reply to post by open mind
I’ve posted this elsewhere but will do so again for this thread’s benefit. This is indeed a fascinating discussion – thank you for adding your
insights and giving me and others different perspectives to ponder.
Like some of you here, I’ve done extensive research on this topic of extraterrestrial life, and while I personally believe in it, I admit we have no
(public) empirical evidence of their existence. Nevertheless, I believe some of the logic presented can be used to validate a premise of quantifiable
existence.
I agree that some of Drake/Sagan assumptions for variables in their equation are perhaps a bit optimistic, superfluous even. In circumspect, there are
alternative ways to think and logically, mathematically, reach a similar conclusion.
I implore everyone here (esp. the OP) to pick up a copy of the following book and read it. You’ll find yourself amazed and quoting from it often.
This is a great addition to any library for those interested in this subject. The author does not rely on Drake’s equation, yet clearly lays out in
lay terms an unambiguous, irrefutable case for it to be impossible that our planet alone harbors life in the universe.
Almost no hard math and no complex equations will distract you from the treatise and it is an enjoyable, captivating quick reading. You’ll have no
trouble finishing the paperback in a few sessions. The basis for the author’s study is heavily grounded in mathematics, however, particularly the
probability laws, such as the:
*Union of collection of independent events
*Sequential probability paradigm
*Information inspection paradox
*Panspermia hypothesis
*Increasing entropy in thermodynamics
*Chaotic probability distributions in deterministic and random systems
For those unfamiliar with these terms, don’t let them intimidate you – the book is very easy to grasp…
Probability 1, by Amir D. Aczel, Harcourt, Inc., ISBN: 0-15-601080-1 (pbk.)
This is a fun, entertaining read and may even alter your thinking a bit. There are a bunch of used copies available at Amazon - often less than one
dollar. See – now there’s no excuse not to read it!
You can get it here, right now (used from only $0.19!):
Probability 1.
Probability 1 should be a part of every library. I’ve shared it with many skeptics and believers alike. The result is always similar: “Wow – I
had no idea it was so obvious…”
Intriguing Thread -thanks - and keep looking up!
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[edit on 11/8/2007 by Outrageo]