Earthquakes in or near NYC, Are there any credible predictions?

Earthquake Details
Magnitude 2.6
Date-Time Thursday, August 27, 2009 at 01:44:58 UTC
Wednesday, August 26, 2009 at 08:44:58 PM at epicenter
Time of Earthquake in other Time Zones

There have been several earthquake close to NYC and the the US East Coast in the recent past. In the information below we noter some bigger Mag 5 + earthquakes.

Some years ago someone predicted a major NYC earthquake. More recently scientist are voicing some concerns. I'm not saying that this small quake is a precursor, I'm just putting the information out there for comments and to seen if anything new has come up.

Location 39.326°N, 72.458°W
Depth 6.1 km (3.8 miles) set by location program
Region OFF THE EAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES
Distances 149 km (93 miles) ESE (108°) from Barnegat Light, NJ
150 km (93 miles) ESE (106°) from Harvey Cedars, NJ
151 km (94 miles) ESE (104°) from Surf City, NJ
197 km (123 miles) SE (140°) from New York, NY

Location Uncertainty horizontal +/- 15 km (9.3 miles); depth fixed by location program
Parameters NST= 7, Nph= 14, Dmin=298 km, Rmss=0.23 sec, Gp=346°,
M-type="Nuttli" surface wave magnitude (mbLg), Version=a
Source New England Seismic Network (NESN):
Weston Observatory of Boston College

Event ID ne00001125

www.ldeo.columbia.edu...

LARGEST EARTHQUAKES NEAR NEW YORK CITY
DATE yr/mo/da TIME hh:mm:sec LAT. (°N) LONG. (°W) LOCATION MAGNITUDERichter (ML) Max. Intensity(MM) Remark
1884 Aug 10 19:07 40.45 73.90 Greater N.Y. City area 5.2 VII Threw down chimneys - felt from Virginia to Maine;
1737 Dec 19 03:45 40.80 74.00 Greater N.Y. City area* 5.2 VII Threw down chimneys
1783 Nov 30 03:50 41.00 74.00 N. Central N.J.* 4.9 VI Threw down chimneys
1847 Greater N.Y. City area* 4.5 V Probably Offshore
1848 Sep 09 41.11 73.85 Greater N.Y. City area* 4.4 V Many people in the NY City area felt the earthquake
1895 Sep 01 11:09 40.55 74.30 N. Central N.J. 4.3 VI Location determined by fire and aftershock
1985 Oct 19 10:07 40.98 73.83 Ardsley, N.Y. 4.0 IV Many people in the NY City area felt this earthquake
1927 Jun 01 12:23 40.30 74.00 Near Asbury Park, N.J. 3.9 VI-VII Very high intensity in Asbury Park, NJ - perhaps shallow event
1845 Oct 26 23:15 41.22 73.67 Greater N.Y. City area* 3.8 VI
1938 Aug 23 05:04:53 40.10 74.50 Central N.J. 3.8 VI
1951 Sep 03 21:26:24 41.25 74.00 Rockland Co., N.Y. 3.6 V
1937 Jul 19 03:51 40.60 73.76 Western Long Is., N.Y. 3.5 IV One or few earthquakes beneath Long Island
1957 Mar 23 19:02 40.60 74.80 Central N.J. 3.5 VI
1874 Dec 11 03:25 41.05 73.85 Near Nyack and Tarry-town, N.Y. 3.4 VI
1885 Jan 04 11:06 41.15 73.85 Hudson Valley 3.4 VI
1979 Mar 10 04:49:39 40.72 74.50 Central N.J. 3.2 V-VI Felt by some people in Manhattan[it is called Chesequake earthquake]
2001 Oct 17 01:42:21 40.79 73.97 Manhattan, New York City 2.6 IV Felt in Upper West Side of Manhattan, Astoria and Queens, NYC
2001 Jan 17 12:34:22 40.78 73.95 Manhattan, New York City 2.4 IV Felt in Upper East Side of Manhattan, Long Island City and Queens, NYC
Location very poorly determined; may be uncertain by 50 miles.


[url=http://www.livescience.com/environment/080821-new-york-earthquakes.html]http://www.livescience.com/environment/080821-new-york-earthquakes.html[/ url]

Environment
Study: Large Earthquake Could Strike New York City
By Robert Roy Britt, LiveScience Managing Editor
posted: 21 August 2008 06:20 pm ET
Buzz up!
Comments (7) | Recommend (0)

All known quakes, greater New York-Philadelphia area, 1677-2004, graded by magnitude (M). Peekskill, NY, near Indian Point nuclear power plant, is denoted as Pe. Credit: Sykes et al.
The New York City area is at "substantially greater" risk of earthquakes than previously thought, scientists said Thursday.

We did have a small but noticable earthquake in New Jersey near the beginning of this summer, in Morristown/Parsippany area (Morris Cty). Did some bad damage to select part of the roads in the area.

Also there is a fault line in Ringwood NJ that is well known but has not had any large quakes in some amount of years now.

Both locations are roughly 30-40 minutes from Manhattan

reply to post by palg1


www.nyc24.org...

nymag.com...



Seems like the 125th street fault line is the most hazardous.

www.ldeo.columbia.edu...

But there are indeed many fault lines in the NYC area.

I guess noboby is losing any sleep over this and I'm not either.

Has anybody seen or heard of any real scientificily based predictions or average timelines for major quakes in regards to faultline activity in the New York area? I'm talking about percentages or patterns.

Originally posted by palg1
Has anybody seen or heard of any real scientificily based predictions or average timelines for major quakes in regards to faultline activity in the New York area? I'm talking about percentages or patterns.

Here, I dug this article up for you:

www.dukelabs.com...

The first ever EQ in recorded history, from a fault line on land inside the boundaries of NYC-- which only registered as a 2.6 mind you-- was only in January 2001.

To give some perspective, as the article mentioned, 9/11 showed up almost as powerful.

Its really not a very active region. I think a hurricane is a more likely natural disaster in comparison to a quake large enough to disturb the metropolis.

reply to post by SlasherOfVeils


Thanks Slasher,

A very interesting read. Although it doesn't imply any imminent threat to the area. It reminds us that we must still respect its potential for destruction.