It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
Here is a mystery: where is all the radiation coming from at Fukushima? Since the site is too radioactive to make definitive analyses, physicists and engineers are making educated guesses, and the results are not optimistic. First, radiation continues to spread, even as the utility claimed that everything was under control. Radiation at unit 2 was recorded at 100,000 normal, so a worker spending 1 hour there would start to come down with radiation sickness. Also, radiation in the sea water 1,000 feet from the site up to a mile from the site have registered thousands of time normal reading. Now plutonium has been found in trace amounts. The situation gets worse every day. But is the reactor situation is stable, as the utility claims, then were is radiation coming from? Second, the radiation has both iodine and cesium. Since iodine only has a half life of 8 days, this casts doubt on the spent fuel rods, since iodine has had plenty of time to decay in those spent fuel ponds. Another possibility is a pipe leak. But most likely, it is a breach of containment. This is because radioactive iodine and cesium come from exposed fuel rods that have melted. Recently, the GE engineer who worked on the Mark I reactor has stated that the source is mostly a core meltdown in unit 2 that has eaten its right through the pressure vessel (which surrounds the super hot core.) This echoes what I have been saying. If he is right, then "corium" (a liquid mixture of melted uranium) has melted its way right through the reactor vessel and is now leaking into the water system below the reactor. So direct contact with melted uranium may be the most likely cause. Most likely, this means more radiation into the environment, since there is no way stop radioactive water from touching the corium. However, at worst, the molten fuel could plunge into a pool of water and explode, creating the nightmare of Chernobyl.
Not just the spent fuel rods, it would also insulate the corium and allow it to heat up faster and melt through the ground faster and cause an explosion faster.
It’s true that concrete tombs may someday stand at the troubled nuclear complex, one expert said, but only as a long-term strategy once the radiation has cooled.
The entombment idea has been touted on American television by Michio Kaku, a physics professor at the City College of New York and a television host on the Science Channel. He has talked about dumping a combination of boric acid to dampen the nuclear fission, sand and eventually concrete to seal off the nuclear material.
Such a massive effort would take days if not weeks to plan, so he argues preparation should start now in case it becomes necessary. He envisioned an armada of helicopters and workers to dump sand and then concrete to smother the spent-fuel pool and other damaged nuclear material.
But experts see risk. For one thing, the structures that confine the radioactivity now could be damaged if heavy loads of material are dumped on them, opening new avenues for the hazard to escape.
“When you drop tons of material from hundreds of feet in a helicopter, you’re going to do some damage,” said Alex Sich, a nuclear engineer at Franciscan University in Ohio. “It could be a bad idea. ... I would ask them to stop and think three times before they do any dumping of heavy materials.”
Sich, who has lived in Chernobyl and published research on the disaster there, noted that Russian authorities dumped some 5,000 tons of sand, clay and other materials from helicopters in an attempt to smother that dangerous reactor.
The Japanese situation is different, he said. The Japanese reactors are surrounded by multiple barriers designed to contain radiation from the reactor cores. If a heavy dumping cracked the inner vessels and exposed the reactor cores, “that would be absurdity,” he said.
Other risks focus on the spent fuel rods, which are a key source of concern. While pouring tons of sand on the rods would block radiation from escaping, it would also insulate them and make them heat up faster. The heat could decompose the concrete floor, allowing the rods to fall through, which could complicate efforts to contain the radiation, said Elmer Lewis of Northwestern University.
What people don't tell you is radiation is accumulative so even small amounts over time build in your system. That small percentage that blows over to the west coast of the united states can end up building up in our water supply and after about a month we are going to start getting sick....
Thanks for the link. It sounds hopeful for units 1 and 3 but unit 2 doesn't sound so good.
Originally posted by crimvelvet
Try this site from the International Atomic Energy Agency: Fukushima Nuclear Accident Update Log
Not as dire as Chernobyl, that's why it's 5 on the scale whereas Chernobyl was a 7 out of 7. It's somewhere between controllable and uncontrollable. As long as they are still pumping water in, that's at least some measure of control. If they stop doing that then I'd say there's no control at all.
Originally posted by JohnySeagull
Do you really think that the people in Japan are not in a dire and uncontrollable situation?
Who can argue with that? I agree.
We may not be in too much trouble at the moment if we are a great distance away from Japan but when this site at Fukushima does eventually disintegrate don't be so naive to think there will not be consequences across the planet from an event like this.
The MOX complex, scheduled to open in 2016, is designed to dispose of 32 metric tons of plutonium from dismantled nuclear bombs by blending small amounts of the material with uranium to make nuclear fuel for commercial power reactors. Its design calls for 170,000 cubic yards of concrete strengthened with 35,000 tons of reinforcing steel bars.
I just watched it. A lot of what he says is true, we weren't told many things about TMI nor Chernobyl in the early stages that we found out eventually and the same thing could be happening here. But I haven't seen any evidence to support his claim that Fukushima is as bad as Chernobyl yet, though I don't doubt it could become that bad at some point.
Originally posted by JohnySeagull
reply to post by Arbitrageur
have you watched this video?
After Chernobyl there were pieces of nuclear fuel and other debris lying around with radiation levels of 200,000-300,000 millisieverts per hour, which justifies a 7. I haven't seen anything like that reported at Fukushima, so far I've seen reports of 1000 millisieverts per hour, have you seen any higher?
Originally posted by colin42
The clip above says Japan states the situation is serious and unpredictable. Does that mean 6.5 rather than 5?
No argument that it's worse than TMI but that was only rated a 4, so 5 is worse than 4.
Originally posted by colin42
It is without a doubt worse than 3 mile Island so it may not be a 7 but is certainly not a 5
Originally posted by Arbitrageur
No argument that it's worse than TMI but that was only rated a 4, so 5 is worse than 4.
Originally posted by colin42
It is without a doubt worse than 3 mile Island so it may not be a 7 but is certainly not a 5
Regarding whether it should be rated a 6 instead of a 5, I don't know.
You're right, I stand corrected, TMI was a 5.
Originally posted by ThaLoccster
Three Mile Island was a 5.
I too think the current situation if as 'advertised' is more dangerous than TMI should probably be rated higher. But I'm not as familiar with the nuclear disaster standards and what all goes into making that classification.