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originally posted by: LookingAtMars
originally posted by: Assassin82
originally posted by: conspiracy nut
I give it twenty years before most jobs as we know it are run by some sort of machine, robot or automation. There will be many jobs involved with the sale, maintenance and programming of them but I don't think that will be enough to fill the void.
Most experts (MIT, Yale, Government think tanks) have 70 % of American jobs either automated or in the process of being automated by 2030. Coming sooner than we think.
Listen to Andrew Yang on Joe Rogans podcast...he cites some interesting research and has a solution. Whether it’s the right solution or not remains to be seen. But he’s the only one talking about it at the political level.
Thanks for the info, I will try to give it a listen later. Can you share a brief description of his solution?
... Of course from there he puts an emphasis on free education for trade skills that will never go away. A machine could never be a plumber or a mechanic. (Not yet anyway).
originally posted by: Flyingclaydisk
a reply to: Assassin82
... Of course from there he puts an emphasis on free education for trade skills that will never go away. A machine could never be a plumber or a mechanic. (Not yet anyway).
That's not how it will happen though. Mankind has a fundamental misunderstanding about automation, and he constantly demonstrates it.
While all these propeller heads are out trying to one-up each other with cooler automation, something else is happening which people fail to notice. As manufacturers and producers continue to shove automation down everyone's throats the world around everyone changes, but rather than take notice they just blindly accept it. So what is this big evil? Well, mankind winds up working for the automation, not the automation working for him.
We see it already. When was the last time you did a tuneup on your car? When was the last time you took your TV in for repair? In the case of the tuneup on your car, the average person can't work on a modern (computer-everything) car. In the case of your TV, the TV repairman is extinct and you just go buy another one. We live in a throw away society.
We use more electricity per person than ever before, practically everything needs to be plugged in. Many people today can't even get out of bed without some electronic gadget. Millions can't work without an electronic gadget. 85% of Americans would have a complete meltdown if they didn't have their cell phone. Machines and automation own us, we don't own them.
When AI and automation eliminate the jobs, then the only jobs will be making automation...for a while. Enter AI, pretty soon that automation will learn how to make better automation all by itself. Then what?
Oh, and those plumbers and mechanics, they'll get replaced too, and here's how...
Over time they'll start building everything in modular pieces. They're doing it already. Houses, buildings and cars will all be built in modules. Square, boring, high density modules. Just like your TV, nothing will get repaired, it will just get replaced. Life will be just like the video in the OP, a boring warehouse full of a bunch of evenly sized square boxes stacked on a pallet. Curves will be replaced with squares, terrain will be shunned for ultra-high density flat spots. Unpredictable will be replaced by predictable. Food will all be made from genetically modified tofu made from soy beans farmed in an ultra-high density hydroponic growing facility with precise artificial lighting and automated harvesters. Choice will be lost. Oh sure, you can still get the red kind with Red #6 dye in it, or Yellow #3 dye.
What other things are curved, and unpredictable, and fallible? Humans?
We will be owned by the automation we have created. And then we will be consumed by it.
With no people there will be no need for buildings, and cars, and food or any products. And all those automated machines will sit idle.
Then there will be silence. There won't be anyone around to worry about global warming, or solar arrays or self-driving cars, there won't be anyone for Alexa to call; there will just be silence.
With automation, we are making ourselves obsolete.
So I guess there really was some truth in the saying...He who dies with the most money (and toys) wins.