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TRADING IN DEATH
Mr. DASCHLE. Mr. President, I come to the floor in part to call to the attention of my colleagues and article which appeared in the New York Times this morning. The article is entitled "Pentagon Prepares A Futures Market on Terror Attacks."
The article reports that the Bush Administration is prepared to spend $8 million on a program that actually encourages betting on the probability of future terrorist attacks. I am really amazed. This fits in that category; "We are not making this up."
You ask whether there are traders or trators--T-R-A-D-E-R-S or T-R-A-I-T-O-R-S. As we understand it, even terrorists would be allowed to bet on the likelihood of future terrorist attacks.
This program could provide incentive to commit acts of terrorism.
Pentagod Prepares a Futures Market on Terrorism [and Assassinations]
The Pentagon office that proposed spying electronically on Americans to monitor potential terrorists has a new experiment. It is an online futures trading market, disclosed today by critics, in which anonymous speculators would bet on forecasting terrorist attacks, assassinations and coups.
Traders bullish on a biological attack on Israel or bearish on the chances of a North Korean missile strike would have the opportunity to bet on the likelihood of such events on a new Internet site established by the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency.
...
''Research indicates that markets are extremely efficient, effective and timely aggregators of dispersed and even hidden information,'' the Defense Department said in a statement. ''Futures markets have proven themselves to be good at predicting such things as elections results; they are often better than expert opinions.''
Source : www.nytimes.com...
Mr. DASCHLE. I am happy to yield to the Senator from Illinois.
Mr. DURBIN. I would like to ask the Senator from South Dakota, our distinguished minority leader, is it not true that those who find your statement incredulous can log on to [witheld] and find this proposal from the Department of Defense to create some sort of investment speculation in the possiblity of assassination and terrorism? Is that not fact?
Mr. DASCHLE. The Senator from Illinois has exactly stated the fact. [witheld] can be called up on your web site today. The web site can be called up on the Internet and you can see for yourself.
Originally posted by JiggyPotamus
So this hasn't actually been implemented right? I ask since the date reads 2003. I wonder if they ripped this off from "Assassination Politics," the creator of which ended up getting jailed, but for a different reason. This blows my mind. DARPA...Really, lol? I don't know what to say.
Originally posted by soundofathousandbirds
reply to post by sbctinfantry
If thats all true,
Originally posted by DJW001
Lugubrious as it sounds, the idea is that markets are rational and that "the wisdom of crowds" is a good predictor of future events. You will note that in their outrage, no-one bothered to ask if actual money would be traded, or if people would simply be given, 100 "points" that they could invest. The Wall Street Journal had a similar on-line "market" during the last presidential election. It successfully predicted that Obama would win the election, but the heaviest betting was on whether Sarah Palin would resign before election day. She bucked the market by staying on until the bitter end, proving that markets are not necessarily right all the time.
Edit to add: Extremely misleading title!edit on 11-7-2011 by DJW001 because: (no reason given)
As we understand it, even terrorists would be allowed to bet on the likelihood of future terrorist attacks.
This program could provide an incentive, actually, to commit acts of terrorism. We are asking the administration this morning to renounce this plan to trade in death. The administration should issue a public apology, especially to the families of the victims of September 11. This is just wrong: The Pentagon calls its latest idea a new way of predicting events and part of its search for the "broadest possible set of new ways to prevent terrorist attacks." I don't know how one can possibly use the marketplace for that purpose.
The initiative, which is called the Policy Analysis Market, is to begin registering up to 1,000 traders on Friday. It is the latest in a series of projects advanced by DARPA, a Pentagon unit that has run into a great deal of controversy over other issues.
But I must say, this is perhaps the most irresponsible, outrageous, and poorly thought out of anything I have heard the administration propose to date. For the life of me, I cannot believe anybody would seriously propose that we trade in death, that we set up a futures market on when, as the Web site proposed, the King of Jordan could be overthrown, when a leader would be assassinated, when a terrorist attack would occur. Most traders try to influence their envestments. How long would it be before you saw traders investing in a way that would bring about a desired result?
I hope that the administration will explain what it is they had in mind, why they are doing this, why we are investing taxpayer dollars in the probability of future terrorist attacks.
...
Mr. DURBIN. If the senator would further yield on a question, is it not true that they put up some hypothetical things that people could invest in, questions as to whether, for example, Mr. Arafat, with the Palestinian Authority, would be assassinated, whether North Korea would launch a missle attack, whether the King of Jordan would be overthrown, and whether Israel would be attacked with bioterrorism weapons? Weren't these some of the items on which the Department of Defense was suggesting we start opening speculation and investment and betting by people around the world, including possible terrorists? Wasn't this on the web site yesterday and removed today?
Mr. DASCHLE. Each of the items that the Senator from Illinois has reported were on the website yesterday: When the first, biological attack would occur in Israel, when the king of Jordan might be assassinated. Each of these were listed as possible investment opportunitues
Hopefully you can comprehend now that they are not talking about betting some fake unit of currency, we are talking real dollars for real lives and terrorism.
Originally posted by DJW001
reply to post by sbctinfantry
Hopefully you can comprehend now that they are not talking about betting some fake unit of currency, we are talking real dollars for real lives and terrorism.
Correct, both Senators are under the impression that these markets use real money. There is nothing from DARPA or the DoD to confirm or refute this impression. Do you really think that politicians are aware of all of the facts before they start speechifying?