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Despite Trump’s claim that he doesn’t believe the polls, his San Antonio research team spends $100,000 a week on surveys (apart from polls commissioned out of Trump Tower) and has sophisticated models that run daily simulations of the election.
The results mirror those of the more reliable public forecasters—in other words, Trump’s staff knows he’s losing. Badly. “Nate Silver’s results have been similar to ours,” says Parscale, referring to the polling analyst and his predictions at FiveThirtyEight, “except they lag by a week or two because he’s relying on public polls.”
To compensate for this, Trump’s campaign has devised another strategy, which, not surprisingly, is negative.
Instead of expanding the electorate, Bannon and his team are trying to shrink it.
“We have three major voter suppression operations under way,” says a senior official. They’re aimed at three groups Clinton needs to win overwhelmingly: idealistic white liberals, young women, and African Americans.
Trump’s invocation at the debate of Clinton’s WikiLeaks e-mails and support for the Trans-Pacific Partnership was designed to turn off Sanders supporters.
The parade of women who say they were sexually assaulted by Bill Clinton and harassed or threatened by Hillary is meant to undermine her appeal to young women.
And her 1996 suggestion that some African American males are “super predators” is the basis of a below-the-radar effort to discourage infrequent black voters from showing up at the polls—particularly in Florida.
Digital strategists typically value contact lists at $3 to $8 per e-mail, which would price Trump’s list of supporters anywhere from $36 million to $112 million.
The Trump enterprise could benefit from it in any number of ways. The easiest move would be for Trump to partner with Bannon’s global Breitbart News Network, which already has a grip on the rising generation of populist Republicans. Along with a new venture, Trump would gain a platform from which to carry on his movement, built upon the millions of names housed in Project Alamo. “This is the pipe that makes the connection between Trump and the people,” says Bannon. “He has an apparatus that connects him to an ever-expanding audience of followers.”
As it happens, this cross-pollination of right-wing populist media and politics is already occurring overseas—and Trump’s influence on it is unmistakable.
If the election results cause the party to fracture, Trump will be better positioned than the RNC to reach this mass of voters because he’ll own the list himself—and Priebus, after all he’s endured, will become just the latest to invest with Trump and wind up poorer for the experience.
Trump the candidate has been tarnishing Trump the brand for at least a year. Macy’s, Perfumania, Serta and the PGA severed ties soon after he kicked off his candidacy with a speech that accused Mexico of sending criminals and rapists to the U.S.
For decades, everything sold by the company — even the water and the sheets — bore the Trump name. Last month, though, the company did an about-face, launching a hotel brand — Scion — that will offer the Trump experience minus the Trump moniker.
“We wanted a name that would be a nod to the Trump family and to the tremendous success it has had with its businesses, including Trump Hotels, while allowing for a clear distinction between our luxury and lifestyle brands,” Trump Hotels CEO Eric Danziger said in a press release.
According to a source close to Trump, the idea of a Trump TV network originated during the Republican primaries as a threat Kushner issued to Roger Ailes when Trump’s inner circle was unhappy with the tenor of Fox News’s coverage. The warring factions eventually reconciled. But Trump became enamored by the power of his draw after five media companies expressed interest. “One thing Jared always tells Donald is that if the New York Times and cable news mattered, he would be at 1 percent in the polls,” says the source. “Trump supporters really don’t have a media outlet where they feel they’re represented—CNN has gone fully against Trump, MSNBC is assumed to be against Trump, and Fox is somewhere in the middle. What we found is that our people have organized incredibly well on the web. Reddit literally had to change their rules because it was becoming all Trump. Growing the digital footprint has really allowed us to take his message directly to the people.”
This also explains why Chaffetz has flip-flopped and announced he has dozens of "investigations" lined up for Hillary Clinton if she wins and he will now be voting for Donald Trump, despite condemning him publicly and saying he wouldn't endorse him just a week ago.
originally posted by: CriticalStinker
Oh and how could we forget the Texas voter machine "glitch". Give me a break, how does a glitch that heavy make it through internal testing and a regulatory commission?
originally posted by: ColdWisdom
a reply to: Indigo5
This also explains why Chaffetz has flip-flopped and announced he has dozens of "investigations" lined up for Hillary Clinton if she wins and he will now be voting for Donald Trump, despite condemning him publicly and saying he wouldn't endorse him just a week ago.
Where did you see this?
Far from the halls of the Hoover Institution and big Washington policy shops is a force they cannot control: the Trump campaign, a small collection of social-media gurus, Breitbart alumni, and Trump family members who have managed to capture the majority of Republican voters in the U.S., and who may use their new power to launch a media network, or take over as the new axis of the GOP, or both. And as the old establishment looks on in horror, the civil war in its ranks has already begun.
www.politico.com...
originally posted by: keenmachine
a reply to: Indigo5
I just love the way the election is announced over by you and so many others. Im not saying it is or it isnt but ive heard many examples of races where one candidate led by many points heading into the last week and lost the election.
maybe it won't but I sure wouldn't want to eat the crow you guys will be feasting on for weeks to come with threads just like these if it does!
originally posted by: keenmachine
a reply to: Indigo5
so if she wins you won;t equally have as many worries or maybe even more?
The results mirror those of the more reliable public forecasters—in other words, Trump’s staff knows he’s losing. Badly. “Nate Silver’s results have been similar to ours,” says Parscale, referring to the polling analyst and his predictions at FiveThirtyEight, “except they lag by a week or two because he’s relying on public polls.”
originally posted by: BlueShaman
The results mirror those of the more reliable public forecasters—in other words, Trump’s staff knows he’s losing. Badly. “Nate Silver’s results have been similar to ours,” says Parscale, referring to the polling analyst and his predictions at FiveThirtyEight, “except they lag by a week or two because he’s relying on public polls.”
I find it very odd that Trump's staff would divulge this information. If they wanted his followers to buy into the whole rigged elections meme, why would they come out and say they know for a fact he is losing fair and square and their surveys prove it? It makes no sense.