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Originally posted by Gamelin
Iran is a very large country, with dozens of nuclear laboraties, facilties. So it would require considerables flights for IAF to destroy all of them, with a very improbable success.
Plus, Israel lack Humint from the iranian nuclear program to know is worth bombing. I would be suprised to see an atatck anytime soon, unless the IAEA succeed in gathering enought intelligence (who will surely be leaked to IAF from you-know-who).
US Navy could more easily bomb the all iran facilities, but it would means war and iranians have the possibility to cut US supplies lines by taking control of the shia region (they already massed severall divisions at their borders, just in case).
Iran would be dangerous with nuclear weapons ? no more than just another member of the "Nuke Club". Of course, the risk of a nuclear war slightly raise.
www.fas.org...
www.pinr.com...
[edit on 10-8-2004 by Gamelin]
Originally posted by DJAghetto
wow. impressive...
Have you ever heard of what happened during the early hours of the Six-Day War? obviously you haven't. Israel could, with ease, destroy all nuclear facilities in Iran within 3 hrs, the most!!!
Iran is governed by Islamic Extremists who guarantee Israel's destruction. I dont think its a good idea for Iran to have nukes...
Iran very likely has Sunburn missiles and when they say they will strike hard if Israel launches an attack on their nuclear works I believe them. When people hear this they think "what the hell does Iran have?"
If the USA puts carriers within Sunburn range during open hostilities (and assuming they have not developed a countermeasure) they will be blown out of the water. You will have your war. They can destroy a carrier without nuclear warheads so a nuclear retaliation might seem unjustifiable. Just a regular war casualty. Of course to many Americans that would be totally unfair. You saw the shock and awe when one chopper was shot down in Iraq with 12 casualties. A sunken carrier would be a spectacular event, 5000 crew and an entire air wing. If a nuke is used you can write off the carrier task force as well. These task forces are necessary to protect the carrier as they are a very tempting and vulnerable target. Even this shield is not foolproof as demonstrated when a carrier accidentally hit an undetected Soviet sub somewhere off Japan.