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Originally posted by planeman
Numbers of lorries or carriers don’t feature in the superpower equation, unless you are trying to stack the odds in one particular direction.
Anyway, what do you know about PLAN aircraft carriers and potential air options or were you just here to make politically motivated remarks?
originally posted by: planeman
My personal belief is that the carrier will be used primarily for training of PLAN in how to operate fixed wing combat aircraft at sea, something which it has next to zero experience of. It will thus function in much the same way as the USSR’s Yak-38 Forger equipped Kiev class carriers –and in common with the Kiev, its air wing will be combat capable, though not to the extent of US carriers. I agree that China will seek to commission indigenous Carrier designs to supercede this unit.
I do not personally believe that the notional J-10C (“Super J-10” as I’ve called it) will be developed. This is not a minor modification; it’s a whole new aircraft type. Developing the twin engine J-10C for the PLAN would delay the whole carrierization process and be ridiculously expensive for what is a 40-100 aircraft requirement. Instead I think that Mig-29k Fulcrum or Su-33 Flanker aircraft will be used. Even though deployed primarily for gaining carrier experience, these aircraft will impart a very real combat capability, sufficient for power projection and disruption of US operations.
Calling it a “training ship”, though essentially accurate (IMO), is rather dismissive in tone. It could lead to a gross underestimation of capability and mission impact. It should not be dismissed.
Other types I envisage being deployed on it include the AEW variant of the Helix. I do not place any confidence in China’s copy of the Hawkeye which has been shown in model form; at best it is a long term project and of questionable merit.