Dr. William Gray Calls Al Gore a "Gross Alarmist", page 1

Dr. William Gray, who has become well known for his very accurate hurricane forcasting, had harsh words for Al Gore and his Academy Award winning "documentary," "An Inconvient Truth."

A top hurricane forecaster called Al Gore "a gross alarmist" Friday for making an Oscar-winning documentary about global warming.

"He's one of these guys that preaches the end of the world type of things. I think he's doing a great disservice and he doesn't know what he's talking about," Dr. William Gray said in an interview with The Associated Press at the National Hurricane Conference in New Orleans, where he delivered the closing speech.

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While I do agree with the good Doctor regarding global warming, it should be noted that Gray predicted a busy hurricane season last year that never really materialized.

Weather forcasting is hard enough. Climate forcasting is even shakier.

Computerized models of the Earth's climate are at the heart of the debate over how policymakers should respond to climate change. Global climate models (GCMs)--also called general circulation models--attempt to predict future climate conditions by starting with a set of assumptions about how the climate works and making guesses about what a future world might look like in terms of such factors as population, energy use, and technological development.

Numerous analysts have pointed out, however, that many of the assumptions used in modeling the climate are of dubious merit, with biases that tend to project catastrophic warming. As a consequence, these analysts argue, climate models have many limitations that make them unsuitable as the basis for developing public policy.

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[edit on 2007/4/6 by GradyPhilpott]