Southern Hurricane/Cyclone/Typhoon Watch 2011-2012

Tropical depression forms near the Bahamas, tropical storm watch issued

wireupdate.com...

000
WTNT32 KNHC 181131
TCPAT2

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM BRET INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 3A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022011
800 AM EDT MON JUL 18 2011

...BRET DRIFTING NORTHEASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.4N 77.5W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM NNW OF GREAT ABACO ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACO ISLANDS IN THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

Source

Looks like it's goig to brush the coast of the US and head back out to Sea - :-) Projected Path

A tropical depression is forming off central America. Will be a confirmed TD in a few hours or earlier.
The system could eventually become a hurricane later this week, according to current forecasts

Tropical depression 4 has now formed near Guatemala; NHC to start issuing advisories shortly; could become a hurricane

reply to post by Anmarie96


The southwest corner of the Bermuda triangle is a hard location for the computer models to get a good handle on.
Generally storms north of 27 degrees latitude get pulled NE out to sea but storms south of 25 degrees latitude can get trapped under an east coast ridge and pulled west into the gulf of Mexico.

If you are making a hurrricane thread how about keeping it currant.

I knew I should have started this thread and will do so next hurricane season.

We folks in Florida and Southeast Georgia are preparing for Hurricane Irene.

This is an important thread.....please treat it as such.

Now get your self in gear and give us some stats.

I have been following every minute of Irenes formation but some folks may benefit from more information.

Originally posted by dizziedame
If you are making a hurrricane thread how about keeping it currant.

I knew I should have started this thread and will do so next hurricane season.

We folks in Florida and Southeast Georgia are preparing for Hurricane Irene.

This is an important thread.....please treat it as such.

Now get your self in gear and give us some stats.

I have been following every minute of Irenes formation but some folks may benefit from more information.

Did you read the title of the thread?

Southern Hurricane/Cyclone/Typhoon Watch 2011-2012

Southern...as in Southern hemisphere.

Here is the link to the Northern Hemisphere Hurricane Watch:

www.abovetopsecret.com...

reply to post by Aggie Man


Some folks can't read huh?
Anyway heres hoping Irene doesn't
cause too much trouble.

reply to post by crazydaisy

Hi guys!

Just curious? Are the things that are going on down in New Oleans have anything to do with this thread. Or is there another thread I should be watching. I've been working all day and I get here. I thought this thread would be full of posts.

reply to post by crappiekat


This is the right thread for the southern area
for hurricanes. I believe Lee is still a tropical
storm, most likely that is why no one has posted
much about it. Maybe this link will help, I did hear
there is a lot of rain with this system.

Stormpulse.com

It seems that Australia might be in for more floods and more cyclones... just like last year.

Important weather predictions for Australian agriculture

La Niña to return?

The latest data from Ocean Pacific weather predictors envisage La Niña conditions returning again to Australia for the second year running. The La Niña weather phenomenon (which operates in converse to the drought-associated El Niño pattern) contributed a deluge in Australia in 2010, resulting in large parts of Queensland going under water from floods or being battered by tropical cyclones.

This week, the Queensland Climate Change Centre of Excellence’s (QCCCE) published its first indicators of summer rain. QCCCE’s forecast is based on “leading indicators” of sea surface temperature conditions – an “early warning” tool for possible La Nina conditions in the summer months for Australia. The indicators are almost identical to last year at this time – 94.5% chance of normal or above normal rain (66.7% above) in the November to March period compared to 94.7% (68.4% above) last year.

This forecast by the QCCCE also echoes a forecast last week from the Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC), which has forecasted wet weather – a result of the La Niña condition, which it believes will “come back late this year and persist during the whole of 2012”.

I hope not.

reply to post by Vitchilo


Thanks for the heads up Vitchilo. That certainly is not a good sign. I was only thinking about this yesterday with all the record rain in Cairns over the last few days. Not to mention all the people who are still struggling for normality after the Toowoomba floods and cyclone. Some of these people up north still don't have secure roofs over their heads. This news will be very stressful for them.

reply to post by zenius

Heard that for NZ too, more freaking rain

Is the situation up north "no roofs over their heads" about no roofs? or no homes (to put the roofs onto)?

Being a Roofing Contractor I am really struggling here in the North Island, the type of roofing I do depends on fine weather, and we just aren't having enough of it to make any progress. Its more "which 1 day will be dry/fine/not windy" out of the 7 rather than which day is it going to rain.

El Nino isn't much better, becasue it brings high winds.

reply to post by muzzy


Homes. Insurance companies are causing headaches for cyclone and flood victims still. The term 'roof over their heads' is an Aussie term for home.

I cannot post new threads so mods please feel free to move. Over 400 dead in Philippine flash floods.

www.bbc.co.uk...

reply to post by teddy007


Typhoon Washi

APNewsAlert

www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/n/a/2011/12/17/international/i060413S81.DTL

(12-17) 06:04 PST MANILA, Philippines (AP) --

Red Cross: Death toll in storm-triggered floods in southern Philippines rises to at least 436.

I hadn't noticed the title was 2011-2012, no need to make a new Topic for 2012 then.

First one of the 2012 Cyclone season?
right over Darwin now
Tropical Cyclone Grant



actually its officially the 4th one for the 2012 season
Tropical Cyclone Fina, SPAC [21 - 22 Dec 2011]
Tropical Cyclone Alenga, SIO [5 - 9 Dec 2011]
Tropical Cyclone Two, SIO [6 - 7 Dec 2011]
www.australiasevereweather.com...

GALES with gusts to 120 kilometres per hour are currently being experienced between Point Stuart and Oenpelli. GALES may affect other areas between Cape Hotham and the mainland coast south of Goulburn Island, including inland to Jabiru, in the next few hours.
Coastal residents near the eastern Van Diemen Gulf are specifically warned of a DANGEROUS STORM TIDE this morning as the cyclone centre crosses the coast. Tides are likely to rise significantly above the normal high tide, with DAMAGING WAVES and DANGEROUS FLOODING.
Tides will be HIGHER THAN NORMAL between Cape Don and Goulburn Island today. Large waves may produce MINOR FLOODING of low-lying coastal areas.
HEAVY RAIN is expected to cause localised flooding and significant stream rises over the northern Darwin-Daly, Arnhem and northern Roper-McArthur Districts.
The Territory Controller advises residents from Cape Hotham to Goulburn Island, including Oenpelli and Jabiru, to TAKE SHELTER NOW

Sounds just like another lousy day in Wellington NZ
Looks like its going to peeter out later today and become a tropical depression

I took a screenshot of the map yesterday but forgot to post it

here it is then, and todays under it.




Haven't heard anything on the MSM News about Darwin, but my Dad in Surfers Paradise was saying yesterday the seas were huge coming off ex TC Fina which has turned into a Low , and its way north of them. Not windy or raining just really big waves. "surfs up"


Looks like exTC Fina will wack New Zealand later in the week

I'm baaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaccccckkk

This was supposed to be over
looks like its expected to pick up moisture across the Gulf and dump on Qlnd now

Ex-tropical cyclone Grant is moving towards the east and is expected to move into the Gulf of Carpentaria later today or overnight. The system is then expected to move steadily east, across the Gulf of Carpentaria and may redevelop into a tropical cyclone overnight on Thursday or on Friday.

www.bom.gov.au...

I hant finished reading all posts yet, but i just wanted to put this link out there for others.

I've lived in Darwin Nt and now were in Townsville QLD, I've always used Bureau of Meteorology to keep track here in Australia.


love and harmony
Whateva