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Originally posted by stander
Originally posted by rattan1
Originally posted by stander
Panarin never made any prediction regarding the disolution of his own country, the Soviet Union. Under Brezhnev, it wouldn't be a wise thing to make a prediction of this kind, but Gorbachev's glasnost policy gave him enough room to show off his prophetic skills. Unfortunately, Panarin couldn't well understand the future of his own country. That automatically disqualifies him from making future predictions regarding the disolution of other countries.
I agree with you to some extent. But i think we should look at the Future rather than the past. Have a look at the US intelligence Report "Global Trend 2025" which clearly shows the decline of the US dominance by 2025. As i said times are changing very fast and what may happen by 2025 could happen much sooner than that.
A diminishing global influence is not a harbinger of a break up. There has been no word yet coming from the states themselves that a particular state would do much better if it left the Union. The CIA(?) report doesn't hint -- even between the lines -- that some internal strife could take place by 2025. It's up to you decide which source is more reliable to follow as far as a 15 year outlook is concerned; you can go by a word coming from overseas or you can go by the opinions of the folks who live in the USA.
Here is a question: What is likely to take place sooner -- the USA breaking up or Russia going back to communism?