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From UrbanSurvival
Fear Monday
As we've been writing about for what? 6-9 months now? The linguistics turn that www.halfpasthuman.com has been tracking for October 25/26 is nearly in vie as processing continues.
Just so you understand how this stuff works in a very general sense the October 'turn' was spotted in the last several data runs and may be as much as 85% economic in nature. But now that we're getting close, Cliff and Igor have been watching the data coming back from the forum scouring spiders which are sending in snips of interest to the servers, where in turn they are distilled and analyzed.
So, the latest from Cliff is:
"latest immediacy data shows it as occurring at
5:12 am 10-26-2009 (time zones are a bitch so let us just say east coast time) and will likely be wrong by about 6 hours as it may actually be 'effective' on the paris meridian (the old rose line).
a small visibility spike occurs at 7:02 am on the 26th
so damn early Monday morning...."
I plan to get up a little earlier than usual Monday to see how it looks 'going by'. It's always of interest not only to watch something in the 'rickety time machine' pop into reality, but more interesting to is do some propagation mapping.
What's that? Oh, you know: You can get a sense of who is playing 'follow the leader" and who the real leaders are when the Monday story hits (if/when it does at all - since we could be wrong).
Seeing as it arises out of 'globalpop', I am not really expecting it to be a USA-centered event. Maybe something in Asia (huge mega quake or financial lockup - something like that - or heaven forbid Israel takes out the Bushir reactor complex.)
Not only will Cliff & Igor get to see the change of language wash through the internet, but I will be able to see how the story pops and see how it goes from usually only one or two 'first hand' media to the rest of the MSM and then into the blogosphere. I figure if the timing's right, it ought to be on the tongues of about half the world's population by say Tuesday noon US time if we've got the timing clues right.
Let's hope it's not so bad... See ya'll on the other side.
Originally posted by shrike071
Nothing will happen today or tomorrow... These bots have been wrong much more often than they've been correct and this is yet another example.
Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
Updated 2009 Oct 25 2201 UTC
Joint USAF/NOAA Report of Solar and Geophysical Activity
SDF Number 298 Issued at 2200Z on 25 Oct 2009
IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 24/2100Z
to 25/2100Z: Solar activity was low. Region 1029 (N14W12) produced
several B-class events and a C1.5 flare at 25/0226Z. Region 1028
(N24W10) continues to decay.
IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance of an M-class flare.
IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 24/2100Z to 25/2100Z:
Geomagnetic field activity was quiet to unsettled.
IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet through the forecast period (26-28 October) due
to the coronal hole high speed stream rotating out of a geoeffective
position.
III. Event Probabilities 26 Oct-28 Oct
Class M 05/05/05
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
Observed 25 Oct 076
Predicted 26 Oct-28 Oct 075/075/075
90 Day Mean 25 Oct 069
V. Geomagnetic A Indices
Observed Afr/Ap 24 Oct 005/008
Estimated Afr/Ap 25 Oct 008/010
Predicted Afr/Ap 26 Oct-28 Oct 005/005-005/005-005/005
VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 26 Oct-28 Oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
This is really the challenge for the future. We can build a civilization like nothing the world has ever seen. But can it be a human, a *human* civilization? Can it actually honor human values? It's one thing, the rate of invention or gross national product or production of industrial capacity -- all of these things are all very well. But the real dilemma for human beings is how to build a compassionate human civilization. The means to do it come into our ken at the same rate as all these tools which betray it. And if we betray our humanness in the pursuit of civilization, then the dialogue has become mad.
Originally posted by Syrus Magistus
So today's the day. What happened?
Originally posted by Evasius
That naughty little 'balloon boy' even gets his own special notch in the Timewave:
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/ec9ae38e3cf3.jpg[/atsimg]
Obviously there are more things happening at the moment that matter more, but this is where much of the world's attention was today - and where 'attention goes, energy flows' as they say.
World watches odyssey of 'Balloon Boy' in real time