Trump' s Tucker Calson Interview Odds makers are having fun!

a reply to: TheMindOfMax

The odds I posted are from an overseas casino/sportsbook and has nothing to do with Vegas. These odds vary greatly from casino to casino.

The odds are based almost entirely how people are betting, hence why they change over time. This is why Trump is about +220 to +300, while Biden is around +110 to +150.

Of the people placing wagers around 40% are betting on Biden, while just under 30% are betting on Trump. A few months ago DeSantis was actually beating Trump here, but he has plummeted while Ramaswamy has gained great momentum but still getting less than 10% of the bets, but has iver taken DeSantis and the rest of the field.

The few 'professional gamblers', with the exception of poker players make money by finding inconsistencies with different sports books, this is much easier in sports betting where there are often only two outcomes(i.e, win/lose over/under).

However with these big discrepancies between online casinos, I figure the professional gamblers out there looking forward to election season as these discrepancies are much bigger than what one would find it sports betting.

a reply to: TheMindOfMax

Vegas is pro-Trump, BTW.

Trump lost Clark County in both 2016 & 2020. He's the first Republican candidate to lose Nevada in consecutive elections since McKinley.

a reply to: jrod

Cant find straight odds on Trump going to jail? Maybe you should think that over.

a reply to: jrod

I remember driving down the strip in Vegas with my young son for the first time. I could tell he was excited by all the glitz, glamor and blinking lights. It looked like Dreamland to him. I noticed how thrilled he was and so I asked him, who do you think paid to build all this.

He thought for a minute and said, 'the Mafia'? Like anyone would.

I said, no, the losers.

If you are placing your faith enough to post this BS here on ATS like it means anything at all.... Im going to say to you: LOSING bets keep the system afloat, not the winning. If you think how people are betting means anything at all, its on you when you lose.

I remember a sure thing at the race track. Leading horse everyone at the track had a ticket on. Came around the bend ahead by like 6 lengths.... horse couldn't lose. Except he veered off track toward the inside pole fence, jockey pulled him up, and he reared. Impaled himself on the end of the pole fence. Blood spurted everywhere, people were screaming, the long shot came in behind and I won 100 bucks on a 2 dollar win ticket on that long shot.

See what all those folks betting on that horse knew?

a reply to: CoyoteAngels

Raw odds based from the site I posted him give him a 1 in 12 chance of being found innocent in Florida, DC, and Georgia...so the odds of him being found guilty are quite high, however being found guilty dies not necessary mean jail time.

I would say odds of him staying out of jail are in the +300 range which is about 25%.... perhaps lower if you consider house arrest as being incarcerated.

a reply to: CoyoteAngels

Yet these casino odds are better at predicting elections that any polls.

They are quite relevant.

I am not sure why you and your klan are using this thread to attack me.

a reply to: jrod

I think you are just pulling numbers out yer..... well I leave the rest to your imagination.

a reply to: jrod

Why won't Biden do an interview with Tucker?

Now that I'd PAY to see!

This?

a reply to: jrod

The casinos are pretty accurate very close to the election. Yes.

Why do you consider debate an attack, and what Klan is that? I think you might have just said something that violates the ToS. I will tell you right now, I don't put up with that #.

a reply to: CoyoteAngels

Look at your previous posts and you tell me.

Sports betting, horses betting and even these fun prop bets are certainly sucker bets. The handful of professional gamblers and especially sports better make money NOT because they are sports savants and can pick a winner with accuracy, the shop around different casinos and find inconsistencies in their odds and place bets both ways in a way that regardless the score or winner they will profit on the bets made. This edge is fairly small, less than 5% but it compounds. If you could make 5% a week day trading, you would literally have all the money in the world within a few years.

The casino designs these bets so they can not lose. Some even add an additional 'booking fee' to really pad their winnings.

Lets say the odds are 50/50 for some random football game, the bets are exactly 50% for both teams, the odds will be listed as -110, so one has to bet $110 to win 100(or a $100 bet wins 90.91). To make the math simple lets just say their are two wages, each bet $110 with the total amount collected $220, the winner will get his initial bet back plus $100 and so the casino pays out $210, keeping the other $10 for profit....while its 'only' about a 5% cut, this 5% compounds greatly.

This is about the house edge on all casino games, some like blackjack(assuming no card counting) has a house edge of about 1% assuming the player plays 'perfect' and blackjack pays 3:2 however house rules vary. Counting cards only gives a player about a 2% edge(again depends on house rules) so despite it being glamorized, a perfect card counter takes significant risk on any given day.

originally posted by: 1947boomer

originally posted by: jrod
a reply to: Mahogany

This is how sad you guys are. I am trying to make the Trump interview fun by posting the current odds from an online casino and you folks take it as an attack on your hero.

This is pathetic. I get you folks are getting desperate because you are starting to realize the door is closing not only on Trump's chances of winning 2024, but the odds of him being exonerated and remaining a free man is getting lower.

I think those are one and the same thing. With 91 felony counts against Trump over 4 cases, I think it's extremely unlikely that he won't get convicted on some of them. His only hope for not spending the rest of his years in confinement of some kind is to become President again. He's running to stay out of jail.

That's why it smells so fishy. An innocent man can be convicted if you take 91 tries at it.

If they had anything, it would be 5 or fewer counts.

originally posted by: knownaught


If they had anything, it would be 5 or fewer counts.

So they should just ignore most of the crimes loser trump committed? For reasons?

a reply to: jrod

What are the odds on "witch hunt"?

I would put real money on ‘witch hunt’ but it’s not on the list. Wtf Vegas