New York and a Major Hurricane Hit

I think this article is kinda 'duh'. Of course New York will get hit
at some time by a major hurricane. It's on the coast and we
have entered the 20 year cycle of uptick in hurricanes.
But ya'll might find it interesting to read..

news.independent.co.uk...

Excerpt

The Independent
Experts warn New York: you could be next
By Geoffrey Lean, Environment Editor
Published: 25 September 2005

Experts are predicting still more hurricanes, in what could be the worst
year for the storms since records began. The US government's official
National Hurricane Center and scientists at Colorado State University, who
predicted both Katrina and Rita, expect several more named storms in the
remaining two months of the hurricane season. And the World
Meteorological Organisation believes that the record of 21, set in 1933,
may be beaten.

Some of these storms could hit the US, and experts say New York could be
the next city to be devastated. The area around the Big Apple is listed by
the Center as the fifth most vulnerable in the country, after New Orleans,
the Florida Keys, Tampa in Florida and Galveston in Texas, all targeted by
hurricanes in the past two years.

The city says at least a million New Yorkers are at risk, and has drawn up
plans to evacuate those within 10 blocks of the water. But the city could
have less warning than Texas or Louisiana, since hurricanes move faster as they head northwards.

More at the site -
news.independent.co.uk...


[edit on 9/26/2005 by FlyersFan]

I remember Hazel very well indeed, even though I was a munchkin hiding in the cellar of a farmhouse with my parents. I remember huge pines that surrounded the house falling in the high winds and the fact that we pulled ourselves out of a completely destroyed house afterwards.
I saw a straw imbedded into a cedar fencepost, I saw the nearby town flooded, I saw the farm stock dead in the fields...it is clear as a bell even though I was only 8 years old.


Hazel came up from S. Carolina and went all the way to Toronto and where we were was 100 miles west of there, and yet the destruction was unbelievable.

Anybody that thinks it's a long shot for NYC to get one eventually is conning themselves.



[edit on 26-9-2005 by masqua]

New York is definitely vulnerable if hit right, although prevailing weather patterns usually keep them from hitting us. I'm on quite high ground here on the UWS ( you practically have to go down a cliff to get to the Hudson River) but some parts of NYC and New Jersey are very low lying and NY Harbor could really funnel in a bad storm surge.

The article was kind of weird to me. In all reality if a Cat 5 hit NY city it would not necessarily devestate the city like New Orleans. I don't see it have the structural problems like NO. It defilently won't flood like NO. BUT they would have to evacuate that city. That city alone has a GMP(Gross Metropolitan Product) of 500 billion. You would lose that for roughly a week. That is devistating. NY city alone would be ranked 16th in the world for GDP if it were its own country. Our Economy would not handle a loss that large very well even for a few days.

AND THEN THE LOOTING. I will bet that all the dirt bags that city has were watching the TV during Katrina and praying that even a CAT 2 would hit NY. That city is like 10 times bigger that NO. Looters will have that place stripped in a matter of hours. They probably have a product evacuation plan set and ready.

I am just curious if any knows how they think a Hurricane would hit that area. Would it go up along the coast and swipe it, or would it come directly in. If it came directly in then we could see bigger problems. A perfect hit could hurt cities such as New York, Philly, New Jersey, Boston in one blow. Kind of scary to imagine all those places at once evacuting

[edit on 26-9-2005 by Timcouchfanclub]

New York has all those underground subway systems.
Those would easily flood. It had to build a 'bathtub'
around the World Trade Center to keep the Hudson
River out. It's at sea level. A Cat5 has storm surges
of 18 feet or higher. I figure most of Manhatten would
have water rather high... unless the subways absorb
it all. THAT would be a mess... draining the subways
and restructuring them because they'd be weakened
or collapsed.

Philly is on the Delaware River.
That would be a mess, but NYC would be more.