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Originally posted by Gorman91
Am I the only one that notices the US military suicide rate climbing?
Sri Oracle
Not climbing, though the depression rate is. Morality is still a treasured thing.
Among active service members, the suicide rate was 17.3 per 100,000 in 2006, compared to 12.8 in 2005 and 10.8 in 2004. In 2001 the rate was 9.8 per 100,000.
Originally posted by UM_Gazz
Since you are making predictions, have you considered the possibility that the Israelis will launch preemptive strikes on Iran unilaterally, giving US forces in the region no option other than to join the fight, or be sitting targets for Iranian retaliation?
Some people here may be underestimating the Israeli resolve to see the threat of a nuclear Iran eliminated, and soon!
What would this do to your predictions?
Originally posted by Xtrozero
Originally posted by UM_Gazz
Since you are making predictions, have you considered the possibility that the Israelis will launch preemptive strikes on Iran unilaterally, giving US forces in the region no option other than to join the fight, or be sitting targets for Iranian retaliation?
Some people here may be underestimating the Israeli resolve to see the threat of a nuclear Iran eliminated, and soon!
What would this do to your predictions?
Iraq talks a lot of talk but they know what is foolish to do. Their president is western educated and so he will not do what he preaches. Israel will not preemptive full out war. They will not have the US backing them up if they did, and even though they may seem offensive at times they are defensive in nature. They will not start a full out war and none of the countries around them will start a full out war after seeing how fast Saddam was taken out.
In Israel, planning and rhetoric appear to have progressed quite a bit further[3]; it appears that some in Israel are seriously considering a preemptive attack similar to the June 1981 attack on Osirak that destroyed Iraq's nuclear reactor.[4] Meir Dagan, the Chief of Mossad, told parliament members in his inaugural appearance before the Israeli Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee that Iran was close to the "point of no return" and that the specter of Iranian possession of nuclear weapons was the greatest threat to Israel since its inception.[5] On November 11, 2003, Israeli Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom said that Israel had "no plans to attack nuclear facilities in Iran."[6] Less than two weeks later however, during a visit to the United States, Israel's Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz stated that "under no circumstances would Israel be able to tolerate nuclear weapons in Iranian possession"[7] and just six weeks earlier, Mossad had revealed plans for preemptive attacks by F-16 bombers on Iranian nuclear sites.[8] This report will examine the following: The Iranian nuclear facilities most likely to be targeted and their proliferation risk potential; the likely preemptive scenarios involving Israel or the United States; and the possible consequences of any preemptive action.
Originally posted by xmotex
Thus we might want to consider that Ahmadinejad, while a demagogue and prone to rash pronouncements, 1] does not have absolute power to make war on his own and 2] is still subject to the will of the Iranian people.
Israel -- actually, what Israel [did] is that it got out the immediate danger out of the way. But it created a much larger danger in the longer range. What happened is that Saddam ordered us - we were 400... scientists and technologists running the program. And when they bombed that reactor out, we had also invested $400 million. And the French reactor and the associated plans were from Italy. When they bombed it out we became 7,000 with a $10 billion investment for a secret, much larger underground program to make bomb material by enriching uranium. We dropped the reactor out totally, which was the plutonium for making nuclear weapons, and went directly into enriching uranium.... They [Israel] estimated we'd make 7kg of plutonium a year, which is enough for one bomb. And they get scared and bombed it out. Actually it was much less than this, and it would have taken a much longer time. But the program we built later in secret would make six bombs a year.
Originally posted by xmotex
Preventing that scenario is probably best handled by lessening the motivation to get the bomb, rather that attacking the capability to build it.
Originally posted by UM_Gazz
Originally posted by xmotex
Preventing that scenario is probably best handled by lessening the motivation to get the bomb, rather that attacking the capability to build it.
The only problem with "lessening the motivation to get the bomb" is that every effort diplomatically at both U.S. and international levels have failed to come close to producing such a result, leaving the threat in place and perhaps given even more room for advancement.
Originally posted by UM_Gazz
The possibility of a "terrorist nuke" being detonated in Israel is now a more 'real' and immediate threat. Thinking from an Israeli perspective. Something must be done, if all other options have failed. Some in Israeli government have claimed that this is the greatest danger they have ever been faced with.
More than that Gazz.The US has not been happy with radical iran's capability to close off the Straight of Hormuz.Nor happy of any other power doing so as its the main route of the oil that keeps our society running.Im sure they would love an excuse to have troops there and the iranian president is almost openly inviting them with his ridiculous rhetoric.
Originally posted by UM_Gazz
Originally posted by talon
what has iran got that the US want?
A large portion of the world's oil reserves, a huge strategic advantage for the USA, possible elimination of a radical Islamic regime with nuclear weapons potential, a new front and land to propagate western doctrine and democracy, a next step in conquering the world?
If the USA ultimately gains a strong hold on both Iraq and Iran in the future, from a purely business perspective... Imagine the possibilities!
Originally posted by douglas2k4
You will even find Jewish people who don't agree with the Zionist philosophy, so are they considered "Jew-haters"? No, they are not.
Originally posted by Sri Oracle
How can a nation lead the world to nuclear disarmament... and yet keep the ever present threat of global nuclear annihilation in their own pocket?
If you want to lessen the motivation for your neighbor to have guns... stop stockpiling guns yourself.
Originally posted by malganis
It's all about trust isn't it. The US isn't going to disarm all of it's nuclear weapons when Russia is still stockpiling them, and vice-versa. And besides, having nukes practically gives a country immunity from being invaded, most superpowers would like that.
"It was an illegal activity, a desecration of the dead and I applaud the destruction of this building, which was destined to disappear in flames."
Originally posted by quintar
Originally posted by douglas2k4
You will even find Jewish people who don't agree with the Zionist philosophy, so are they considered "Jew-haters"? No, they are not.
That happens to be my title. I was born in Israel and was taught how we were always right, can never lose a war, etc. Pride was BIG back in late 80's early 90's.
Living outside of Israel for the past 20 years, I can see how corrupt this current government looks to everyone else. They have been many allegations of corruption from some members. They also messed up by going into Lebanon by assuming we were the best and nobody can stop us. I think now, from what I hear of family and friends in Israel, most citizens in Israel accepted the fact this current administration is just useless.
Again, not dissing Israelis (because I am still one of them) but yeah, their government is not as straight and righteous as I was taught to believe.
Peace.
Originally posted by Sri Oracle
I believe the Iranians would say that the militarization of the Holy Land by the Zionists was an illegal activity; to substantiate doing so because of the Holocaust is a desecration of the dead and they would gladly applaud the destruction of the buildings representative of the zionist regime in power, which was destined to disappear in flames, aka wiped off the map, aka the regime occupying Jerusalem (een rezhim-e eshghalgar-e qods) must [vanish from] the page of time (bayad az safheh-ye ruzgar mahv shavad).