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Originally posted by TrickoftheShade
Okay, here's where the discussion began:
Original post -- The conclusion corrosion causing sulfur came primarily ftom gypsum drywall material is not only a reasonable assumption, there is no in
Originally posted by TrickoftheShade
No - it is you who is confused.
Nowhere have I suggested that any unfalsified theory is "true" until disproven. Just that it remains potentially true.
in response to the idea that science does not work based on the idea that any theory is right until you prove it wrong.
Actually it kind of is.
With regard to the discussion being held between bsbray and the poster that I mention above, bsbray is incorrect in his assumption (note - his assumption, not mine) that the poster is suggesting that any theory is "true" until proven false. The poster is in fact claiming that no good evidence exists to falsify his theory, and it is therefore likely to be correct.
Originally posted by bsbray11
Sorry but that's nowhere near how real science works. Prove me wrong, or else I'm right.
Originally posted by TrickoftheShade
Actually it kind of is.
That's how the scientific method works, and I do have some understanding of it. Until half an hour ago you hadn't actually heard of Karl Popper, so it's unlikely to be me that has less grasp of it than you.
Originally posted by Lillydale
According to TotS, science works like this. "Any theory I have is right until you prove it wrong."
It is right there in black and white. I thought maybe he would come and explain to us all how that is even remotely true but I guess on ATS, some people just say things that are not true and just hope they will be believed.
Originally posted by LillydaleI did not reply to the bulk of your post because it is a pointless exercise. You told me that I need to have a competing theory and not just questions or else magically the theory you have is true.
AAAAAAAAAAAARGH! Are you really this dense? I've just spent several posts correcting this misapprehension. And you KEEP REPEATING IT.
Originally posted by Lillydale
Originally posted by bsbray11
Sorry but that's nowhere near how real science works. Prove me wrong, or else I'm right.
To which you replied
Originally posted by TrickoftheShade
Actually it kind of is.
that's nowhere near how real science works
With nothing conflicting and there being no alternative explanation - by default it is considered to be correct
Really? When did I claim to have never heard of Popper? I tossed away your little paper for two reasons. It was just a link on the internet that did not address your point all that much and when it did, it proved you wrong. Would you really rather bring that back into this?
Still feeling ignored? My apologies you and anyone else that was hoping I would be here 24/7 to entertain you. It is the Holiday season after all. I have to get up from this chair once or twice a week you know.
Originally posted by TrickoftheShade
Originally posted by Lillydale
Originally posted by bsbray11
Sorry but that's nowhere near how real science works. Prove me wrong, or else I'm right.
To which you replied
Originally posted by TrickoftheShade
Actually it kind of is.
Okay. Slowly. The reason I contextualised the post is because Bsbray's original quote says
that's nowhere near how real science works
Anyone asked to comment on this would need to know what "that" was.
So what was it? The original poster wrote
With nothing conflicting and there being no alternative explanation - by default it is considered to be correct
I pointed out that this is broadly true. How could it be otherwise?
In support I offered a paper by Karl Popper, probably the most important philosopher of science in the twentieth century, showing how - logically - theories can only be falsified, never proved.
(Hilariously you rejected this because it discussed astrology, when you yourself had used an analogy about flat earthers in a previous discussion in a very similar way to Popper. Priceless.)
Really? When did I claim to have never heard of Popper? I tossed away your little paper for two reasons. It was just a link on the internet that did not address your point all that much and when it did, it proved you wrong. Would you really rather bring that back into this?
It was pretty obvious from what you wrote. And just because you are once again struggling with comprehension doesn't mean it disproves what I wrote. In fact it very much endorses it.
And how amusing that someone who would link to a conspiracy website won't allow a link to work by an eminent philosopher of science when discussing, er, philosophy of science.
Still feeling ignored? My apologies you and anyone else that was hoping I would be here 24/7 to entertain you. It is the Holiday season after all. I have to get up from this chair once or twice a week you know.
You come across as so curmudgeonly. Hope you get some nice presents.
Originally posted by TrickoftheShade
Seriously you must try to grasp what I'm saying. We've discussed this over and over, and you persist with writing something that is untrue.
I am pretty sure we just cleared that up.
I have never suggested that a theory is "true" until proved wrong. That's a mistake that you made a very long time ago when you misunderstood something I wrote. You continue to pretend that I said something that I did not.
If it is "right there in black and white" please just cut and paste it.
Originally posted by Lillydale
With NOTHING CONFLICTING and there being NO ALTERNATIVE EXPLANATION - something is by default true.
Originally posted by TrickoftheShade
You've substituted the word "true" for "correct", but otherwise, yes, that's what I think.
(If you read the Popper essay you will see why I don't consider real "truth" to be attainable, so it's not a term I'd use.)
Perhaps you could give me an example of a theory that
has NOTHING CONFLICTING with it, and for which there is NO ALTERNATIVE EXPLANATION
that is not generally accepted to be correct?
Originally posted by Lillydale
Nope. Off the top of my head I sure can not. That is why they are theories but not necessarily TRUE or CORRECT.
I can play your game though. Can you name just one theory that is correct only because of the lack of opposing evidence?
You admit there is a dragon in my garage then? That is my theory. I offered to let you come prove that wrong and you failed to do so, so it is true then according to you. Whatever you want.
Originally posted by TheWalkingFox
I don't know about him, but I can't. Again, you're muddled on the nature of what a theory is. You can't just come up with any old idea, and say it's correct because of a lack of opposing evidence. Rather, theories are correct because of all the evidence that supports them.
Originally posted by Lillydale
I really have no clue who you are addressing here. You said theories are correct by nature - um ok. So any theory is correct? no, 'rather, theories are correct because of all the evidence that supports them.'
Uh....I am not sure how you reconcile your first statement with the second. Either they are correct by nature or they are correct because of the evidence supporting them. You contradicted yourself there.
Anyway, you are just backing me up. I am the one saying that they are correct because of the evidence supporting them. Please do not argue with me to say that what I said is correct.
Originally posted by TheWalkingFox
Actually, "there is a dragon in my garage" would be your hypothesis. After making that hypothesis, you would need to gather evidence.
Open the door to your garage. is there a dragon in there? At first glance, it looks like no. Look under the car, is he there? No. In the cabinets? For good measure, let's close the garage door and come in the side. Still no dragon? So far, the evidence that we have gathered says that there is, in fact, no dragon in your garage.
Now we could stop there and call your hypothesis wrong, but just because we're completists, we can set up some equipment to see if the dragon mysteriously appears in your garage when you're not looking.
So we leave a collection of video cameras, Geiger counters, seismometers, whatever the heck you would use to record the presence of a dragon in a garage, and we leave them there for a few days.
We come back to collect the equipment for analysis. The data recorded by these reinforces our observational data of no dragon.
Your hypothesis that there is a dragon in your garage is incorrect, and never makes it close to the "theory" stage. You will need to come up with another explanation of who keeps eating your dog's food. Looking at the video tape, maybe you'll see the raccoon come in through the dryer vent you never got around to closing off.
Originally posted by TheWalkingFox
If you know what a theory is, and are just being facetious, then you're apparently pretty bad at being facetious, and this thread would seem to just be you trolling, if so.
Originally posted by TheWalkingFox
reply to post by Lillydale
Unobservable evidence is an oxymoron.
If you have nothing tangible to back up the presence of your dragon, then it must be taken that said dragon does not exist, and your hypothesis is wrong.
Originally posted by Hack28
Thats why its still
"the theory of eveolution"
"the theory of gravity"
"the theory of relativity"
"the big bang theory"
There are so many generally accepted theories that are just that. Theories, and theories exist until they are either proven or idsproven and replaced with another theory.
To illustrate the point i found this fascinating when it came out, it is the list fo the top 100 questions still unanswered by science. It was released by Science Magazine in celebration of the 125th anniversary of science.
Some of them that are still un proven are passed along all the time as facts. Which they are not. Some included which may seem like they have been answered but are not are as follows:
How did flowers evolve?
How do general anesthetics work?
Why do we sleep?
Why doesn't a pregnant woman reject her fetus?
How do proteins find their partners?
What causes reversals in Earth's magnetic field?
How do planets form?
What is the nature of the glassy state?
What is the structure of water?
What is the nature of gravity?
These are just a few visit the link for more. I find it fascinating to research all these "facts" that are passed around as common knowledge. When in fact most of them are still theories or unproven hypothesis. There is sooo much of this world we do not know.
www.sciencemag.org...
Originally posted by Lillydale
Originally posted by TrickoftheShade
Perhaps you could give me an example of a theory that
has NOTHING CONFLICTING with it, and for which there is NO ALTERNATIVE EXPLANATION
that is not generally accepted to be correct?
Nope. Off the top of my head I sure can not.
That is why they are theories but not necessarily TRUE or CORRECT. I can play your game though. Can you name just one theory that is correct only because of the lack of opposing evidence?
Originally posted by TrickoftheShade
So in the entire history of human thought, the vast canon of theories and experiences stretching back into history, you cannot give me a single example that supports your opinion and contradicts mine?
Well, that would kind of suggest that I'm right.
With NOTHING CONFLICTING and there being NO ALTERNATIVE EXPLANATION - a theory is by default considered correct
- a statement which you apparently find ridiculous.
(Sidenote - can you explain to me why you disagree with this?)
Your silly example of your dragon in your garage doesn't qualify because
- it isn't a theory
- there is no way of measuring the phenomenon
- using standard systems of measurement and observation it is easily falsifed anyway.
- it isn't a theory
- there is no way of measuring the phenomenon
- using standard systems of measurement and observation it is easily falsifed anyway.