Large California Earthquake Possible Within 30 Years, Geologists Warn

livescience.com...

The San Andreas Fault, which snakes uncomfortably close to Los Angeles and other large cities along much of California's length, has been relatively quiet for the past 148 years.

This could end soon, scientists said today.

Researchers have calculated a 20 to 70 percent probability that southern California will be hit by a large earthquake in the next 30 years. The forecast is based on the frequency of past events.

Geologists stress, however, that earthquake prediction, in its infancy, is notoriously difficult. Forecasts tend to be very general, specifying a range of decades rather than years or weeks for possible activity.

scary news???

are you going to take this to heart???

be warned

As a So Cal native I've been hearing this for years. Yes, we know the "big one" is coming, no, it doesn't change the way we live.

I'm kind of surprised that they are making this sound as if it's something new. I thought the big one was supposed to happen in the next 5 - 10 years.

It's a beautiful day here in So Cal and shake free at the moment.

Jemison

Originally posted by they see ALL
Researchers have calculated a 20 to 70 percent probability that southern California will be hit by a large earthquake in the next 30 years. The forecast is based on the frequency of past events.

A 20-70% chance?!? What kinda scientific prediction is that? Let's put that into layman's terms.

"Researchers have concluded that there is either a slight chance or a greater chance of an earthquake happening on a known fault line sometime."

Man, someone got paid for that...

I agree with the above post.
20%-70% chance. That's freak'n stupid!
I hope no one paid the idiots to come up
with that.

Here's a prediction for them ...
There is between 0% - 100% chance
that everyone reading that 'prediction'
will laugh their back ends off. MY guess
is that %100 of the people will roll their
collective eyes and chuckle.

Tell me something I haven't already heard about.

Mother Nature u will never beet her

I wonder how much grant money they got to do this research?

Who would get more money, a scientist that predicts dire situations or the one that says everything is fine? This has always angered me.