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originally posted by: AndyFromMichigan
a reply to: face23785
Exactly. I would vote for Lamb if he was running in my district. He's a solid centrist choice. But I wholly expect the Dem leadership to learn exactly the wrong lesson, and crow on about an anti-Trump wave that doesn't exist. (Again, Lamb repeatedly distanced himself from any suggestions that his race was a referendum on Trump.)
originally posted by: Xcalibur254
a reply to: Xcathdra
As of this morning, with 100% of precincts reporting, Lamb led by 641 votes. There are only about 200 absentee ballots. Other than that there are the provisional and overseas ballots that need to be counted but the odds of that making up the remaining 441 ballots aren't good. So even if Saccone got 100% of the remaining ballots it still wouldn't put him ahead of Lamb.
originally posted by: Xcalibur254
a reply to: Tempter
This district won't exist in 2020. Starting with the midterm election Pennsylvania will be switching over to their new, PA Supreme Court drawn, districts. I think Lamb is expected to run in the new 19th District, while if Saccone runs he's expected to do so in the 17th.
That said, this election is continuing a trend that we have seen over the past few special elections. The Dems are overperforming what was expected from them. In this case there was a 22 point swing in the Dems favor compared to 2016.
On top of that, there seems to be an enthusiasm gap between the Dems and the Republicans. 80% of the 18th District Democrats that voted in 2016 also voted in this election. In comparison, only 53% of the Republicans that voted in 2016 voted in this election.
Of course we can't really draw any conclusions from a single special election. But when we compare what happened in Pennsylvania to every other special election since Trump has taken office there is a definite trend. That being that the Dems are not only performing better than expected but also that there seems to be higher enthusiasm among Dem voters. That's a dangerous combination for the Republicans come November.
originally posted by: hoss53
After Trumps embarrassing campaign speech, maybe the Republican candidates will wise up. If he goes of script and starts spewing his ridiculous insults, they will probably lose.
In my case I hope he keeps up his stupidity.
originally posted by: shooterbrody
a reply to: olaru12
Trump will continue to be Trump.
All he needed to do was not be hillary.
originally posted by: Khaleesi
a reply to: Sillyolme
How many people on ats are from Pennsylvania? Interesting race. If Dems would run more candidates like Lamb they could take the House. I'm not sure if they are ready to do that though.
originally posted by: olaru12
originally posted by: hoss53
After Trumps embarrassing campaign speech, maybe the Republican candidates will wise up. If he goes of script and starts spewing his ridiculous insults, they will probably lose.
In my case I hope he keeps up his stupidity.
Trump will continue to be Trump. Moderate republicans are deserting his far right agenda in droves.
www.rawstory.com...
www.rawstory.com...
originally posted by: UnBreakable
originally posted by: olaru12
originally posted by: hoss53
After Trumps embarrassing campaign speech, maybe the Republican candidates will wise up. If he goes of script and starts spewing his ridiculous insults, they will probably lose.
In my case I hope he keeps up his stupidity.
Trump will continue to be Trump. Moderate republicans are deserting his far right agenda in droves.
www.rawstory.com...
www.rawstory.com...
Yet he will be re-elected in 2020.