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Originally posted by LadyGreenEyes
Alright, have to say, Berkland didn't predict a "big one", but simply earthquake activity on the west coast. From this chart, a few in the 4.-something range. So, was he actually wrong?
USGS earthquake list
Originally posted by AceWombat04
but I hope this has led people to be more prepared in the event that one does ever happen..
www.wikihow.com...
Originally posted by Chadwickus
reply to post by LadyGreenEyes
No, and that's because of the way he works it.
He hedges his bets.
Los Angeles averages 3 quakes over 3.5 a month, so he says there will be a 90% chance of a 3.6+ quake near Los Angeles.
It's simple really.
edit on 30/3/11 by Chadwickus because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by OhioPariah
Originally posted by LadyGreenEyes
Alright, have to say, Berkland didn't predict a "big one", but simply earthquake activity on the west coast. From this chart, a few in the 4.-something range. So, was he actually wrong?
USGS earthquake list
But it's hardly a prediction - I could just as easily predict that the sun will rise in the east over California on April 1st. When my son puts a cup on the edge of the table and I say, "It's gonna fall," that's not a prediction. Let me rephrase that - it is a prediction, just not one worthy of its own website and thousands of devoted followers.
Although... OhioPariahsDadPredictions.com is available...