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Question: who else, close to home, is a known terrorist sponsor? Oh that's right I'm a "hater". It's the same old tired rhetoric all the time. Are we talking past each other or will you recognise the U.S. A. as a terrorist sponsor too?
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Iran is a party to the NPT but was found in non-compliance with its NPT safeguards agreement and the status of its nuclear program remains in dispute. In November 2003 IAEA Director General Mohamed ElBaradei reported that Iran had repeatedly and over an extended period failed to meet its safeguards obligations, including by failing to declare its uranium enrichment program. After about two years of EU3-led diplomatic efforts and Iran temporarily suspending its enrichment program, the IAEA Board of Governors, acting under Article XII.C of the IAEA Statute, found in a rare non-consensus decision with 12 abstentions that these failures constituted non-compliance with the IAEA safeguards agreement. This was reported to the UN Security Council in 2006, after which the Security Council passed a resolution demanding that Iran suspend its enrichment. Instead, Iran resumed its enrichment program.
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What role is Russia playing in all this? Traditionally Moscow has been against excessively pressuring or, worse yet, using military force against Iran. Russia’s basic approach, which it deviated once from (in the case of Libya), is that interference in the internal affairs of other countries is unacceptable, especially since the pretext most often differs from the real objective (see Iraq and Libya).
Meanwhile, Russia is not an ally of Tehran, although not in favor of aggressive pressure. By now Moscow is familiar with Iran’s game. Its current show of resolve will likely be followed by a new series of peace proposals directed mainly at Russia and China. This has happened before, but Russia’s protection of Iran is not unconditional. Following news of Iran’s new uranium-enrichment plant, the Russian Foreign Ministry clearly indicated that the will of the international community must not be disregarded.
What if something radical happens? For example, a military strike? However, if we put ideological considerations and preferences aside, a military operation against Iran could benefit Russia by slowing Iran’s nuclear weapons program. Russia and other countries do not need a nuclear-armed Iran.
At the same time, a conflict would increase oil prices, which would benefit Russia, even if only in the short term. And finally, the United States would possibly become bogged down in Iran and hence distracted from the post-Soviet space.
Furthermore, the more problems Washington has in Central Eurasia, the more it will depend on Russian assistance. As with Afghanistan and the Russian transit route, Iran could strengthen Russia’s importance as a US partner.
As for general stance of Russia in the Middle East, it seems that despite activity and maneuvering Russian era as a player there is gradually coming to its end. Russian relatively vast presence in the region was based on remnants of Soviet legacy, i.e. relationships with regimes which are leaving international stage.
Their successors will not need Russia. More than that, they will see Moscow as hostile supporter of former “tyrants”. Russia is turning to more regional orientation, focusing on the neighboring space of Eurasia. It does not mean that Russia will abruptly withdraw from the Middle East, rather leave it step by step.
wow, this thread is still going strong spouting the "danger" of Iran , when we all know it's about keeping the dollar secure in foreign settlement. If Iran, china, Russia, India, etc start trading oil for gold, or another currency , the USA will be side staged on the international trade scene.
Instead of pushing for a war to secure the US 'position, why not use those over qualified educations to "out think" the enemy. Make the Dollar more viable since all these nations are all of a sudden looking for an alternative.
It is a little below any intellectual worth his salt to try and "send in the marines" when all you would really need is a good group of economist and financial consultants who aren't complete "@#€~¬ holes". Do your homework, dont just send the muscle. Lazy lazy lazy. just MO though, I dont have an over priced and over rated education in BS.
Originally posted by seabag
The US is not in violation of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty….IRAN IS!
I had to star you for that. (What is wrong with me these days and sometime voice of reason? lol) as your supporting quote was there.
However, as I disagree with the whole premise of nuclear weapons and see them as a crime against humanity I can only agree to a point. Also, you didn't answer my question (Re: state sponsored terrorism) and yes, it is all too common among many countries and your (potentially) great country is just one of many who indulges in state-sponsorship of terrorism (both foreign and domestic), but it is not alone and I do not hate 'the people', rather I extremely dislike the government that has developed through extreme cases of foreign policy in light of a World View.
Rather than be a warmonger, I hold true to the ideal of bringing humanity together through the commonality of our biology and while admitting it is an ideal, it is not something I wish to give up on. We CAN get over this hump of wanting dominion and oneupmanship over each other if we truly see this as a planet that we can share, rather than own.
I'm not soft, nor weak, but strong in my convictions. Yes, I'm willing to die for them. I hope it doesn't come to that, but if it does, at least I will not be counted amongst those who weakened and took a life.
I'm not a hater. I'm a lover of humanity, and all life. We can overcome the cancer.
Originally posted by seabag
I appreciate the debate!! Cheers!
dude you get angry real fast for nothing. I think I was polite enough for you to at least curb your hate for anyone that differs from your opinion.
wow, this thread is still going strong spouting the "danger" of Iran , when we all know it's about keeping the dollar secure in foreign settlement. If Iran, china, Russia, India, etc start trading oil for gold, or another currency , the USA will be side staged on the international trade scene.
you are so biased.
My point is that this whole war with Iran is just like Iraq, all for nothing. It's about the almighty dollar, IMO.
Well, when you say things like this (below) I get a little defensive:
wow, this thread is still going strong spouting the "danger" of Iran , when we all know it's about keeping the dollar secure in foreign settlement. If Iran, china, Russia, India, etc start trading oil for gold, or another currency , the USA will be side staged on the international trade scene.
There IS NO WAR WITH IRAN; I didn’t advocate one, I don’t want one, I hope things deescalate, etc. etc. That was the point of my thread. People who don’t want Iran to have nukes are not warmongers! I laid out an argument as to why Iran shouldn’t have WMB 51 pages ago, and several follow up posts to clarify my position, and you still want to say a war with Iran is all for nothing?? There is no war!
You’ll never get my point then…so we will agree to disagree.
Originally posted by arbiture
reply to post by Praetorius
As far as I know, Israel has never wanted to, let alone openly state wipe any nation, people or ideology (unto itself) off the map, so Iran having nukes is "just for a deterrent"? Right...
Zeevi Farkash, Israel’s former military intelligence chief, has said that Iran’s main drive for acquiring atomic weapons is not for use against Israel but as a deterrent against U.S. intervention, in much the same way that nuclear-armed North Korea feels secure against a U.S. attack.
Chairman LEVIN. Now, relative to Iran, Director Clapper, you mentioned in your statement that you do not, we do not know, talking about the Intelligence Community, if Iran will eventually decide to build nuclear weapons. I read into that that Iran has not made a decision as of this point to restart its nuclear weapons program. Is that correct?
Mr. CLAPPER. Yes, sir. I would like, though, to defer a more fulsome response to a closed session.
Chairman LEVIN. Okay. But, what is level of confidence that you have that as of this time they have not decided to restart that program? Is that a high level of confidence?
Mr. CLAPPER. Yes, it is.
“During my time at the agency,” ElBaradei told me in an earlier interview, “we haven’t seen a shred of evidence that Iran has been weaponizing, in terms of building nuclear-weapons facilities and using enriched materials.” There is evidence that Iranian scientists have studied the issues involved in building and delivering a bomb, he added, “but the American N.I.E. reported that it stopped even those studies in 2003.”
So is Iran attempting to build a nuclear weapon? For at least three years, the US intelligence community has discounted this hypothesis. The US director of national intelligence, James Clapper, testified last February to Congress: "We continue to assess [whether] Iran is keeping open the option to develop nuclear weapons … We do not know, however, if Iran will eventually decide to build nuclear weapons."
Most experts, even in Israel, view Iran as striving to become a "threshold country", technically able to produce a nuclear weapon but abstaining from doing so for now. Again, nothing in international law forbids this ambition. Several other countries are close to, or have already reached, such a threshold, with a commitment not to acquire nuclear weapons. Nobody seems to bother them.
We often hear that Iran's refusal to negotiate seriously left our countries no other choice but to drag it in 2006 to the security council. Here too, things are not quite that clear. In 2005 Iran was ready to discuss an upper limit for the number of its centrifuges and to maintain its rate of enrichment far below the high levels necessary for weapons. Tehran also expressed its readiness to allow intrusive inspections, even in non-declared sites. But at that time Europe and the US wanted to compel Iran to ditch its enrichment programme entirely.