90% chance Tokyo will get major earthquake

Japans capital has a 90% chance of being devastated by a major earthquake sometime in the next 50 years.

cnn.com...

The last major quake they had in 1923 killed over 140,000 people! that shows that (short of nuclear weapons)mother natures destructive power is much stronger that what we humans can dish out. I don't know the current population of Toyko, but I am sure it is much higher that in 1923 imagine the devastation that could happen!

[edit on 31-8-2004 by jeeze louise]

it's kind of like the next Ice Age that could occur any day assuming that the flow of the gulf stream ceases, and also I remeber hearing about a major Tsunami that would wipe out the whole of the East Coast of USA by an earthquake which could also happen any timesoon!

If you read the article you would see it is based on scientific facts. Japan rests on 4 tetonic plates there were major earthquake in Japan in 1703, 1782, 1812, and 1855 besides the one in 1923, it is not a question of if, it is a question of when.

so is mine:

ICE AGE CAUSED BY GULF STREAM COOLING

TIDAL WAVE

Earthquakes are very strange phenomena, they dont have set occurences like volcanos sometimes have. The fault where the Sumatra quakes happened wasnt even known to be a transform fault

Originally posted by Klepto
so is mine:

ICE AGE CAUSED BY GULF STREAM COOLING

TIDAL WAVE

Apples and Oranges. Ice Ages tages well ages to develop. Major earthquakes can happen within all of our lifetimes and all scientific research being done can and will save lives. Those who are effected most appreciate information like this greatly.

Have you people heard of the canary Islands?

Originally posted by Jakobx
Have you people heard of the canary Islands?

Why yes we people have:

www.abovetopsecret.com...

www.abovetopsecret.com...

Originally posted by jeeze louise
Japans capital has a 90% chance of being devastated by a major earthquake sometime in the next 50 years.

cnn.com...

WOW! what a prediction, considering they have earthquakes in Toyko just about every day, that's not going very far out on a limb. Kinda like me saying

"Montana has a 90% chance in the next 50 years to be wracked by a major wildfire!"

Well thats good, because when the canaries collapse the Eintire Eastern Seaboard could be swamped by 500 ft waves or more from the islandslide of the Canaries. The largest recorded tsunami was 1000ft high in Lituya Bay, Canada, 1958.The island of La Palma, in the Canary Islands off the coast of North Africa, was discovered to be in great danger of collapsing. The island is volcanic and during an eruption of the Cumbre Vieja volcano in 1949 part of the island slipped a few metres into the sea before stopping. Another eruption could cause the western flank of the island to collapse in the Atlantic Ocean.

When will it happen?
No one knows. It will happen during an eruption of Cumbre Vieja. It is an active volcano, last erupting in 1949. However the next eruption may not destroy the island, the next 10 may not. Only on thing is certain - one-day an incredible force will surge through the Atlantic Ocean.

How big would it be?
It would be far bigger than any wave ever seen for thousands of years. 500 billion tonnes of rock are waiting to collapse into the ocean at terrific speed. The collapse would create nearly 5,000,000,000,000,000 (5 thousand trillion) joules of kinetic energy, which would be converted into a colossal wave 900 metres high with awesome speed - within ten minutes it would have moved 250 kilometres. The landslide would continue to move underwater, powering the wave as it goes.

What damage would it cause?
No coastline in the North Atlantic would be spared. Britain, France, Spain and Portugal would all be badly hit North Africa would be hit by 100 metre waves, but the main wave would travel west. It would storm across the Atlantic in hours, hitting the Caribbean and Brazil badly. However, the real damage would be to the East coast of the USA.

By the time it had travelled the 4000 miles to America the wave would be lower and wider. It would now be just 50 metres high but many kilometres long, allowing it to sweep up to 20 miles in land, destroying everything in its path. Boston, New York and Miami would virtually be wiped off the map. Skyscrapers would be bulldozed as if they weren't there. Bridges would be ripped from their foundations. And virtually every human in these cities would be killed. (from wikipedia, NOAA, Armeggedon online and USGS)