posted on Jan, 3 2025 @ 11:20 AM
originally posted by: Xtrozero
a reply to: Flyingclaydisk
What is the end limit? ...
Well, I never thought I'd hear myself say this, and I'm not sure I'm even serious, but I'd have to say...much below 2nm is going to require a paradigm
shift in the way we look at chip development. In other words, below this threshold I think we're going to be talking about quantum computing
development which might not even be possible on this planet.
I don't think we can discretely define an end limit at this point, honestly, but I'd say we're pretty close to the limits of what can be done here on
Earth. Is it possible to get smaller and/or more dense? Maybe, but before we can even consider this area of research there has to be a need driving
it.
I don't know if you caught it (above), but the world's 'fastest' commercially available computer chip is a (24) core i9 14500KS, and that is running
on a 9nm lithography semiconductor framework. The lower limit right now is 2nm for semiconductors, so there's an almost unimaginable amount of
headroom between 9nm and 2nm. In other words, lots of room for development on existing technology before necessity will drive something smaller.
Speaking of Moore's law; if you look at the semiconductor trajectory over the past decade, it's really more like Moore's law squared. I'm not a big
believer in Moore's law (in general), but that's the math, if you are a subscriber.