reply to post by dominuz
Here's my take on the whole July 7th prediction. I posted this on June 11 on the other timewave thread, as well as my 'Sunpspots in straight line'
thread, and I'll post it here since this flare forecast seems to have really gotten people worked up.
The "Australian Scientist" says according to the crop circles that appeared on April 24, May 9 & 10 of this year (and perhaps 1 or 2 formations
since) that there will be a CME on July 7, 2009. He counted the circles, correlated the dates, realized that July 7 had an 'apogee' coinciding with
the full moon and went with that date.
Earthfiles source
Well, I've just cross-checked with the timewave, and there's really nothing of notable resonance at that point on the graph (unless there's
something so far back in history, we're not aware of it - which is possible). Anyway, I've chosen to disagree with his assumption. There is a slight
dip on the 7th, but that could be anything and will more than likely be non-solar (in my opinion).
There is a date however which concerns me regarding CME's and solar storms. It's
September 1,
1859.
The most powerful flare of the last 500 years was the first flare to be observed, and occurred in September 1859: it was reported by British
astronomer Richard Carrington and left a trace in Greenland ice in the form of nitrates and beryllium-10, which allow its strength to be measured
today (New Scientist, 2005).
Also known as the "Carrington Event," a massive CME was ejected directly towards Earth and subsequently caused the largest geomagnetic storm in
recorded history.
From the 1st to the 2nd, the largest recorded geomagnetic storm occurred, causing the failure of telegraph systems all over Europe and North
America.[5] Auroras were seen all over the world, most notably over the Caribbean; also noteworthy were those over the Rocky Mountains that were so
bright, the glow awoke gold miners, who began preparing breakfast because they thought it was morning.
1859 solar super storm thread by Chadwickus
I've had a look and this date correlates with the July 26-28, 2010 timeframe according to TWZ. Below is how the 1859 CME is recorded on the wave - a
period of 7 days is visible:
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/d718a22aa1e3.jpg[/atsimg]
Below is the same event zoomed out to a span of 55 years. Here you can see a few events including the US Civil War and Lincoln's assassination:
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/58efda79a69c.jpg[/atsimg]
And here is the same section in our current cycle which extends from February to December in 2010. Assuming that natural events can resonate future
similar events,
then I predict sometime between July 26-29, 2010, there will be a resonant solar event.
This event could be a CME, major
sunspot activity, or the Sun simply and suddenly becoming a focus of fear to the general public (via the media):
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/68be43dea5b6.jpg[/atsimg]
I'm only going with this date because of the resonance factor, and my belief that the Sun will take over a year to 'flip its switch' and become a
danger to us, although surprisingly there's a fairly large spot on the Sun as I type this.
One last point of correlation is that, just as the "Australian Scientist's" chosen date, July 28, 2010 is also an apogee of the Moon (
see
below), however the full moon happens 2 days prior which isn't as exact as the 2009 prediction.
[atsimg]http://files.abovetopsecret.com/images/member/27db51515b82.jpg[/atsimg]
Chart
Source
Anyway, let's just see what happens...only
time will tell. I just feel these CME events take more time to 'brew up' than a day or two. Maybe
the crop circles were only pointing to the new sunspot activity we see now rather than a 'Earth on Fire' scenario.