Verifiable Weirdness (Statistical Anomalies)

I am attempting to make a post in the right forum.
This may be a better fit in Paranormal. I mean people are bringing up the devil here!

In 1957, when I was ten, The Philadelphia Bulletin, in its Sunday edition, had a magazine called American Weekly. One week they had an article on 'Testing Your ESP'. The concept was that there were ten cards consisting of five identical pairs. You were to sit back to back with a partner and attempt to match the cards.
I did so with my two sisters, six and four y/os, with one acting as a QA control observing to see if cheating occurred. We had forty trials, twenty with each sister and myself. I did not test my sisters with each other. We alternated every five trials. I kept track of results.
The math is straight forward. In one trial, the odds are 120 to one against a perfect match. (5X4X3X2X1=120) If you made A mistake, you must make two. The odds then drop to six to one for this outcome. (3X2X1=6)

With my one sister, we had 18 PERFECT MATCHES and two with an error. With my other sister, 16 PERFECT MATCHES and four with AN error each.

To calculate the probability: 120 e18 X 36 = 3.45 X e40 for my first set. 120 e16 X 1596 = 2.95 e36 for the second. For all trials it's around 10 to the 76th.

This number exceeds the GRAM weight of the Universe. (10 X e58) It is comparable to the number of atoms in the Universe. (10 X e 82 protons, all Hydrogen)

When I read of folks and their strange happenings, few have numbers to support the conclusion that it was an exceptional experience. They then are torn down by the "objective skeptics". Those people are welcome to expend their efforts here, disputing my carved in concrete numbers and circumstances.

What I would like to actually happen in the responses (I am not psychic enough to know that there will be replies.) is that, if YOU have numerical indications that YOUR Quintuple Sigma and larger events can be mathematically proven to be "OUT THERE". do so. I've had anecdotal incidents which happened that are much more analog. They happened but we can't dispute or prove they are truly odd statistically. This example has clinched my belief that the Universe is much stranger than so many think.

I guarantee that what we see is not what can be percieved and that what passes for reality is either an illusion or merely a shell. There is much more to it than this.

Keep amused.

originally posted by: largo

The math is straight forward. In one trial, the odds are 120 to one against a perfect match. (5X4X3X2X1=120) If you made A mistake, you must make two. The odds then drop to six to one for this outcome. (3X2X1=6)

I am OK with the120 but you lost me with the 3x2x1=6. Perhaps you can take me gently down from the 120 to the 6 as I think I have missed something.

It is a bit strange that out of a success rate of 34 out of 40, you should still need to "prove" that it is beyond the laws of probability (by comparing it to the 10 to the 76th). I would have thought that the margin of success (34 out of 40)makes it unnecessary to go and prove anything.

In any case , I consider the laws of probability to be a myth, even though I studied it at quite an advanced level (Std deviations, sampling, confidence levels,etc) when studying statistics at college.

My current ,if somewhat spiritual , view is that Probability is the "law of non-interference". This is a phrase that i have coined whilst posting in an ATS thread on probability. With your Will , you can interfere and have an impact on outcomes. If you choose not to interfere, then probability (my "law of non-interference ") sets in.

Perhaps, one day, I will be famous and my "Probability - The law of non-interference" will be all over the internet and Wikipedia.

Praise Bob!
Surfin' the luck plane.

originally posted by: largo
Those people are welcome to expend their efforts here, disputing my carved in concrete numbers and circumstances.

That statement, alone, is called by poker players and inquisitors, a 'tell'.
It says that you have 'emotional involvement' in your story.
Shakespeare called it "overmuch protestething".

the Universe is much stranger than so many think.

I cannot imagining anyone arguing with that statement! *__-

a reply to: largo

You have ESP and not that long to live?
Is that the message here?

a reply to: crowdedskies
Sorry for the delay in answering.

Since a match in three cases out of five results in a 3 X 2 X 1 = 6 to 1 outcome. A dual match is pretty much even.

The number is important as there were six total triple matches. So, 6 to the 6th added improbability.

A NOT insignificant number. About four magnitudes added.

originally posted by: crowdedskies


Perhaps, one day, I will be famous and my "Probability - The law of non-interference" will be all over the internet and Wikipedia.

I can't promise you fame but, I for one will remember your quote and add it to my growing list of wisdom.

I know, coming from me doesn't weigh much, but hey..... it's a start!