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ATLANTA — In a disturbing new projection, health officials say up to 40 percent of Americans could get swine flu this year and next and several hundred thousand could die without a successful vaccine campaign and other measures.
The estimates by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention are roughly twice the number of those who catch flu in a normal season and add greater weight to hurried efforts to get a new vaccine ready for the fall flu season.
Health officials say flu cases may explode in the fall, when schools open and become germ factories, and the new estimates dramatize the need to have vaccines and other measures in place.
The CDC came up with the new projections for the virus' spread last month, but it was first disclosed in an interview this week with The Associated Press.
The estimates are based on a flu pandemic from 1957, which killed nearly 70,000 in the United States but was not as severe as the infamous Spanish flu pandemic of 1918-19. The number of deaths and illnesses from the new swine flu virus would drop if the pandemic peters out or if efforts to slow its spread are successful, said CDC spokesman Tom Skinner.
Because so many more people are expected to catch the new flu, the number of deaths over two years could range from 90,000 to several hundred thousand, the CDC calculated. Again, that is if a new vaccine and other efforts fail.
Originally posted by Romanian
No big deal, better get it now and get immune to it, than getting it after it mutates!
Originally posted by FlyersFan
Originally posted by Romanian
No big deal, better get it now and get immune to it, than getting it after it mutates!
It doesn't work that way.
If you get it now and then it mutates, then the new and stronger virus will be something that you don't have immunity for because ... it will be a new virus.
Also ... if you get it and you die then it IS a big deal, isn't it?
Originally posted by mikerussellus
Then why get the vaccine?