I hope the pressure for an independent inquiry in the UK moves up a gear this week.
"Kamal Ahmed, political editor
Sunday July 13, 2003
The Observer
Britain and America suffered a complete breakdown in relations over vital evidence against Saddam Hussein and weapons of mass destruction, refusing to
share information and keeping each other in the dark over key elements of the case against the Iraqi dictator.
In a remarkable letter released last night, the Foreign Secretary, Jack Straw, reveals a catalogue of disputes between the two countries, lending more
ammunition to critics of the war and exerting fresh pressure on the Prime Minister.
The letter to the Foreign Affairs Committee, which investigated the case for war against Iraq, reveals that Britain ignored a request from the CIA to
remove claims that Saddam was trying to buy nuclear material from Niger, despite concerns that the allegations were bogus. It also details a
government decision to block information going to the CIA because it was too sensitive.
As diplomatic relations between America and Britain become increasingly strained over Iraq's WMD, Straw said that the Government had separate
evidence of the Niger link, which it has not shared with the US.
The revelations come just four days before Tony Blair travels to America for his toughest visit there since he came to power in 1997. As well as WMD,
the Prime Minister will also raise Britain's 'serious concerns' over the treatment of British citizens held at Guantanamo Bay.
Straw's letter reveals:
� That evidence given to the CIA by the former US ambassador to Gabon, Joseph Wilson - that Niger officials had denied any link - was never shared
with the British.
� That Foreign Office officials were left to read reports of Wilson's findings in the press only days before they were raised as part of the
committee's inquiry into the war.
� That when the CIA, having seen a draft of the September dossier on Iraq's WMD, demanded that the Niger claim be removed, it was ignored because the
agency did not back it up with 'any explanation'.
Although publicly the two governments are trying to maintain a united front, the admission two days ago by the head of the CIA, George Tenet, that
President Bush should never have made the claim about the Niger connection to Iraq, has left British officials exposed.
Last night, Downing Street and Foreign Office sources said that 'they would not blink' over the Niger claims. One Downing Street figure said that
they were based on intelligence from a third country that was reliable. 'We are not backing down,' he said.
Another official said that the claim was based on the 'intelligence assessment' made at the time, leaving the door open to a climbdown if the
intelligence is found to be wrong.
'I want to make it clear that neither I nor, to the best of my knowledge, any UK officials were aware of Ambassador Wilson's visit until reference
first appeared in the press,' Straw said in the letter.
'The media has reported that the CIA expressed reservations to us about this element [the Niger connection] of the September dossier. This is
correct. However, the US comment was unsupported by explanation and UK officials were confident that the dossier's statement was based on reliable
intelligence which had not been shared with the US. A judgment was therefore made to retain it.'
Straw said that the Joint Intelligence Committee's assessment of the Iraqi nuclear threat did not just rest on attempts to procure uranium. There was
also other evidence of links between the two countries and attempts to sign export deals.
Robin Cook, the former Foreign Secretary who has become a trenchant critic of the Government's case for war against Iraq, said that it 'stretched
credibility' to say that the Americans and the British had failed to share such basic information.
'From all I know of the intimate relationship between the CIA and the Secret Intelligence Services, I find it hard to credit that there was such a
breakdown of communication between them,' Cook said.
'It is time the Government came clean and published the evidence. The longer it delays, the greater the suspicion will become that it didn't really
believe it itself.
'There is one simple question it must answer. Why did its evidence of the uranium deal not convince the CIA? If it was not good enough to be in the
President's address, it was not good enough to go in the Prime Minister's dossier.'
Yesterday, in another damaging broadside, Richard Butler, who was executive chairman of the United Nations Special Commission to Iraq from 1997 to
1999, said that anyone who had claimed that there was a link between Niger and Iraq should resign.
Referring to Australian politicians who had made similar claims, only to withdraw them and apologise later, Butler said: 'In the justification for
the war, these claims were false and known to be false.
'A Minister who misleads Parliament must accept responsibility for it and resign. Ministers must be held responsible, not public servants.'"
observer.guardian.co.uk...
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"How did a poor African nation become crucial to justifying war in Iraq? Now doubts over intelligence claims that Saddam sought uranium from Niger
threaten a damaging split between the US and Britain write Peter Beaumont and Edward Helmore in New York
Sunday July 13, 2003
The Observer
In the tunnels of Akouta in Niger, the miners dig for a dark and heavy ore, tar-like in lustre. In economic terms it is as precious as gold. But for
some its worth far outweighs its financial value. For carried in these ores is uranium, the ninety-second element on the periodic table, and the fuel
for an atomic bomb.
For three decades the miners of Niger have carried on their business, largely unnoticed by all except those who follow the heavy metal markets.
Now suddenly the uranium mines of Niger - and those seeking to do business with them for their uranium ores - have been thrown into the sharpest
relief by a question that may have crucially influenced the decision of the US and Britain to go to war against Saddam Hussein.
Did Iraq seek uranium from Niger to fuel its nuclear weapons programme? Or was the claim, repeated by both President George Bush and Prime Minister
Tony Blair, based on a crude forgery, discredited both by the CIA and a senior US diplomat sent to investigate the claim?
The story of the 'Niger connection' is one that has embroiled the US and British governments in a new round of charges that President Bush and Tony
Blair led their countries to war on a false premise - that Iraq was actively seeking uranium for its nuclear weapons programme, a charge made in both
the British Government's dossier on Iraqi WMD last September and in Bush's State of the Union address this January.
It is an affair that is now threatening to claim the first major scalp in the row over whether governments on both sides of the Atlantic hyped up the
evidence against Iraq to justify a war - that of the CIA's director George Tenet, who yesterday was forced to take the blame for his agency's
failure properly to warn the White House that the claims about Niger were 'highly dubious'.
In a remarkable admission Tenet has publicly conceded that the CIA wrongly allowed Bush to tell the American people that Iraq tried to buy uranium
from Africa, despite analysts' doubts about the information.
'These 16 words should never have been included in the text written for the President,' Tenet said, referring to a section of January's State of
the Union address in which Bush said: 'The British Government has learnt that Saddam Hussein recently sought significant quantities of uranium from
Africa.'
Tenet's admission follows an unprecedented round of finger- pointing by both Bush and his National Security Adviser, Condoleezza Rice, at the CIA -
effectively accusing it of clearing what it knew to be defective intelligence for a major presidential speech.
Boiled down to their bare bones, the allegations go like this: with deep suspicion at the Langley, Virginia, headquarters of the CIA over allegations
of Iraqi attempts to procure uranium ore from Niger, the CIA was getting cold feet. What evidence they did have, as Tenet admitted on Friday, was
fragmentary.
So, in early 2000, the CIA dispatched a former US ambassador, Joseph Wilson, to investigate the claims. He rapidly concluded that the alleged Iraqi
procurement programme did not exist, and at most Baghdad had merely attempted to discuss improved trade relations with Niger in the late 1990s.
Wilson and the CIA became convinced that some evidence of the Niger connection was based on crudely forged documents that agency sources suggested had
been obtained by Italian authorities and passed on to Britain which - the same sources told the US media - passed the forgeries on to the CIA. When
those documents emerged after Bush's State of the Union address, they would be quickly exposed by the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna as
the confections that they were.
Crucially, despite knowing of the dubious nature of the Niger connection, the CIA did not impress upon the White House its serious doubts. Instead, it
allowed the President, citing 'British intelligence' as proof, to claim the Niger connection as hard evidence of Saddam's efforts to rebuild a
nuclear arsenal.
If Tenet's account is true, it is doubly embarrassing, for the CIA had made its reservations clear elsewhere, if not to Bush.
The previous year, ahead of Blair's September 2002 dossier setting out the British case against Saddam, the CIA told London that the Niger claim was
deeply questionable. And it also warned US Secretary of State Colin Powell against using the Niger evidence before he made his powerful presentation
about the Iraqi threat to the UN in February, just weeks after Bush's State of the Union address.
In other words, the CIA told everyone about its doubts except the White House.
What is most revealing is Tenet's admission that the central claim was left in Bush's speech because it had been attributed to British intelligence.
Agency officials 'in the end concurred that the text in the speech was factually correct, i.e. that the British Government report said that Iraq
sought uranium from Africa,' Tenet said.
'This should not have been the test for clearing a presidential address. This did not rise to the level of certainty which should be required for
presidential speeches, and the CIA should have ensured that it was removed.'
But there is a big question hanging over Tenet's account. For Britain vehemently rejects American claims that the Niger link was based solely on the
forged documents or that it supplied any intelligence on the Niger connection to the CIA.
'The information in the British Government's September dossier regarding Niger categorically did not come from the forged Italian documents; it came
from our own source. That information was not passed on to the US,' said an intelligence source last week. 'It was an entirely separate and credible
source.'
On one crucial issue Foreign Secretary Jack Straw, in his letter released yesterday, does agree with the US version of events. He admits that the CIA
did warn Britain against including claims on the Niger connection in the Government's September dossier on WMD.
'The media have reported that the CIA expressed reservations to us about the [Niger] element of the September dossier,' he said. 'This is correct.
However, the US comment was unsupported and UK officials were confident that the dossier's statement was based on reliable intelligence which we had
not shared with the US.'
The consequence of the gulf between these two positions is a new crisis over the intelligence on Iraq that is no longer limited to either just Britain
or the US. For the first time Washington and London now point their fingers at each other.
The controversy is beginning to affect public support for the President. A Washington Post poll has found that 50 per cent of the US public now
believe the administration exaggerated WMD claims in order to justify war with Iraq.
Here it was the turn yesterday of Shadow Foreign Secretary Michael Ancram to throw his weight behind fresh demands for a full and independent inquiry,
saying Straw's letter did little to clarify the situation.
Ancram said: "An independent judicial inquiry is the most sensible way of establishing the facts.'
Andrew Mackinlay, the Labour MP for Thurrock who sits on the foreign affairs committee, said, if there was no political interference with the
September dossier, then 'at the very least it raises questions about the competence of the security and intelligence services'."
observer.guardian.co.uk...
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"Even in Africa, Bush can't avoid Iraq
Five-day triumphal tour derailed by questions over uranium sales
Rory Carroll in Abuja
Sunday July 13, 2003
The Observer
It was the moment the script changed - and President George W. Bush was not ready for his new role. The smile became a scowl, the voice moved up an
octave and back came the jabbing finger, as if puncturing bubbles.
Just seconds earlier, he had been cracking jokes in the assurance that the five-nation African tour was going according to plan. It was day two, a
press conference in lush gardens near Pretoria's Union Buildings, and Bush was polishing his compassionate credentials as the continent's saviour.
And then the question: 'Mr President, the White House has admitted it was a mistake to accuse Iraq of trying to buy African uranium...'
Maybe it was the midday sun, but Bush's eyes narrowed and face reddened before the questioner finished. It was the first time he had been asked about
his claim that Baghdad sought nuclear materials from Niger.
Washington had disowned part of the evidence that was used to justify invading Iraq and the political storm had crossed the Atlantic to buffet the
President on a balmy South African morning.
He blustered, coming across as angry and defensive: 'Look, there is no doubt in my mind that Saddam Hussein was a threat to the world peace. There's
no doubt in my mind that, when it's all said and done, the facts will show the world the truth.' But everyone else seemed to have doubts and the
controversy dogged the five-day swing through five sub-Saharan countries that ended in Nigeria yesterday afternoon.
What was supposed to be a window on to a kinder, gentler White House that cared about Aids and poverty cracked into a ragged, ad lib damage limitation
exercise.
Instead of softening Bush's image, Africa became the stage for questions about his administration's integrity and credibility, which followed him to
Uganda, when he implicitly blamed the CIA for allowing faulty intelligence into January's State of the Union address.
On the way from Botswana to Uganda, Condoleezza Rice, the national security adviser, briefed reporters on Air Force One: 'The CIA cleared the speech
in its entirety,' she said, prompting rumours that the agency's director, George Tenet, was for the chop.
Yesterday, in the Nigerian capital Abuja, the talk of trade and aid was again eclipsed when Bush felt compelled to back the beleaguered agency.
'I've got confidence in George Tenet. I've got confidence in the men and women who work at the CIA and I ... look forward to working with them as
we win this war on terror.'
Democratic presidential hopefuls are lining up to demand an investigation and trying to chip at Bush's integrity. 'Instead of engaging in
bureaucratic finger pointing, he needs to be honest with the American people. To achieve that goal, we need a full and honest investigation into
intelligence failures,' said Massachusetts senator John Kerry.
The trip started so well. Accompanied his wife Laura and daughter Barbara, the President visited the dungeons of Goree Island, a port off Senegal from
which slaves were shipped to America, and denounced slavery in an impassioned speech rich in Christian language. Even cynics who sensed a pitch to
black voters praised his eloquence.
The White House wanted photo-ops with smiling Africans and, with Colin Powell and Rice at the helm, the tour went well: no heads of state publicly
grumbled about US agricultural subsidies that damage African producers, or the dithering over whether to commit US troops to Liberia.
Nor did the anti-Bush demonstrations take off, with just a few thousand in Pretoria and Cape Town dispersing without incident, leaving the field clear
for the President to trumpet $15bn to fight HIV/Aids.
Adoring crowds were few and far between, but back home Bush was being described as a genuine compassionate Republican.
'After meeting Aids patients, Bush heard a moving rendition of "America the Beautiful" by a choir of children ... they finished the song with broad
smiles on their faces and their arms stretched toward heaven,' reported the New York Times.
So keen was Bush to keep the mood cosy that South Africa's President Thabo Mbeki was not publicly pushed to take a tougher line on Zimbabwe, nor was
Uganda's President Yoweri Museveni urged to step down at the end of his second term, as the constitution demands.
As Air Force One yesterday climbed over Abuja, most American commentators agreed that the warrior president was returning home with a more human face,
but the talk shows reckoned this trip will be remembered as the great White House squirm."
observer.guardian.co.uk...
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"Tony Blair's troubles won't fly away
The Prime Minister's world tour may have been planned as a victory parade but it is turning into an assault course
Andrew Rawnsley, political journalist of the year
Sunday July 13, 2003
The Observer
After such a dreadful run of weeks at home, it would be perfectly understandable if Tony Blair is desperate to get away from it all. Getting away from
it all the Prime Minister may think he will be when he embarks on a circumnavigation of the planet which will take the Phileas Fogg of Downing Street
spinning around the globe from London to Washington to Hong Kong and back to London via Tokyo, Seoul, Beijing and Shanghai.
When he takes off on Thursday, he will be putting thousands of wonderful miles between himself and revolting Labour MPs, dissatisfied voters, scheming
colleagues, and sneering newspapers.
As the jumbo grumbles down the runway, I can just imagine Mr Blair looking out of the window and a smile of relief growing on his lips as Britain
shrinks ever smaller until this difficult country disappears below the horizon altogether.
Half of the public - according to one poll - say they wouldn't trust the Prime Minister as far as they could throw him. Some of his MPs - the
ingrates - are now as openly contemptuous of him as he has always been of them. Given the chance, a chunk of his parliamentary party - the
unreconstructed expletives - would ditch the man who has won them double landslides unique in the Labour Party's history. He looks around the Cabinet
table and finds himself surrounded by Brownites and Kinnockites, but very few allies he can really call true and faithful Blairites.
There are various ways of measuring Mr Blair's recent difficulties. Some may point to the biggest revolt against him when his majority was slashed to
35 in the vote on foundation hospitals. Some may look at the tumble in his personal poll ratings. Some may note that he has been forced to lecture his
parliamentary party not to 'self-destruct', which comes perilously close to being an echo of another leader's plea to his MPs to 'unite or die'.
Did Mr Blair ever imagine that he would find himself impersonating Iain Duncan Smith?
For myself, a particularly telling measure of Mr Blair's difficulties is the sense of humour of Gordon Brown. You had forgotten that the Chancellor
possesses a sense of humour? That is the point: Mr Brown tends to relocate his funny bone whenever the Prime Minister is in trouble. The worse it gets
for Mr Blair, the more Mr Brown finds to grin about. In the Commons on Monday, the Chancellor chuckled that a health document had not been
'sexed-up', a joke at the expense of Number 10 that Mr Brown liked so much that he cracked it again on Thursday.
At least abroad, Tony Blair has people he can call real friends. Foreigners know how to treat a statesman of his magnitude with the respect that he
deserves. Consider the impressive roster of leaders of the centre-Left who have come to London this weekend for the Progressive Governance Conference
hosted by the Prime Minister. From Africa, Latin America, eastern as well as western Europe, North America and the Pacific they have come.
He is still in power, unlike his counterparts in France, Italy, Spain, Holland and America. At the conference dinner in the Guildhall on Friday night,
Bill Clinton lamented that a 'resurgent Right' has been sweeping centre-Left parties out of office around the world. The former President sighed:
'It's bad enough that to attend a conference on progressive governance hosted by the nation's leader I have to leave my country.'
Mr Blair is one of the rare exceptions to the rule. Among his global peer group, he earns respect and admiration, if not always affection, as one of
the few centre-left leaders in the world who has managed to sustain a progressive party in power for a decent length of time. And he has done so,
moreover, in Britain, a country with a long history of mainly electing the Right.
Consider the adulation with which he can be expected to be treated in the United States. He has been invited to address a special joint session of the
American Congress, an accolade conferred on only three other British Prime Ministers - Winston Churchill, Clement Attlee and Margaret Thatcher. And of
them, only Churchill, and then only posthumously, was awarded the Congressional Gold Medal, the most prestigious civilian honour that America can
bestow.
What bloody medals have you ever won, Gordon? Whereas the Prime Minister has to shout to be heard in the House of Commons, Congress will listen to him
with respectful silence broken only by thunderous applause. He can expect a standing ovation before he opens his mouth. And at least one more stander
before he leaves.
If only, so Mr Blair might be seduced into thinking, he could just carry on flying around the planet collecting plaudits, a statesman in perpetual
motion, leaving the Chancellor to run obstreperous, ungrateful, bitching Britain. Mr Brown would soon see how difficult governing this country is when
when there is no Blair around to blame for all the hard choices.
Alas for the Prime Minister, travel is unlikely to prove to be an escape. Even abroad, he will not find refuge from the pressures at home. His world
tour may even add to them.
That his greatest admirers in Washington are Republicans will underline the suspicions within his own party about his closeness to George Bush and why
they went to war together. It was the Republican Speaker of the House of Representatives who issued the stiffy to address the joint Congressional
session 'to honour Mr Blair for his leadership and support during the war in Iraq'. The medal, which isn't quite ready for collection and has
become the subject of some contentious debate in Washington, is to be minted for Mr Blair to reward his 'steadfast stand against evil'.
One of the Republican Congressmen who supported the idea says: 'I understand that it may not be entirely helpful to Tony Blair politically at this
point in time for the people of the UK to hear he is so loved by the United States.' Who says Americans are not capable of under-statement? Some,
especially in his own party, regard the medal not as an adornment on the chest of their leader, but a symbol of what they loathe about him.
A Labour MP has been quoted saying that Blair getting a medal from Bush is 'like being anointed by Satan' - a ludicrous statement, but telling all
the same about the feelings of animosity the Prime Minister provokes among some on his backbenches.
For the Blair-haters, whatever he does will be another reason to scorn him. More mainstream opinion, in the Labour Party and beyond, will treat the
Washington trip as an important test of whether Mr Blair's claims to influence over the Americans are anything more than deluded vainglory. The
absolute minimum they are demanding is that President Bush addresses British concern about the planned trials of the prisoners at Guantanamo Bay, not
least the two British citizens facing an American military tribunal - and possible execution - unless the Prime Minister can persuade Washington
otherwise. A failure to come away with something substantial on this controversy will provoke hoots of derision about his vaunted influence so loud
that they will be heard all the way across the Atlantic.
The American leg of his world tour already looks like less of a victory parade and more of an assault course. In Japan and South Korea, there will be
the issue of North Korea, which definitely has the weapons of mass destruction, and nuclear ones that can be used, which have yet to be found in Iraq.
Mr Blair is also likely to be pursued around the Far East by questions about when he is going to commit to the European single currency, another form
of credibility test. In Hong Kong, human rights groups will damn him if he has not raised his voice about the record of China and its attempts to
impose authoritarian laws on the former British colony.
Happy travels, Prime Minister. By the time that Britain swims back into view, Tony Blair might even be relieved to be coming home."
politics.guardian.co.uk...
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