posted on Sep, 15 2008 @ 09:05 PM
As someone who works in the banking and investment industry we keep a close eye on these situations. Now I am not personally a "doomsdayer" or
overly optimistic to the point where I am oblivious but let me point out a few key facts about these situations:
These companies which are failing are mostly as a result of two things: 1) investing too much of their portfolios in sub-prime real estate marketing
and 2) other risky investments in order to generate capital. These organizations, in an attempt to compete, invested different amounts of monies in
investments they thought would play out. Unfortunately for them, their analysts were wrong in their assessment of the economy and whether it would be
"bullish" or "bearish." These risky investments are a DIRECT result of the banking crises experienced and will continue to happy. For instance,
AIG is scrambling as we speak to gain capital for their investments. Our company competes directly with their annuities and as a matter of fact in
recent weeks we have been unable to compete with their interest rate guarantees (they offered a percentage higher than our current rate which is a lot
considering the market risk involved). They did this in order to gain STRAIGHT AND IMMEDIATE income, also known as a "short-fix." As well all know,
short fixes do not address the problem in the long-term, but instead deepen the crisis looming. On deck for chapter 11 protection is Washington Mutual
or WAMU. Check out their stock price and where it has gone in the past couple weeks. Because of Lehman Brothers, Merrill Lynch, and AIG media coverage
WAMU has not been covered.
If you look at the historical perspective of the stock market, nothing drastic is happening. It is a market correction and is not unordinary. As these
banks fail, oil dips, the dollar rises, and companies restructure. As for Lehman, they got bad financial advise, because when it comes to stock
market, you can either be conservative or risky and the companies who choose the latter are ultimately the ones who fail if these corrections
happen.
I hope this helps with the understanding a little bit, the market will recover and this is not the economic end of the world. That's what 2012 is
for, right?