posted on Jun, 23 2009 @ 03:39 PM
reply to post by poedxsoldiervet
Did you note the "educated" part? While most of the poor and uneducated would need help if they went, that group of women most probably wouldn't.
They are the most likely to support the status quo.
I am referring to a migration of the educated middle class, the professional women. That group should be able to find employment within and contribute
to any society that took them in, to the detriment of the ayatollahs.
Women are quite vital to all phases of economic activity. If a significant number left, it would cripple the Iranian economy. The ayatollahs would be
faced with an extremely hard set of choices, and no matter what choice they made, it would only publicly underscore the importance of skilled women,
an importance that could be leveraged into true political power.
The most likely case would resolve with the ayatollahs giving in to the enormous social pressure that would be brought to bear without anyone reaching
the border. Understand that this would be political theater of the highest sort: deadly dangerous, but nonviolent; absolutely unmistakeably against
the current policies; completely focussed on simple freedom, understandable by everyone everywhere. That's why a mass convoy, an exodus is
required.
It would place the ruling clique in an untenable situation: ignore it and lose the talents, more importantly lose control of those voices, acknowledge
it with physical force and underscore the fact that they can't control them by moral force because they have none. Pretty much no matter what
response they make, they lose power, it would be a matter of degree.
An intelligent sharp woman, or group of them could then use the moment to create true change that lasts there.