posted on May, 28 2006 @ 08:42 PM
I think war with Iran is atleast two years away. If it happens at all, it will be started by the next U.S. President. Or, it might start if the
Iranians see any advantage in making the first move. Either way, that's at lest wo years out.
The United States has not achieved the necessary mobilization in the region that they would require for an offensive push in to Iran. You certainly
won't see them doing it with hte forces they now have in the region.
You'll know it if/when they start the build-up. Look for troop levels to peak at around 500,000 or more before they jump off. It's more likely to
be the case thatthe next U.S. President will step down the American presence. In purest miitary terms, the fight with Iran is coming whether anyone
likes it or not. Giving up their military presence in the region would be the worst thing the Americans could do just now, so you should look for
that to happen. the next President will want popularity, and a withdraw from Iraq will seem to be the easiest way to get it.
Three to five years from now, we may see the Iraqis lay host to a large military force as the Americans and any coalition partners begin the buildup.
they won't even try to hide that build-up. the UN will want to use the growiing force presence as "leverage" to try and influencethe Iranians,
which won't work.