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You've just picked 17 days of an 86-day period. So if there's an earthquake in that time period, you basically have a 1 in 5 chance of it falling on one of the days you've listed. Add in the fact that if it happened a day earlier or later, a lot of people would claim you were *really* close, and you have 42 possible days out of 86 where a lot of people would call your prediction "accurate," even though it was about a 50-50 chance.
Originally posted by truthseekr1111
The Clean-Up Age of Mappo is Coming
_______________________________________
ELeNIN SUPER-QUAKE WARNINGS for 2011?
SEPTEMBER
-----------
9/9/11
***9/11/11***
9/13/11
***9/23/11***
9/30/11
OCTOBER
--------------
***10/03/11***
***10/13/11***
***10/23/11***
10/30/11
10/31/11
NOVEMBER
-------------
***11/1/11***
***11/3/11***
***11/9/11***
***11/11/11***
11/13/11
11/23/11
DEC
-----------
***12/3/11***
Originally posted by nataylor
You've just picked 17 days of an 86-day period. So if there's an earthquake in that time period, you basically have a 1 in 5 chance of it falling on one of the days you've listed. Add in the fact that if it happened a day earlier or later, a lot of people would claim you were *really* close, and you have 42 possible days out of 86 where a lot of people would call your prediction "accurate," even though it was about a 50-50 chance.
Originally posted by truthseekr1111
The Clean-Up Age of Mappo is Coming
_______________________________________
ELeNIN SUPER-QUAKE WARNINGS for 2011?
SEPTEMBER
-----------
9/9/11
***9/11/11***
9/13/11
***9/23/11***
9/30/11
OCTOBER
--------------
***10/03/11***
***10/13/11***
***10/23/11***
10/30/11
10/31/11
NOVEMBER
-------------
***11/1/11***
***11/3/11***
***11/9/11***
***11/11/11***
11/13/11
11/23/11
DEC
-----------
***12/3/11***
I guess it all depends on how you define "alignment" and "in a row." At 06:34:14 UTC on February 27, 2010, the time of the 8.8 Chile earthquake, the Earth and Elenin were separated by about 1° 04' 07" viewed from the sun. Elenin was actually most closely aligned with the Earth at only 0° 25' 21" of separation, at 05:20 UTC on February 26. 2010, or 1 day, 6 hours, and 14 minutes earlier.
Originally posted by truthseekr1111
5) and while you're at it, calculate the odds of 3 Unique MAJOR QUAKES in a row, occurring during a unique alignment of ELENIN, the Sun and the Earth...
That gives you a six-day window for an earthquake. If you picked any random date in 2010, you'd have a good chance of being plus or minus 3 days from a 7.0 or higher earthquake.
Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
2010-12-25 13:16:37, -19.775, 167.894, 7.3, 12.3, Vanuatu Region
2010-12-21 17:19:40, 26.892, 143.725, 7.4, 14.0, Bonin Isls. Japan Region
2010-10-25 14:42:22, -3.484, 100.113, 7.7, 20.6, Kepulauan Mentawai Region. Ind.
2010-09-29 17:11:24, -4.920, 133.783, 7.2, 12.3, Nr. S. Coast Of Papua. Ind.
2010-09-03 16:35:46, -43.530, 172.120, 7.0, 5.0, S. Isl Of Nz
2010-08-12 11:54:16, -1.259, -77.311, 7.1, 211.0, Ecuador
2010-08-10 05:23:46, -17.561, 168.028, 7.3, 35.0, Vanuatu
2010-08-04 22:01:43, -5.768, 150.775, 7.0, 44.0, New Britain Region. P.N.G
2010-07-23 23:15:09, 6.791, 123.281, 7.4, 631.2, Moro Gulf
2010-07-23 22:51:12, 6.469, 123.532, 7.6, 583.8, Moro Gulf
2010-07-23 22:08:11, 6.698, 123.474, 7.3, 612.2, Moro Gulf
2010-07-18 13:34:59, -5.939, 150.571, 7.3, 35.0, New Britain Region. P.N.G
2010-06-16 03:16:27, -2.170, 136.549, 7.0, 18.0, Nr. N. Coast Of Papua. Ind.
2010-06-12 19:26:46, 7.834, 91.894, 7.5, 12.9, Nicobar Isls. India Region
2010-05-27 17:14:48, -13.709, 166.506, 7.2, 36.1, Vanuatu
2010-05-09 05:59:42, 3.747, 96.012, 7.2, 45.0, Northern Sumatra. Ind.
2010-04-06 22:15:02, 2.360, 97.131, 7.7, 31.0, Northern Sumatra. Ind.
2010-04-04 22:40:42, 32.258, -115.287, 7.2, 10.0, Baja California. Mexico
2010-02-27 06:34:14, -35.908, -72.732, 8.8, 35.0, Offshore Maule. Chile
2010-02-26 20:31:27, 25.902, 128.417, 7.0, 22.0, Ryukyu Isls. Japan
2010-01-12 21:53:10, 18.457, -72.533, 7.0, 13.0, Haiti Region
2010-01-03 22:36:28, -8.799, 157.369, 7.2, 25.0, Solomon Isls.
Originally posted by nataylor
reply to post by PuterMan
No props for me when I did the math that shows, even at its closest point, the pull of gravity on the Earth from Elenin will be less than the pull of gravity from the Empire State Building?
Yes "Deep Impact" is another
Originally posted by Turq1
reply to post by Lil Drummerboy
Love that movie! One of my favorites.
I watched Deep Impact again the other day, and they called the comet "Ellie" which I thought was interesting. Well not actually the comet I don't think, but it was the codename or something.
edit on 30-3-2011 by Turq1 because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by aarys
Im from down under in New Zealand. This morning I looked up at the sky at about 7am, it was just on sunrise. Sky was clear. Very clear. Then looking east not far from the moon I saw a very bright star. The only one i could see in the whole sky. Im no expert. But could this be Elin. Or something else. Some answers would be good. Thanks
Indeed, it was Venus. Here's the view from Auckland at 7am this morning:
Originally posted by aarys
Im from down under in New Zealand. This morning I looked up at the sky at about 7am, it was just on sunrise. Sky was clear. Very clear. Then looking east not far from the moon I saw a very bright star. The only one i could see in the whole sky. Im no expert. But could this be Elin. Or something else. Some answers would be good. Thanks
you sure about that?
Originally posted by NyxOne
Originally posted by aarys
Im from down under in New Zealand. This morning I looked up at the sky at about 7am, it was just on sunrise. Sky was clear. Very clear. Then looking east not far from the moon I saw a very bright star. The only one i could see in the whole sky. Im no expert. But could this be Elin. Or something else. Some answers would be good. Thanks
That's Venus.
Originally posted by Lil Drummerboy
you sure about that?
Originally posted by NyxOne
Originally posted by aarys
Im from down under in New Zealand. This morning I looked up at the sky at about 7am, it was just on sunrise. Sky was clear. Very clear. Then looking east not far from the moon I saw a very bright star. The only one i could see in the whole sky. Im no expert. But could this be Elin. Or something else. Some answers would be good. Thanks
That's Venus.