Gallup Stunner - Obama Down To 2% Lead Nationally!

These things go up and down and up and down ...
just like the stock market.

The only poll that'll matter is the final one on election day.

Even that won't be accurate.

It'll be so corrupted and falsified ...

At this rate McCain will have a 1-2 point lead in almost all the (known for being) accurate pollsters.

Now we await the riots. Because either way, regardless of who wins theres going to be a lot of mad people.

reply to post by AndrewTB


andrew how did you get your electoral prediction?? realclearploitics.com successfully predicted the bush win despite polls last election. Almost perfectly....

this year... rcp has obama well over 300 WITH the toss up states.

reply to post by bknapple32


I think the most telling sign is McCain only holds a 5 point lead in his HOME STATE.

reply to post by bknapple32


I'd venture a guess that he wins by a bit more than that in Arizona next week, but still, I wouldn't expect a huge win there, even if it is his home state. Bush only won it by 6 and 10 in 2000 and 2004, respectively. Arizona leans conservative and is a fairly reliable conservative state on election day, but it is not overwhelmingly conservative like Utah, Idaho or Wyoming.

Originally posted by bknapple32
I think the most telling sign is McCain only holds a 5 point lead in his HOME STATE.

That is pretty impressive .. in a bad way for McCain .. isn't it?

However, wasn't it Al Gore who was Bill Clintons VP ... and who did not carry Tennessee for Bill Clinton? I think so. One of the times the two of them ran, Gore didn't carry his home state. ( I think I remember reading that)

It does happen that the ticket will not get the home state.

But you are right - Arizona may go Obama.
That would be a kick in the pants for John McCain.