It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
"For the future, we may need to think about how we control the process better and have maybe a national primary day." -- Sen. Mel Martinez, R-Florida
From Animal's Opening Statements
Today there is a growing consensus that this system is flawed. Many feel that Iowa and New Hampshire are given too much power in the selection of the candidates for each party and that as such the system is undemocratic as some have more power than others.
We need a national primary and caucus day...that will end this war of attrition that eliminates the least-financed candidates regardless of the quality of their ideas, and also ends the practice of states jockeying for position.
The next portion of your opening remarks detail a real-world example of this problem in the current election cycle. There's no reason that Hilary (or any candidate) should be perceived as "more powerful" simply because they won the vote in one state. As you so aptly pointed out, just because you win one state doesn't mean you will win another. And just because you loose the first three states doesn't mean you are going to loose the rest of them.
That moment, in many ways, captures the sudden reversal of the political fortune of Mrs. Clinton, the wife of a former president and a woman who has been talked about as a possible presidential candidate herself, most likely in 2008.
Which portends well for Hillary Rodham Clinton as a presidential candidate in 2008. Not only did Kerry fail this year, but Edwards, who many considered her best potential primary challenger four years from now, has sunk. Her path is clearer now than even she probably could have hoped.
Since Roosevelt’s Progressive era, the influence of party leaders over nominations has declined, while the influence of the mass media has grown. Over the past 50 years, the emergence of new communications technologies, especially television, and changes in party rules have worked to enhance the media’s presence in the selection of presidential candidates.
Since the first televising of a primary election, New Hampshire in 1952, network coverage has become increasingly important in the scheduling of primaries and party caucuses. Other states now compete with New Hampshire to be “first,” and to draw the most media attention.
DETERRING DEMOCRACY:
HOW THE COMMISSION ON PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES
UNDERMINES DEMOCRACY
link
Executive Summary 1
Formation of an Unsuitable Sponsor 3
Bipartisan Negotiations 5
Lack of Transparency 7
Format Manipulation 8
Candidate Exclusion 10
Issue Exclusion 14
Corporate Sponsorship 16
Legal Challenges 18
Solution: Citizens’ Debate Commission 20
Conclusion 22
You also stated that a single day system would cause candidates to focus on big states with more votes. But that's what you are supposed to do in an election... get as many votes as you can. You go after your constituency - the people that will support you.
Since Roosevelt’s Progressive era, the influence of party leaders over nominations has declined, while the influence of the mass media has grown. Over the past 50 years, the emergence of new communications technologies, especially television, and changes in party rules have worked to enhance the media’s presence in the selection of presidential candidates.
Since the first televising of a primary election, New Hampshire in 1952, network coverage has become increasingly important in the scheduling of primaries and party caucuses. Other states now compete with New Hampshire to be “first,” and to draw the most media attention.
From Animal's Second Reply
I notice that Iowa and New Hampshire have the highest # of events, about 3 or 4 times as many as those states that follow in the rankings.
An interesting point to note, one that supports my claims in earlier posts, is that the states that follow in ranking are the larger states.
You seem concerned that states with earlier primaries would get special treatment...
so it seems odd that you would then justify the obvious reaction to a single day primary, which would undoubtedly be the candidates flooding the larger states with more delegates with events and ignoring smaller states.
Using the premise that more attention to the primary states equates to an undemocratic process yet asserting that more attention to larger states is simply candidates paying more attention to their “constituency” seems like a double standard.
While you maintain that the multi date primary schedule is ultimately to blame for some candidates being un-viable in the process I maintain that the media is really the culprit in this situation. Not because they report who won or lost in the early primaries but for how they shape public opinion on candidates.
Without the hype of the mainstream media no state and no candidate would have more power than another.
If I were running for president I would want to be able to reach out to as many of my constituency as possible. I would abhor being limited to only those states that offered me the largest advantage in a contest.
No I see no justification for changing the Election Day process.
Ok, there will always be more events in states that have more people in them. That should be simple logic. But how does this support your claims - and exactly what claims were those anyways? That my position would cause candidates to focus on big states? Well, this data is from the CURRENT system. I "fail to comprehend”.
In the current system, the states at the end of the primary calendar get NO SAY AT ALL, as most of the candidates have already dropped out by the time their primary is held.