reply to post by Carseller4
I've been intrigued by the electric and hybrid car proposition for a while.
My suspicion, and I'm afraid I lack the time to back this up academically, is that beyond even the technical and practical hurdles that have still not
been resolved enough (battery cost, lifecycle, ownership, depreciation, resilience to cold, etc...) there will inevitably be a massive question that I
rarely seen discussed:
How exactly could the world make these vehicles economically in very large quantities (beyond the marginal), given the increased list of (expensive)
resources they need for battery, motor, wiring, including copper, and Rare Earth minerals?
They are simultaneously competing for those exact same resources with massive growth in demand from the energy, computing and military industries,
worldwide. Replacing combustion engines, for the masses, with rare-earth-laced, copper-wire-filled cars now - really?
I also propose that for the time being, those questions are harder for any manufacturer outside China to answer with any great confidence or strategic
integrity (Iam aware that the West has BEGUN to address some of that, look up my thread if you want more pointers on that).
The press still seem to have focused on the practical ownership issues. Although there is obviously merit in that, it seems to be a dialogue that the
manufacturers and governments seem more willing to enter into than getting into any nitty-gritty about where exactly they will secure (and I mean
secure) enough resources to 'complete the job' for anything that could be honestly be interpreted as 'for the masses'.
Until then, as you say, I think we can only expect a continuation of this happy little discourse between the governments, manufacturers and a
carefully controlled volume of users banging on about how well they are doing and what progress they have made, but you're right, the proof is in the
(sales) figures, oh - and the depreciation figures.
edit on 15-2-2012 by curioustype because: typo/spelling
edit on 15-2-2012
by curioustype because: typo spelling