Live Stream of La Plama Volcano Erupting Now.

Just looked at the air traffic over there and all kinds of flights are out and about.

It looks like the vents are turning ito a fissure along the line of instability of the island that we are all worried about.

This is is as real as anything gets.

If I lived on the United States East Coast I would have a plan to move and supplies ready. Better to be safe than very sorry:/

originally posted by: Vasa Croe
How often does this volcano erupt?

I don't think it really matters. How often did Mt. Vesuvius erupt?

originally posted by: EvanB
It looks like the vents are turning ito a fissure along the line of instability of the island that we are all worried about.

This is is as real as anything gets.

If I lived on the United States East Coast I would have a plan to move and supplies ready. Better to be safe than very sorry:/

Right here in New Jersey, bring it on baby, ready to rumble !

How many hours will I have after the tsunami alert ??

a reply to: EvanB

Nah, still going to keep my eye on hurricane season for the time being.

a reply to: Trueman

About ten, give or take an hour depending on location. The highest projected tsunami in more in depth and better model runs is about 3.5 meters near Daytona Beach, FL. I wouldn't break out the surf board quite yet.

originally posted by: cmdrkeenkid
a reply to: EvanB

Nah, still going to keep my eye on hurricane season for the time being.

a reply to: Trueman

About ten, give or take an hour depending on location. The highest projected tsunami in more in depth and better model runs is about 3.5 meters near Daytona Beach, FL. I wouldn't break out the surf board quite yet.

Enough time to make a video. I'm near Passaic river and can see NYC from my street.

a reply to: Violater1

Malarkey…the energy required for a tsunami of that size would not come as a result of that. Energy would run out long before it effected the US. If you believe that, then you also subscribe to Guam tipping over if any more marines are deployed there

Oh crap, the videos from the island look like visions of hell.

originally posted by: Trueman

originally posted by: EvanB
It looks like the vents are turning ito a fissure along the line of instability of the island that we are all worried about.

This is is as real as anything gets.

If I lived on the United States East Coast I would have a plan to move and supplies ready. Better to be safe than very sorry:/

Right here in New Jersey, bring it on baby, ready to rumble !

How many hours will I have after the tsunami alert ??

If it goes you will have 7-9 hours.

We will get it after 1-2 hours here in the UK. I have already got a bug out bag and plan lol

originally posted by: cmdrkeenkid
a reply to: EvanB

Nah, still going to keep my eye on hurricane season for the time being.

a reply to: Trueman

About ten, give or take an hour depending on location. The highest projected tsunami in more in depth and better model runs is about 3.5 meters near Daytona Beach, FL. I wouldn't break out the surf board quite yet.

Not if it goes (the flank of the island) and seawater gets into the magma chamber or a large igneous intrusion. The temperature differential between the seawater and magma would blow the whole island up.. Think krakatoa.

a reply to: EvanB

Not a threat to the US eastern seaboard going off more recent and detailed models. I linked to the study earlier within this thread.

Isn’t venting a good thing? It’s reducing the built up pressure underneath. Unlike Mt. St. Helen’s where it was smoking a little with landslides until it just blew up from built up pressure.

originally posted by: EvanB

originally posted by: Trueman

originally posted by: EvanB
It looks like the vents are turning ito a fissure along the line of instability of the island that we are all worried about.

This is is as real as anything gets.

If I lived on the United States East Coast I would have a plan to move and supplies ready. Better to be safe than very sorry:/

Right here in New Jersey, bring it on baby, ready to rumble !

How many hours will I have after the tsunami alert ??

If it goes you will have 7-9 hours.

We will get it after 1-2 hours here in the UK. I have already got a bug out bag and plan lol

Wait what? What does the model show for the UK regards to tsunami impact?
Is there a link I could look at?

I'm on the south coast 😐

a reply to: Albert999

There is essentially no risk to Europe. You're on the wrong side of the island for it. There's a very in depth, more modern study that's been linked to previously in this thread.

originally posted by: cmdrkeenkid
a reply to: Albert999

There is essentially no risk to Europe. You're on the wrong side of the island for it. There's a very in depth, more modern study that's been linked to previously in this thread.

Thanks, but isn't that putting all your eggs in 1 basket? Does this newer more in depth study automatically make all previous studies moot? If so do you know/does it state why?

Thanks.

a reply to: Albert999

One previous study, actually. The hubbub is based on one study; Day and Ward in 2001. Many flaws, both in their analysis of the geology of the island in in their tsunami model.
www.drgeorgepc.com...

The island is not as unstable as claimed. A massive slope failure is highly unlikely and does not fit with evidence of previous failures. Their tsunami model was highly simplistic and not based on the reality of the Atlantic Ocean.

a reply to: Albert999

The same could be said for blindly trusting previous doom and gloom scenarios.

Read through the study, the relevant parts are in section four, and come to your own conclusions. (Hint: They addressed the previous studies and their models on page 4-20.)

But, there is plenty of evidence and other studies to back this study up. Here are a couple.

The International Journal of The Tsunami Society
ISET Journal of Earthquake Technology
Journal of Geophysical Research

originally posted by: cmdrkeenkid
a reply to: Albert999

The same could be said for blindly trusting previous doom and gloom scenarios.

Read through the study, the relevant parts are in section four, and come to your own conclusions. (Hint: They addressed the previous studies and their models on page 4-20.)

But, there is plenty of evidence and other studies to back this study up. Here are a couple.

The International Journal of The Tsunami Society
ISET Journal of Earthquake Technology
Journal of Geophysical Research

Excellent, thanks for the headsup 👍🏼

originally posted by: Phage
a reply to: Albert999

One previous study, actually. The hubbub is based on one study; Day and Ward in 2001. Many flaws, both in their analysis of the geology of the island in in their tsunami model.
www.drgeorgepc.com...

The island is not as unstable as claimed. A massive slope failure is highly unlikely and does not fit with evidence of previous failures. Their tsunami model was highly simplistic and not based on the reality of the Atlantic Ocean.

Ok thanks 👍🏼

a reply to: Violater1

Everyone knows that USGS rarely report anything larger than magnitude 4.5

Earthquakes occurring outside the U.S. that are smaller than about magnitude 4.5 can be difficult for the USGS to locate if there are not enough data. The USGS continues to receive data from observatories throughout the world for several months after the events occur. Using those data, we add new events and revise existing events in our Earthquake Catalog and in later publications.

There are many regional networks around the world that can record smaller earthquakes in their region than the National Earthquake Information Center (NEIC) global network can, and in many cases these regional networks do not share their data with the NEIC. So if you think there is a missing earthquake on our maps and lists, please see the national and regional links for the area of interest:

www.usgs.gov...-news_sc ience_products

But hey, you keep doing you.