posted on Aug, 25 2009 @ 02:47 PM
Here's why this story should be getting way more coverage than it has so far. As it stands right now, the "Bird Flu" H5N1 which has been seen
heavily in the Asian countries among poultry hasn't made the jump to become easily contractible by humans. Of the several hundred humans who have
become infected by it (almost all of them poultry workers), it has displayed a 60% mortality rate, 60%! H1N1, however, has displayed a mortality rate
far lower than even that of the seasonal flu... but it's infection rate is ridiculously high, managing to transmit itself to virtually anyone who
comes in contact with the virus. Reports list both H5N1 and H1N1 as being extremely unstable and susceptible to mutations, including exchanging
genetic material with other flu strains.
This is where this turkey story comes in and, honestly, is the first report about H1N1 that has actually frightened me. The fact that H1N1 is now
actively infecting birds, presumably from a human carrier, means that the gap between H5N1 and the elusive "quick infection route" into humans is
essentially bridged. All that has to happen now is for the H1N1 virus to infect a poultry farm which already is carrying the Bird Flu H5N1 virus and
every ingredient for mutation is present. Even worse, viruses, like all living creatures, mutate traits which help them fulfill primary objectives of
life (obtain food, protection from threats, and reproduction of the species). H5N1 has a slow burn rate, which means those who have managed to
contract it go about their business for awhile before knowing they're even sick. A side effect of this seems to be a massive amount of damage to
their system, causing death in 60% of them so far. H1N1, on the other hand, has a quick fuse, going from healthy to feeling sick in a couple days, to
feeling better a couple days after that, and it does relatively little real damage to the carrier's system. Flip a coin... if you were a virus would
you rather remain infectious for a shorter time and leave your host relatively unscathed at the end, or remain virulent for a longer time, but see the
death of the host? I'm guessing the longer virulent period will win that mutation lottery, but I really hope I'm wrong.