I was going to respond yesterday just before davesidious responded, but got distracted then went to bed.
What Dave says is correct.
It likely means current intel' indicates Iran does not have the facilities to convert Uranium into fuel rods etc for the supposed nuclear power
generation or for use by the medical establishment.
The fissile reactions of a reactor and an atomic, on to thermonuclear detonation are very different.
An atomic or thermonuclear device detonates into an uncontrolled reaction and immediate decay of the nuclear material, such as Uranium and so
immediate release of energy, an atomic device is simple but very large and only has a trigger and basic nuclear material,, Uranium, see the early
devices dropped on Hiroshima and Nagasaki and the Manhattan project, whereas thermonuclear devices have layers of highly enriched Uranium, Caesium
137, Cobalt and Plutonium which produces an enhanced detonation with significantly higher yield than simple atomic devices so can be scaled down in
yield and size even though different nuclear material is used, hence tactical nukes, more bang for the buck as they say and why multiple devices can
be in a single nuclear missile warhead etc.
To use fissionable Uranium in an atomic device is actually very easy once sufficient amounts of uranium are enriched and what has bothered me is
development of atomic devices which can be delivered by medium range bombers and dropped near a staging base in surrounding countries or aircraft
carriers etc, making use to counter an Iranian attack much harder as personnel would have to all wear environment suits to operate in an area
irradiated by an atomic detonation, i refer to the devices as i have thought the Iranians are seeking to develop for a number of years now as "drop
bombs" not even intended for missile deployment but to be dropped near a target and rendering the target unusable to counter Iranian hostilities, a
glorified dirty bomb with a lower yield explosive force but a large fallout area.
Creating an atomic device is easier than processing fuel rods etc for controlled fission reactions of power plants and medical apparatus, once
enriched Uranium is available, it just needs the casing manufactured, the detonator, Uranium and 'workings', easily done in a shielded lab'.
While if intent is for peaceable uses, separate processing plants are required to manufacture fuel rods, pellets.
Now i don't know, i'm surmising, but if they aren't building processing plants to turn their Uranium into fuel rods, it would indicate the intent
is more likely to create simple atomic devices, too large for missile deployment really, but not too big for deployment via medium range bombers
etc.
And this has been a concern i've had for 5-6 years now, as per my articulations to various people years back as well as a couple of forums.
Considering the manner Iran has been in recent years, i don't think such concerns are unfounded, that's me and intelligence services have much more
current data on the situation, if they think that's where Iran is going now they are probably correct, i was worried about them developing atomic
drop bombs half a decade ago and it seems all they have done since then is progress atomic weapons development and seek to hide what they are doing,
one would rather think a peaceable civil nuclear programme would be more open and up front to the international community rather than getting them to
admit anything at all like pulling Buffalo teeth.
Is one reason i'd like to see hot Fusion developed, so we can get onto banning fission technology altogether at some point in the near future, when
you see thermonuclear devices, they require a lot of work, not easy devices to create, simple atomic devices are not actually that hard when somebody
has the base material, Uranium, very worrying indeed.
Peace.
[edit on 12-2-2010 by DeltaPan]