Impending Invasion of Ukraine from Belarus Will Likely Force NATO to Act

With the latest deployment of the 101rst Airborne to Romania, I am now much more convinced that NATO (or at least a portion of it) has indeed acted. Because now Belarus is effectively surrounded on three sides. The 101rst may now be brought in through Ukraine from Romania in the event Russia attacks from the north and manages to break through Ukraine's northern front lines en route to Kyiv.

What is becoming apparent through deployment action is that if Russia attacks Ukraine from Belarus, Nato attacks Belarus from Poland and Lithuania, and mobilizes the 101rst immediately northward through Ukraine to prevent a siege of Kyiv.

What is still unclear to me though is what they intend to do about the Russian military enclave in Kaliningrad. Don't have much news from there so far that I can see.

a reply to: TrueAmerican

sounds like the air mobility ops the US/UK/France have been practicing..

And another thing to think about: A NATO attack on Belarus would not be the same as NATO attacking Russia proper. It was Putin who invaded Ukraine and then expanded to attack from Belarus. This may be one move NATO could effectively take without it being seen as a direct attack on Russian soil, but rather an attack to prevent the spread of the war, to stop a Russian siege of Kyiv, and to stop Russia from putting nuclear weapons in Belarus. Note that Belarus changed its policy to allow Russia to put nuclear weapons in Belarus.

At first this may not be apparent even if Russia does attack Ukraine from the north. NATO will likely hold back at first to avoid this, and watch to see what happens and if Ukraine defenses can hold the line. If they break the line and are headed towards Kyiv though, that's when I would expect NATO action on Belarus. The forces are in place. And who knows: NATO may not wait much longer and invade Belarus regardless.

Otherwise, why all the buildup of forces surrounding Belarus? Something's going on here, for sure.

originally posted by: TrueAmerican
And if they don't, Ukraine will likely fall. There are some 20,000 troops amassed on the border along with armor and supplies, ready to invade. And reports are some 50,000 more incoming.

Belarus was already in the war, effectively, by allowing Russian use of its airspace. However, now a new agreement between Belarus and Russia effectively commits Belarusian troops.

So now NATO stands at a precipice. Allowing those troops to attack from Belarus to the north would effectively overwhelm Ukraine's defenses, cause a war on two fronts, for which Ukraine will have limited answers.

Ukraine was barely holding on as it was, and their attack on the Crimean Bridge for all intents and purposes, failed. Traffic and train shipments have resumed. While some territory was regained, I just can't see Ukraine defending against a multi-front onslaught.

So this is a critical point in the war. And now we will find out just how serious NATO (but really mostly the US) is about protecting Ukraine.

If the US/NATO does not attack those troops immediately, they might as well back out.

Options for attacking those troops on the border would include airstrikes and/or missiles from Poland, among other things. I am of the opinion that we will see soon. Because the last time troops amassed on Ukraine's border, we know what happened.

This is really coming down to fight or flight for the US. After the attacks on infrastructure today, and particularly on the power plant, which also supplied electricity to several other countries, Russia has shown that they really don't care about civilians over and over- no matter WHAT country they are from. And that, combined with Belarus's open participation, escalates this into a regional conflict now.

NATO needs to stay out of Ukraine. Ukraine is not a member of NATO. NATO has encroached far too close to the Russian border as is - think Russia forming an alliance with Mexico and turning Mexico unfriendly to the US while massing weapons and troops on the border. This would never - I repeat never - be allowed. So why is it ok for NATO to do it with Ukraine?

This whole thing is a giant money laundering scheme that also ties into lowering quality of life in western nations. You cannot change a system gradually forever - at some point you need to spark a revolution - which you control the direction of - in order to implement major systemic changes. This is what they are doing. Getting rich via embezzlement, money laundering and preparing the groundwork for the 'great reset' to spark off.

Belarus has every right to join Russia in the war vs Ukraine. They are military allies with mutual defense agreements. Russia has declared several areas of Ukraine as Russian after the referendums. Ukraine's continued attacks and presence in those regions is now no different than an attack on Russia itself. In turn triggering all potential mutual defense agreements. NATO has no such agreement with Ukraine - in fact NATO has openly said that it will not even allow Ukraine to join.

NATO needs to stay out. Not one US dollar should be going to Ukraine nor should any soldiers. Ukraine has made its bed. Besides... the media says that Russia has run out of men, weapons, missiles etc.. and Ukraine is killing 20k russian soldiers a day.. right??? Lol to anyone dumb enough to even remotely consider that type of propaganda as true.

a reply to: Imperator2

Belarus is Putins puppet.

originally posted by: Imperator2
NATO needs to stay out of Ukraine. Ukraine is not a member of NATO. NATO has encroached far too close to the Russian border as is - think Russia forming an alliance with Mexico and turning Mexico unfriendly to the US while massing weapons and troops on the border. This would never - I repeat never - be allowed. So why is it ok for NATO to do it with Ukraine?

russian made former soviet states unfriendly to russia not nato. if you dont believe me go live in russia and report back...

Doing so will only give Russians the ammo and they will say See I told you so.

a reply to: TrueAmerican

Invasion itself is not a big deal. When Hitler invaded and annexed Sudetenland and Austria nobody cared. UK only declared war on Germany when Germany invaded Poland because of mutual defense treaty.

I too have been following it fairly closely since Russia, or should i say Putin invaded Ukraine back in Feb.
ive noticed a few similaties between whats going on now and the early days of WW2. and I doubt that im the only one who has noticed them. the US and other western countries need to take putin seriously with his threats of usingt nukes. the man is a ticking time bomb ..

a reply to: SunTastaufen

Tell that to the marines the ones that have just invaded Haiti to keep their puppets going. They should do Iran next. With an increase in personnel to Ukraine. At the same time, Lil Kim is playing up. You will be looking at a call-up soon.

Despot in Belarus doesnt want to invade, he might get forced into it but he is much more interested in staying in power than helping his pal out.

Will see what happens, hope he finds that path that keeps him out of the fight.

originally posted by: MidnightWatcher
a reply to: Quintilian

I think russian Patriots will deal with putin.

As harsh and unlikely as that sounds, Ukraine is never gonna surrender to russian demands that Ukraine cease to exist, and putin isn't gonna stop trying until someone stops him.

Anything can happen in war I suppose, but why would Russian "patriots" do that? Are you confusing Russian patriots with US ones? It seems more logical that "patriots" would do the exact opposite ie. support Putin in his protection of ethnic Russians in south eastern Ukraine from the constant missile bombardment of Ukrainian forces (with support from the US) in a civil war that has been going on at their border for the last 8 years. Then get rid of the US puppets in the govt, the Nazis in the military and make the Ukraine regime either Russia friendly or at least neutral.

It's an unfortunate fact that for a small power sharing a border with a much larger one, neutrality is a good option if you don't wish for a whole heap of trouble. You certainly wouldn't become a puppet state or try joining an alliance dedicated to the destruction of said much larger and more powerful country.

While Putin has wide support in Russia, Branden not only has very low support but half the people despise him and don't think he was fairly elected to begin with lol. Not to mention he is clearly ravaged with senility to the point the whole thing is like a parody, and he was dull and unintelligent even when he had his faculties. There is also the fact that the US is no stranger to getting rid of leaders unconventionally, or anyone else that doesn't tow the line (Kennedies? MLK?). Though this does seem unlikely. What is more likely is that US democrats might not get another look in for decades after the next election. Not that this matters anyway, there seems unilateral support for this war.

I think you overlook which one of these countries is a banana republic (it isn't Russia). The last three prominent US politicians with any hope of being elected amount to a psychopath, a reality show star with NPD and someone who should be in an aged care facility. Almost this entire century has seen the US start wars that it loses after illegal invasions.

We have seen the collapse of UK govt with three leaders in as many months, large protests in much of Europe, a populist govt in Italy. The Germans know quite well the pipeline was damaged by NATO itself, the sanctions have backfired massively for everyone except Russia, with UK also looking at financial collapse, Germany starting to deindustrialise/offshore their production to US and or China, forests being ravaged so that people can keep warm this winter, astronomical prices for fuel transport, with food shortages likely (especially in poorer countries).

Turkey had a peace deal almost brokered earlier this year (early April?) but the US sent one of it's lapdog leaders (Johnson) to put the kaibosh on it.

Ukraine 'wins' by surviving and maintaining control of it's territory, nothing else is even on the table.

(Though the russian reparations will certainly help)

The people of Ukraine have already lost (as have the people of Europe and many other places around the world). They have lost 20% of their land, the energy infrastructure is gone, the largest NATO trained army in Europe has long been in tatters to a military that has (until recently) been massively outnumbered and heavily restricted by the terms of their military operation . Apart from the civilian casualties wars bring they will also suffer economic collapse as soon as the US doesn't find them useful anymore (the US is famous for throwing such allies under the bus). They will "win" this conflict the same way South Vietnam won theirs. Zelensky needs to think again if he believes his own forces will let him jet off to Florida when the Russians advance. They are also set to lose more land and be a landlocked country.

Some "win" that is.