posted on Aug, 6 2008 @ 05:19 PM
Many many institutions have done this over the past six months. Some have done it across the board others have done it mainly in bubble areas. With
the massive decline in home values HELOCs are a bad bet for a bank. If a home is foreclosed upon and can't be sold at a price that pays off the first
mortgage the HELOC holder gets zero from the sale and thier only option is to go after the borrowers other assetts. Also, most people don't know that
almost all HELOCs are callable, meaning the lender can call you up and say "the entire balance is due now".
HELOCs have been a major support to consumer spending during a period when there has been very little real wage growth. It worked well enough to mask
the real drop in American standard of living in a overheated housing market but now that housing has tanked they are another huge potential bomb on
financial's balance sheets still rife with bad assetts. Many people's only "savings" was their home appreciation in the bubble time.
Many analysts have predicted the death of the consumer for years now. Easy access to HELOCs and rapidly appreciating home prices were, IMO, probably
the major if not main reason the consumer was able to keep spending even though income had not risen during that time.
We don't really produce anything here in the states anymore so, the economy is dependent on the consumer to keep spending. I don't see how anyone
can think we're not in for a rough time given mounting unemployment, dropping home values, withdrawal of credit, increasing commodities (interesting
downside action there lately btw), and rapidly approaching demographic bombs (boomer retirement).