Sunspot AR1471 erupted

spaceweather.com...

Its the latest forecast on the web-sight, it says it should arrive May 9th and it IS Earth directed.

Has anyone noticed his yet???

It's just a M1....nothing to worry about.
2nd

doesn't look serious at all.. judging by the forecast model it looks like we are only getting a glancing blow from the edge of the flare

spaceweather.com...

Her is a solar flare classification link, M is right before X but your right, no biggie.

And here I thought I had to get ready to go to the bunker.

Meh..

Got me all excited for nothing.

So, work as scheduled?

reply to post by Manhater


unfortunately

yeah for future reference,.
we have already had 2 X flares this year,. and both were not a direct hit.
But if you see a spot kick off an X that is strait on,. then be concerned.
Also the sun is not predicted to be a serious concern till December 2012, Jan, Feb March 2013

1476 looks to be of more interest

Originally posted by FenderWolf
spaceweather.com...

Its the latest forecast on the web-sight, it says it should arrive May 9th and it IS Earth directed.

Has anyone noticed his yet???

yeah, I watch spaceweather and solarham all the time. It's just an M1...nothing to even pause for.

The sunspot (1476) is big and appears to be building in complexity. There is a 10% chance of an x-class in the next 24-48 hours. I'll keep my eyes on it.

For anything to be "profound or significant, it needs to be up in the range of an X-9 or greater...the Carrington Event was ridiculously large...greater than X-45 but I cannot recall the actual rating

Originally posted by dymiox
1476 looks to be of more interest

Very much agreed. I am watching to see what that one does as it moves into position to be Earth facing. When I first saw this thread I thought that 1476 was the one they were talking about but it wasnt in position yet to threaten Earth.

Anyway Dymiox is right. Lets keep an eye on 1476.

Looks like the sunspot shaped like the country of Italy is erupting again...gonna be a intersting summer to say the least.