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James Thomas, deputy assistant defense secretary for plans, said key elements of the "hedging" policy are aimed at nations with uncertain futures, including China and Russia.
"In [the China] part of the hedging strategy, we're looking at the deployments of bomber elements to Guam on a more routine basis," he said. "We're also looking at making adjustments in our naval posture globally, shifting to six carrier battle groups in the Pacific region, given the shift in global transport and trade, as well as over the next several years shifting approximately 60 percent of our attack submarine fleet to the Pacific."
Originally posted by mikesingh
In response to the emerging military threat from China Pentagon officials said the US strategy aims to hedge in China and be prepared for a pre-emptive strike on it, if the need arises. The Pentagon is moving strategic bombers to Guam and aircraft carriers and submarines to the Pacific as part of this strategy.
Originally posted by Jimmy1880
This is in my opinion an error of judgment on behalf of the US department of defense. It's a move that would be percieved as very aggressive by china and also by russia. The USA is the biggest modern superpower, but it is starting to get old, the new kid on the block is indeed china.
The move by America is one typically seen all throughout nature, groups of lions in Africa have an Alpha male, as the Alpha male gets old and battle weary, he becomes more aggressive and try's to assert himself by attacking other would be Alpha males to let them know he's still the boss!
This is a dangerous tactic for the US to make as eventually one of the other younger males bites back when attacked and if strong enough kills the Alpha male!... If they do not do this they will find themselves in another cold war situation a cold war that europe might not want anything to do with and a cold war that they probably won't win. Eventually the USA will appear ridiculous as it looses worlwide support and because even more lonely and paranoid.
I know that I personally would feel safer if the worlds leading superpower was one that spread it influence rationally and with diplomacy.
Originally posted by Royal76
In their culture the Apperance of force is all they understand.
Originally posted by semperfoo
The most recent Federal Reserve estimates suggest that the US productivity machine is humming and that US economic potential growth is likely to be about 3% for the foreseeable future. This would be not only a triumph for free-market economics but would place the US economy in a class of its own among the world's more mature economies.
Also, by 2030 Americas GDP will have reached $30 Trillion (under a sustained growth of 3%). Now in order for china to equal the US economic output in 2030, the chinese economy would have to grow at a sustained 12% TILL 2030! It isnt growing that much NOW. And doesnt look like it will ever. Also Chinas current economic growth data has been coming under fire for a few years now. Alot of it is considered to be "bogus" numbers by the provinces just to appease the elites in china. Something that is bloody dangerous.
For China to pose a real long-term economic threat to the US, China would need to match the US's sustained productivity performance, which has long been the envy of the world. Unless China truly embraces free-market economics, there is little chance of that occurring anytime soon.
And until China does so, the US should treat China as yet another, albeit large, emerging market economy that is trying to close the income gap between itself and the more prosperous industrialized world.
I know that I personally would feel safer if the worlds leading superpower was one that spread it influence rationally and with diplomacy.
Let me ask you a question. If an Asteroid were on a collision course with the Earth (never mind which country's instruments detected the asteroid), which country would be expected to take the lead in an effort to destroy or deflect the asteroid?
Heres another one. Which country do you feel has done more for humanity than the US?
Heres a good read by the futurist. Its about what it will take for china to become a superpower much like the US. It explains what china will have to do in order to be a true superpower. Something that it wont do in 2030.
futurist.typepad.com...
[edit on 092828p://3002pm by semperfoo]
Let me ask you a question. If an Asteroid were on a collision course with the Earth (never mind which country's instruments detected the asteroid), which country would be expected to take the lead in an effort to destroy or deflect the asteroid?
Heres another one. Which country do you feel has done more for humanity than the US?
Originally posted by Jimmy1880
I fail to see the corrolation between what I wrote and your arguement
It's quite irrelevent how strong or weak the economy is if that isn't the way the US is trying to spread it's influence!
China will have to adapt to the underappreciated burden of superpowerdom - the huge double standards that a benign superpower must withstand in that role. America is still condemned for slavery that ended 140 years ago, even by nations that have done far worse things more recently than that. Is China prepared to apologize for Tianenmen Square, the genocide in Tibet, the 30 million who perished during the Great Leap Forward, and the suppression of news about SARS,every day for the next century? Is China remotely prepared for being blamed for inaction towards genocide in Darfur while simultaneously being condemned for non-deadly prison abuse in a time of war against opponents who follow no rules of engagement? The amount of unfairness China would have to withstand to truly achieve political parity with America might be prohibitive given China's history over the last 60 years. Furthermore, China being held to the superpower standard would simultaneously reduce the burden that the US currently bears alone, allowing the US to operate with less opposition than it experiences today.
The US is trying to asssert it's might by military means, China are not taking the bait and thats frustrating the US. The Chinese recently sent an official on a tour of Africa where they talked about deals that would bring prosperity to both parties, China want's a secure oil supply and Africa needs investment to build infrastructure, China was quite open about it's intentions throughout. Also in the Middle east they are building ties with Iran and Iraq, this is something the US is furious about!
The thing is China's worldwide influence is going strength to strength and they are managing all this through diplomatic means, it has done the good thing of learning from the mistakes made by US foreign policies.
The US needs to be very careful how it treats China, the US enjoys a time of plenty a time of cheap goods. Where do most of these cheap goods originate? China. At the moment China also needs this trade from the US but as I mentioned before they are negotiating deals worlwide. If China strengthens it's trade with the EU, Russia, Africa and the Middle East then the USA will not be as important to them.
Just as Japan woke up a sleeping bear (the US) with Pearl Harbour, the US runs the risk of waking an even bigger bear.
The Asteroid question was a joke right?
The US I think has done the most "damage" to Humanity. they have the highest greenhouse gas emissisions (Something that will kill the world),
they consume the most of the worlds energy (Something that when it has run out will be the cause of all wars)
and they have a forign policy thats creating death and destruction in the middle east (under the guise of spreading democricy).
So why don't you tell me why you where under the impression the US has done the most for humanity.
The US has done and will continue to do things that are in her own interest but under the guise of foriegn assistance.
Originally posted by Agit8dChop
Semperfoo,
that articles makes it seem like China CANNOT be the world super power until it
-- apologies for all the things listed.
Your super power becuase of your POWER, of your stranglehold over certain world concepts that means you can ultiamtely ( in economic phrase ) determin demand and supply.
America became super power becuase of the BOMB, downfall of Russia and the economic ability.
Well, the bombs pretty avaliable now a days.
China's quickly becoming a military might,
and the economy of America is faltering, especially being countries are dropping the dollar, where as china's economy is growing...
The most recent Federal Reserve estimates suggest that the US productivity machine is humming and that US economic potential growth is likely to be about 3% for the foreseeable future. This would be not only a triumph for free-market economics but would place the US economy in a class of its own among the world's more mature economies.