posted on Feb, 16 2008 @ 11:42 PM
It looks less and less likely that Russia will intervene immediately. If was going to - we would already know about it, as it would need to start
transporting necessary Russian military assets to Serbia right away. Russia does not appear to be preparing in any way.
Serbia is getting ready only in so far as to mobilize local militia and paramilitaries in Serbian regions of Kosovo. These groups are in no position
to attack Albanians or NATO to prevent the separation of Kosovo, and can hardly defend the civilian Serbs if Kosovo Albanians get overly excited about
their new freedom. Serbia itself doesn't appear to be mobilizing in force either.
I think it is a safe bet to assume Respublika Srpska and Serbian part of Kosovo will counter by declaring independence as well, either right after
Kosovo or sometime in near future. If Kosovo Serbians declare independence from Kosovo - which they have every right (maybe even an obligation) to
do, then NATO will be a very compromising and uncomfortable situation. What is NATO going to do then? How can it justify preventing Serbs in Kosovo
from countering with an independence of their own? Is it going to prevent Albanians from attacking the Serbs in this case?
If NATO on the other hand allows the Albanian terrorists to attack Serbs in Kosovo, then Serbia would have to intervene, possibly followed by
Russia's support. Then NATO's situation is even worse.
And what if Transdniester, Abkhazia and South Ossetia declare their independence immediately after Kosovo? This is the pandora's box that Russia and
several other countries were talking about. There is no predicting what will happen, and who will declare independence next.
A multinational organization has approved a creation of an illegal sovereignty, which violates commonly accepted international laws. Not only is
Kosovo's independence illegal, it is going to be headed by a recognized terrorist organization - led by thugs who have taken part in terrorist
activities, guerilla warfare, and ethnic cleansing. How can NATO take itself seriously after this? NATO violated its own laws to help create a
functioning terrorist-controlled state.
And this concerns not only Serbia. Montenegro, Macedonia, and Bosnia are all facing similar problems with the Albanian diaspora, who are pushing to
create a Greater Albania. Is NATO going to protect these countries when the KLA resumes operations there, with renewed vigor and steady stream of
financing and reinforcements from Kosovo? NATO just got itself into an even bigger mess, and it was already neck-deep in ****. I doubt NATO will
stick around for long, because the morale of its troops is at an all time low, and one by one the member nations are cutting funding for the continued
operations in the Balkans.
So we will be left with an independent Kosovo run by bandits whose political experience equates to knowing how to use an AK47, and separatists around
the world who will now have a precedent to go by. And where the hell is the rest of Europe looking when this bull**** is happening right under their
nose? Where are the mass public protests - the kind we saw when Israel bombed Lebanon or U.S. invaded Iraq? Where are the political pundits call the
compromise of Territorial Integrity into question? Has Europe really become so lethargic and apathetic?
So who is going to be next to have their nation dissected? Macedonia? Montenegro? Moldavia? Spain? Georgia? Ukraine? Russia? Everyone is fair
game now. Russia-U.S. relations take another hit, Europe sits by, and U.S. marvels at its abilities to go about its business without concern for
those on whom it steps.
As much as I hope Russia or Serbia will intervene as soon as the farce of Kosovo independence comes into being, it appears that they too have
succumbed to lethargy of international politics.