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Originally posted by kloejen
Well, you predicted a 7.2+ EQ, but this one in Chile is only 7.1
Then again... must be pretty creepy to hit the "almost exact" date thou ?
...
Earthquake Details This event has been reviewed by a seismologist.
Magnitude 7.1
Date-Time Sunday, March 25, 2012 at 22:37:06 UTC
Sunday, March 25, 2012 at 06:37:06 PM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 35.183°S, 71.792°W Depth 34.8 km (21.6 miles)
Region MAULE, CHILE
Distances
27 km (16 miles) NNW of Talca, Maule, Chile
55 km (34 miles) WSW of Curico, Maule, Chile
99 km (61 miles) NNE of Cauquenes, Maule, Chile
219 km (136 miles) SSW of SANTIAGO, Region Metropolitana, Chile
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 17.2 km (10.7 miles);
depth +/- 3.5 km (2.2 miles)
Parameters NST=434, Nph=442, Dmin=23.4 km, Rmss=0.98 sec, Gp= 58°, M-type=(unknown type), Version=8 Source
Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID usc0008pwq
Originally posted by taws6
Originally posted by Xtrozero
Looking at records kept since 1900 we have 15 7+ earth quakes per year. That is one every 24 days so if the OP says one will happen in the next 4 days he has about 17% chance he is right...lol
Can't really call it a prediction, and I hope I get 18 stars too....
I'm predicting you will not get 18 stars you're not exactly correct with the 17%.
Everyone is missing the fact that OP said will get a 7.2 EQ, check the title, and not 7+ What are the chances of predicting a 7.2 EQ and one actually happening, not 17% ? Some sources say 7.1 others say 7.2, quakes.globalincidentmap.com...
Originally posted by Brandon88
Somebody was right, maybe this will shut the people up trying to be naysayers. These things should be taken more seriously.
EMSC using all reports from worldwide station, and is best because they use mix M from all station ..
EMSC collects real time parametric data (source parmaters and phase pickings) provided by 65 seismological networks of the Euro-Med region.
Here is image and link to search, only put M 7.2 and press get event ..
I post M 7.2 +, so result is 7 earthquakes in last year or 12 months ..
And one more thing year 2011 was very seizmic active because Japanese EQ of M 9.0 ..
You can lie both off you or manipulate on someone else threads, or post some members reports or fabricate original posted magnitude etc etc ..
This is only facts, so your words not worth anything ..
Magnitude Mw 7.1
Region MAULE, CHILE
Date time 2012-03-25 22:37:01.0 UTC
Location 35.18 S ; 72.06 W
Depth 1 km
Distances 231 km SW Santiago (pop 4,837,295 ; local time 18:37:01.7 2012-03-25)
45 km NW Talca (pop 197,479 ; local time 18:37:01.7 2012-03-25)
37 km NE Constitución (pop 37,917 ; local time 18:37:01.7 2012-03-25)
Possible location area West Cost-Alaska-Central America, Japan-PNG-Fiji, Turkey or somewhere from 30-40 parallel north ..
Think very possible will hit in next 28 hours but time-period limit is 28 March ..
emphasis mine
An earthquake prediction is a prediction that an earthquake of a specific magnitude will occur in a particular place at a particular time (or ranges thereof).
As you all should know, it's very rare that two quakes with magnitude equal or higher than 7.0 happen in the same week, unless the quakes are "aftershocks" of a much bigger quake, like the 9.0 in Japan last year.
emphasis and annotations mine
Magnitude, Type, Date(y/m/d) Time(hh:mm:ss), Latitude, Longitude, Depth, Location, Source, Catalogue
7.0 Mw, 2011/1/1 6:56:59, -26.758, -63.103, 583.6, Santiago del Estero, Argentina, usgs, neic
7.2 Mw, 2011/1/2 20:20:17, -38.362, -75.032, 32, Tirua, Araucania, Chile, emsc, emsc (1)
7.1 Ms, 2011/1/13 16:16:41, -20.662, 168.459, 9, New Hebrides Trench, usgs, neic
7.9 Me, 2011/1/18 20:23:26, 28.838, 63.947, 84, W of Dalbandin, Pakistan, usgs, neic (2)
7.2 Mw, 2011/3/9 2:45:20, 38.424, 142.836, 32, o/s Honshu, Japan, usgs, neic
9.1 Mw, 2011/3/11 5:46:0, 38.322, 142.369, 24.4, Near the East Coast Of Honshu, Japan, usgs, neic
7.8 Ms, 2011/3/11 6:15:45, 36.126, 140.234, 30.2, Ibaraki, Honshu, Japan, usgs, neic
7.3 mb, 2011/3/11 6:35:0, 38.106, 144.553, 19.7, Off The East Coast Of Honshu, usgs, neic
7.1 ML, 2011/4/3 20:6:42, -10.01, 107.69, 10, South of Java, bmkg, bmkg, bmkg
7.2 Ms, 2011/4/7 12:32:41, 38.253, 141.64, 25.6, Near the East Coast of Honshu, Japan, usgs, neic
7.6 Mw, 2011/7/6 19:3:16, -29.312, -176.204, 20, Kermadec Trench, usgs, neic (3)
7.0 Mw, 2011/7/10 0:57:10, 38.04, 143.25, 34.9, Near the East Coast of Honshu, Japan, usgs, neic
7.2 Mw, 2011/8/20 16:55:2, -18.26, 168.069, 40.6, SW of Efate, Vanuatu, usgs, neic
7.1 Ms, 2011/8/20 18:19:24, -18.287, 168.132, 28.5, SW of Efate, Vanuatu, ras, ras
7.0 Mw, 2011/8/24 17:46:11, -7.644, -74.506, 145.1, Contamana, Peru, usgs, neic (4)
7.1 Ms, 2011/09/02 10:55:51.9, 52.19, -171.65, 33, Fox Islands, Aleutian Islands, ras, ras
7.0 Mw, 2011/9/3 22:55:36, -20.585, 169.696, 137.4, S of Aneityum Island, Vanuatu, usgs, neic (5)
7.6 Ms, 2011/10/21 17:57:16, -29.2, -175.5, 16, Kermadec Trench, geonet
7.3 Mw, 2011/10/23 10:41:21, 38.7578, 43.3602, Van, eastern Turkey, koeri (6)
7.1 Mw 2011/12/14 05:04:57, -7.518, 146.767, Kudjeru, Eastern Highlands, PNG, usgs, neic
Sources, Catalogues Index
[bmkg] Badan Meteorologica, Klimatologi dan Geofisika, Indonesia
[emsc] European Mediterranean Seismological Centre data base
[neic] USGS/NEIC (PDE) 1973 - 2011 08 16 catalog, National Earthquake Information Center
[ras] Russian Academy of Sciences
[usgs] USGS/NEIC (PDE-Q) Most Recent Events, United States Geological Survey
[geonet] Geological and Nuclear Sciences NZ
[koeri] Bogazici University Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute
Originally posted by jadedANDcynical
reply to post by GLontra
As you all should know, it's very rare that two quakes with magnitude equal or higher than 7.0 happen in the same week, unless the quakes are "aftershocks" of a much bigger quake, like the 9.0 in Japan last year.
emphasis and annotations mine
Magnitude, Type, Date(y/m/d) Time(hh:mm:ss), Latitude, Longitude, Depth, Location, Source, Catalogue
7.0 Mw, 2011/1/1 6:56:59, -26.758, -63.103, 583.6, Santiago del Estero, Argentina, usgs, neic
7.2 Mw, 2011/1/2 20:20:17, -38.362, -75.032, 32, Tirua, Araucania, Chile, emsc, emsc (1)
7.1 Ms, 2011/1/13 16:16:41, -20.662, 168.459, 9, New Hebrides Trench, usgs, neic
7.9 Me, 2011/1/18 20:23:26, 28.838, 63.947, 84, W of Dalbandin, Pakistan, usgs, neic (2)
7.2 Mw, 2011/3/9 2:45:20, 38.424, 142.836, 32, o/s Honshu, Japan, usgs, neic
9.1 Mw, 2011/3/11 5:46:0, 38.322, 142.369, 24.4, Near the East Coast Of Honshu, Japan, usgs, neic
7.8 Ms, 2011/3/11 6:15:45, 36.126, 140.234, 30.2, Ibaraki, Honshu, Japan, usgs, neic
7.3 mb, 2011/3/11 6:35:0, 38.106, 144.553, 19.7, Off The East Coast Of Honshu, usgs, neic
7.1 ML, 2011/4/3 20:6:42, -10.01, 107.69, 10, South of Java, bmkg, bmkg, bmkg
7.2 Ms, 2011/4/7 12:32:41, 38.253, 141.64, 25.6, Near the East Coast of Honshu, Japan, usgs, neic
7.6 Mw, 2011/7/6 19:3:16, -29.312, -176.204, 20, Kermadec Trench, usgs, neic (3)
7.0 Mw, 2011/7/10 0:57:10, 38.04, 143.25, 34.9, Near the East Coast of Honshu, Japan, usgs, neic
7.2 Mw, 2011/8/20 16:55:2, -18.26, 168.069, 40.6, SW of Efate, Vanuatu, usgs, neic
7.1 Ms, 2011/8/20 18:19:24, -18.287, 168.132, 28.5, SW of Efate, Vanuatu, ras, ras
7.0 Mw, 2011/8/24 17:46:11, -7.644, -74.506, 145.1, Contamana, Peru, usgs, neic (4)
7.1 Ms, 2011/09/02 10:55:51.9, 52.19, -171.65, 33, Fox Islands, Aleutian Islands, ras, ras
7.0 Mw, 2011/9/3 22:55:36, -20.585, 169.696, 137.4, S of Aneityum Island, Vanuatu, usgs, neic (5)
7.6 Ms, 2011/10/21 17:57:16, -29.2, -175.5, 16, Kermadec Trench, geonet
7.3 Mw, 2011/10/23 10:41:21, 38.7578, 43.3602, Van, eastern Turkey, koeri (6)
7.1 Mw 2011/12/14 05:04:57, -7.518, 146.767, Kudjeru, Eastern Highlands, PNG, usgs, neic
Sources, Catalogues Index
[bmkg] Badan Meteorologica, Klimatologi dan Geofisika, Indonesia
[emsc] European Mediterranean Seismological Centre data base
[neic] USGS/NEIC (PDE) 1973 - 2011 08 16 catalog, National Earthquake Information Center
[ras] Russian Academy of Sciences
[usgs] USGS/NEIC (PDE-Q) Most Recent Events, United States Geological Survey
[geonet] Geological and Nuclear Sciences NZ
[koeri] Bogazici University Kandilli Observatory and Earthquake Research Institute
2011 Text list of M7.0+ earthquakes
(1) - One day interval
(2) - Five day interval
(3) - Three day interval
(4) - Two on the same day, then one four days later
(5) - One day interval
(6) - Two day interval
Note: all Japan earthquakes excluded from interval calculationsedit on 26-3-2012 by jadedANDcynical because: fixed annotation
Magnitude 7.3
Date-Time
* Thursday, September 15, 2011 at 19:31:02 UTC
* Friday, September 16, 2011 at 07:31:02 AM at epicenter
* Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones
Location 21.559°S, 179.369°W
Depth 626.1 km (389.1 miles)
Region FIJI REGION
Distances 120 km (74 miles) SSW of Ndoi Island, Fiji
425 km (264 miles) W of NUKU`ALOFA, Tonga
453 km (281 miles) SSE of SUVA, Viti Levu, Fiji
1788 km (1111 miles) NNE of Auckland, New Zealand
Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 14.4 km (8.9 miles); depth +/- 4.7 km (2.9 miles)
Parameters NST=555, Nph=574, Dmin=502.1 km, Rmss=1.03 sec, Gp= 14°,
M-type=teleseismic moment magnitude (Mw), Version=A
Source
* Magnitude: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Location: USGS NEIC (WDCS-D)
Event ID usc0005vcv
7.0 Mw, 2011/9/3 22:55:36, -20.585, 169.696, 137.4, S of Aneityum Island, Vanuatu, usgs, neic
7.6 Ms, 2011/10/21 17:57:16, -29.2, -175.5, 16, Kermadec Trench, geonet
Personally most dangerous time for very strong earthquake of M 7.5 + or M 8.0 + will be from 10 April to June 12, 2012 ..
To be more more precise from 20 April to 08 June, but others days in that time line are dangerous also ..
Very positive we will have strong seizmic activity worldwide in that days also volcanic activity, first days in May ..
Also big possibility for some "unusual" events ..
We will have super full moon at May 6 2012 ..
Last one was at 19. March 2011 of 356577 distance but we also have extreme solar activity from March 6 to March 11 .. Most dangerous location will be area of USA-West Coast, Japan to Indonesia, PNG to Fiji, Alaska, from Iran to Italy and of course all area of "Ring of Fire" ..
Possibility to have stronger earthquake in all of this areas, mostly ..
Possible location and dangerous places ..
Think USA will have strong seizmic activity and big earthquake in this time, probably in ocean OFF cost OREGON-N Ca, CA and Portland-Seattle are dangerous area too ..
Originally posted by lover088
Personally most dangerous time for very strong earthquake of M 7.5 + or M 8.0 + will be from 10 April to June 12, 2012 ..
To be more more precise from 20 April to 08 June, but others days in that time line are dangerous also ..
Very positive we will have strong seizmic activity worldwide in that days also volcanic activity, first days in May ..
Also big possibility for some "unusual" events ..
We will have super full moon at May 6 2012 ..
Last one was at 19. March 2011 of 356577 distance but we also have extreme solar activity from March 6 to March 11 .. Most dangerous location will be area of USA-West Coast, Japan to Indonesia, PNG to Fiji, Alaska, from Iran to Italy and of course all area of "Ring of Fire" ..
Possibility to have stronger earthquake in all of this areas, mostly ..
I was predicted that before two months, like many others stronger one ..
www.godlikeproductions.com...
Peace ..