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originally posted by: ReadLeader
Putin orders withdraw of Russian forces, Syria
Well, holy crapola, this is definitely news! Curious if this will help or hinder Putin. Also curious who he is cutting his deals with over there and what they are collaborating? Me smells something fishy here- what says you ATS?
Russian President Vladimir Putin has ordered Defense Minister Sergey Shoigu to start the withdrawal of forces from Syria starting Tuesday.
“I consider the objectives that have been set for the Defense Ministry to be generally accomplished. That is why I order to start withdrawal of the main part of our military group from the territory of the Syrian Arab Republic starting from tomorrow,” Putin said on Monday during a meeting with Shoigu and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov.
Moscow launched its anti-terror campaign in Syria on September 30 last year. Russia’s participation in the operation, according to a previous statement by Putin, has its basis in international law and has been conducted “in accordance with an official request from the president of the Syrian Arab Republic [Bashar Assad].”
The Russian Air Force has been carrying out airstrikes against Islamic State (IS, formerly ISIS/ISIL) and other terrorist targets in the region, eliminating military equipment, communication centers, vehicles, arms and fuel depots.
Having stripped the Islamic State of offensive capability and liberated Syria from the Washington-supported terrorists, Putin has now shifted to diplomacy. If peace fails in Syria, the failure cannot be blamed on Russia…….
…………….With ISIS beat down, there is less danger of Washington using a peace-seeking ceasefire to resurrect the Islamic State’s military capability…………………
……………….It is a big risk for Putin to trust the neocon-infested US government, but if ISIS renews the conflict with support from Washington, Putin’s retention of air and naval bases in Syria will allow Russia to resume military operations. Astute observers such as Professor Michel Chossudovsky at Global Research, Stephen Cohen, and The Saker have noted that the Russian withdrawal is really a time-out during which Putin’s diplomacy takes the place of Russian military capability…………………….
The Russian (partial) withdrawal should therefore be analyzed in context. Russia’s two main objectives have been met: preventing the regime’s collapse and positioning Russia as the key power broker. From here on, Russia would be wise to focus on protecting those achievements, and appears to be doing so. That means withdrawing enough to communicate to the regime the limits of its patience and commitment, while retaining enough presence to preserve the military option against the insurgency and exercise leverage over Assad and the negotiation process. A resumption of large-scale hostilities would jeopardize these gains, and may occur regardless of Russia’s wishes. Still, Russia could simply resume its bombing campaign if that happens.
It is tempting to see weakness or hubris behind every Russian action. This probably stems from a failure to see things from an opponent’s point of view, including how they might define success. The United States has refused to intervene in Syria on the grounds that it would entail significant risks and the end state would likely be flawed. For Russia however, that is perfectly acceptable. Russia does not want to rebuild the old order in Syria, or impose its will over all of Syria’s territory and population. Nor does it imagine it will be able to create an entirely new, completely friendly political order there. Additionally (and contrary to this author’s past assumption) it does not even see completely eliminating the non-jihadist opposition as worth the effort or expense either. These are not the signs of a crude, clumsy, and doomed strategy. Compared to its rather unimpressive rivals and allies in Syria, Russia’s return on investment there has been quite high.
originally posted by: DJW001
a reply to: theultimatebelgianjoke
Translation: Russia never intended to destroy ISIS. Okay, why did it say that was what it was going to do?
It is tempting to see weakness or hubris behind every Russian action. This probably stems from a failure to see things from an opponent’s point of view, including how they might define success.
Russia’s two main objectives have been met: preventing the regime’s collapse and positioning Russia as the key power broker.
originally posted by: DJW001
a reply to: theultimatebelgianjoke
So you admit that Russia was not interested in fighting ISIS, only propping up Assad?
So you would have preferred that ISIS destroyed completely Syria ?
I'm sure you don't.
originally posted by: DJW001
Funny how Assad fighting ISIS never seemed to be an option.
Funny how you systematically avoid considering US failures.
As if Assad and his troops were not actively fighting ISIS atm.
originally posted by: DJW001
Funny how you systematically support authoritarian regimes. The US was not fighting ISIS in Syria. It has been fighting ISIS in Iraq with very little success. The US should not be meddling in the affairs of that part of the world at all. It has no interests there. At least Russia has need of a Mediterranean port now that Erdogan has made Putin his puppy.
originally posted by: DJW001
Actually, Assad viewed ISIS as an asset; they allowed him to make the case that the rebels were terrorists. The stronger ISIS grew, the better Assad looked. Meanwhile, Assad was happy to buy oil from them.
Iraqi Shiite militias say US troops ‘forces of occupation,’ demand withdrawal
Wait 'til Trump gets elected ... where are you gonna run to ?
Is there any objective criteria, beside primitive anti-russianism, to make you consider that Erdogan is better than Putin ?
Or that Putin is the puppy of the Hitler praising Islamist caliph ?
You said you were against Russian intervention in Syria, and now you can't restrain to vilify them for giving a chance to diplomatic negotiations ... Maybe you just want them to wiped off the surface of earth.
So you have the modesty to be certain of what Assad is thinking ?
And the intellectual dishonesty to consider only facts that match your pre-established convictions ...
No need to argue ...
For everybody else, sorry to repost what I already brought on page 6 of this thread :
Research Paper : ISIS - Turkey list
Or maybe you consider your claims make more sense : Assad buys oil he could have extracted himself from terrorist wagging war against him ... of course.
originally posted by: DJW001
Where did I ever say that Erdogan is better than Putin? Erdogan is a gangster just like Putin.
originally posted by: DJW001
Erdogan called Putin's bluff by shooting down one of his airplanes, as promised. All of the Putinistas predicted that Russia would crush Turkey; instead, Putin is withdrawing his forces from the region. That's what makes Putin his "puppy."
originally posted by: DJW001
Where do I vilify them for finally encouraging Assad to negotiate? It's about time they made it clear they would waste no more blood or treasure propping up a loser. You need to stop projecting your fantasies onto me. I want Russia to regain its rightful place on the world as a strong, peaceful, technological innovator. Putin has turned it into a war mongering casino. You, on the other hand, seem to have some fantasy that the collapse of the United States would be a good thing. I hope you never have to learn how dependent the rest of the world is on America's economy and good will.
originally posted by: DJW001
Can you think of another reason why he did nothing to stop ISIS, which is chiefly composed of foreigners, while concentrating his attacks on native Syrian rebels. Why would he buy oil from them if he didn't consider them to be an asset?
originally posted by: DJW001
First you accuse me of being a mind reader, now you claim you can read my mind.
originally posted by: DJW001
Then why do you? You know I'm not going to fall for the Kremlin's BS.
originally posted by: DJW001
So you are going to ignore the evidence that Assad is buying ISIS oil?
originally posted by: DJW001
Extract, perhaps... if he had the men to man the infrastructure. Too bad they're all at war or fleeing the country. He certainly couldn't refine it.