posted on Feb, 20 2008 @ 10:16 PM
They say you can't go home again, but I think that after Cuba opens up again organized crime will be back. I think there are going to be some mighty
turf wars. The Russian criminal underworld will be fighting it out with the mafia and other gangs for control of the island.
Being Canadian we have a different perspective on Cuba than the US does, or than the Miami Cubans do. Canadians have had a lot to do with Cuba over
the years since Castro took power. There is a guy from Canada named Thomas Hinds who got the exclusive (I think) right to import Cuban cigars into
Canada. He has dealt with the Cubans for many years and is quite knowledgeable about the situation on the island under Castro.
He said in a magazine interview that I read that if Cuba ever gets out from under the US trade embargo it's economy is going to take off, because
Castro has done a great job of educating the Cuban people and building up a sense of social pride and accomplishment. Cuba is not a nation of peons
anymore.
But having said that, I don't think it will make any difference. I don't think they will be able to withstand the dark forces that surround them.
The best thing they have going for them is the dictatorship of Castro. When that is gone they may wind up with a democracy that is very easy to
destabilize and manipulate. That's what happened in the Phillipines when Marcos was ousted.
If the Miami Cubans return to the island, there will be a lot of trouble, even if Raoul Castro manages to normalize relations with the US and clear up
the financial settlements and adjustments that must be a precursor to normalization. My two cents worth.
[edit on 20-2-2008 by ipsedixit]