movement in one syllogism.
Wow, I finished your post. It took two goes at it but I made it through. I feel less intelligent for it, though.edit on 15-11-2012 by humphreysjim because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by Vitruvius
Originally posted by humphreysjim
Originally posted by Snsoc
I have one word for skeptics:
Cigarettes.
Cigarettes.
Therefore, Aliens!
Just about sums up the believer movement in one syllogism.
Wow, I finished your post. It took two goes at it but I made it through. I feel less intelligent for it, though.edit on 15-11-2012 by humphreysjim because: (no reason given)
Your gross mischaracterisation of the OP's example of a broad conspiracy as a syllogism is thought-free and supercilious. Also wrong.
I'm reminded of a phenomenon that used to plague Isaac Asimov. He would often be presented with some gap in scientific knowledge with the presenter demanding "explain that!" The implication being that the failure to immediately close that gap to the full satisfaction of the questioner would mean a complete repudiation of all things scientific. And by extension, of course, the total validation of the questioner's explanation, e.g. god did it.
Explaining 95% of UFO sightings offers no conclusions regarding Bigfoot beyond an ad hominem assumption regarding the questioners of these subjects.
I'm a skeptic. I'm skeptical of the official story of 9-11, the safety of vaccines, any number of things. I'm also an atheist. I mention the atheism here only because it irks me when it's referred to as a "religion". You, humphreysjim, are acting like a true believer.
You're making me look bad.
You're not a skeptic, you're a pseudo-skeptic trying to hijack the use of the word. I am not making you look bad because we are not remotely in the same camp. You do just fine making yourself look bad without anyone else's help.
Originally posted by AlanT1
reply to post by Snsoc
This is my first post. I am a former GLPer, and I must say: I LOVE THIS SITE!!!!!!! Having gotten that out, I must agree with you. Another thing that gets me is people that DOWNPLAY everything. Common examples would be: WEATHER BALLOON, LENS FLARE, MOVE ALONG FOLKS, NOTHING TO SEE HERE, NOTHING WILL HAPPEN, etc....They then offer nothing to back up THEIR claims.....