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ErosA433 admits there's some chance dark matter may not be detectable directly by any experiment, if it doesn't interact with ordinary matter, and the gravitational effects may be all we can observe. Whether dark matter will be detected in such an experiment is unknown. But if we don't do the experiment, it's certain we won't learn anything. Whether they detect dark matter or get a null result, we will know more than we do now either way.
Thanks, I was hoping you'd find this thread and add your thoughts to the topic.
originally posted by: ErosA433
Thus you will hear lots of high energy physicists tell you that the Direct detection guys (IE people like me) are idiots because they will find it easily.
If there's 8 times as much dark matter as baryonic matter, I would have expected a paper like this to report maybe at least twice as much dark matter as baryonic matter, with the understanding that the distribution of dark matter is only roughly correlated with baryonic matter, with notable exceptions in the bullet cluster etc. Any thoughts on whether this analysis could be correct, and does it challenge our assumptions about how dark matter is distributed?
We have searched for and estimated the possible gravitational influence of dark matter in the Solar system based on the EPM2011 planetary ephemerides using about 677 thousand positional observations of planets and spacecraft. Most of the observations belong to present-day ranging measurements. Our estimates of the dark matter density and mass at various distances from the Sun are generally overridden by their errors (σ). This suggests that the density of dark matter ρ dm, if present, is very low and is much less than the currently achieved error of these parameters.
The authors are presumably at least somewhat experts in this area so if they don't know how to interpret their findings in a straightforward manner, it's no wonder I'm having a hard time making sense of their findings. As far as I can tell these researchers were expecting to find evidence to support dark matter models, and they were as surprised as anybody that they didn't, or as they put it it's unlikely to be consistent with the Lambda-CDM model:
A detailed analysis reveals that a small amount of DM is allowed in the volume under study by the change of some input parameter or hypothesis, but not enough to match the expectations of the models, except under an exotic combination of non-standard assumptions. Identical results are obtained when repeating the calculation with kinematical measurements available in the literature. We demonstrate that a DM halo would be detected by our method, and therefore the results have no straightforward interpretation.
As team leader Christian Moni Bidin puts it:
"The amount of mass that we derive matches very well with what we see — stars, dust and gas — in the region around the Sun. But this leaves no room for the extra material — dark matter — that we were expecting. Our calculations show that it should have shown up very clearly in our measurements. But it was just not there!"
originally posted by: ErosA433
Rogue planets / dark stars, could be a reasonable contribution, but thus far our searches have turned up way less than we would expect should dark matte be of this form. Why? well the smaller the object, the more you need... we have very good handles on the masses of white dwarfs, neutron stars and black holes. if this is what dark matter is, they should be spread everywhere, so thickly that generally the stars should twinkle because of objects passing in front of them much much much more often than we observe. Science has observed microlensing, but it just doesnt occur enough.
On SUSY and the LHC, the arguments motivating the none existence of SUSY are known as Naturalness. I personally think these arguments are extremely weak. It basically states that what ever is higher up, should be high mass, and those masses must not be fine tuned with couplings that trickle down to the Standard model. Its like, you can have couplings, but they must not require massive amounts of convoluted interplay. Why do i think this is weak? Well it bias itself in favour of mathematical elegance and beauty when in reality there doesn't need to be any. The standard model is already fine tuned, so why must SUSY not be?
SUSY is fine, even the lowest parameter models are fine, just the energy for creating the lightest super symmetric particle goes up by about 2 to 10 times and probably out of reach of the LHC.
To suggest black holes as a potential source of dark matter is well within the "box", and thus the possibility has been meticulously researched, so I don't think you know where the "box" is. Gravitational microlensing observations tend to rule out a significant contribution of the missing mass from not only black holes but from any compact massive objects including planets with a mass larger than Earth.
originally posted by: FormOfTheLord
Going out of the box here and going to say dark matter is what is commonly known to us as black holes, or rifts in space time thus we are unable to comprehend it as it is considered the multiverse. It is the whole within the part and the part within the whole. Think fractals with the big bang in a multiversal type of thinking. . . .
Who really knows what it is, I am just guessing lol. . . . .
Eros could be right and Susy may show, but I tend to doubt it; I've lost faith in Susy.
originally posted by: mbkennel
You really think Susy's gonna show for that date tomorrow after standing you up over and over?
That's about how it looks to me too.
originally posted by: mbkennel
a reply to: Arbitrageur
My overall gut feeling
a) rotation curves are still there
but whenever we REALLY look for Dark Matter
b) local Solar neighborhood
c) microlensing
d) CERN
it somehow always seems to slipslide away.
I'm not sure if it's related to gravity, or if it's got something to do with temperature, thermal stress, etc, but I certainly wouldn't rule out the latter:
and then strange things like gravity, sometimes, maybe, changing during a solar eclipse? (and not at maximum totality but on entrance and exit)
This paper is intended to explain the observed anomaly by conducting the tilt experiment due to the thermal stress and temperature change in the solar eclipse.
404 Error - The Page Cannot be Found
www.physorg.com... [controversial and may be atmospheric fluid stuff but it's unclear]
Their empirical formula predicting the anomaly would be repeated on the second and third flyby or Rosetta failed, as there was no anomaly on the second flyby, and on the third flyby, there was practically no anomaly but the small anomaly measured was negative instead of positive like the others, so it's not a compelling case for any new physics.
and the flyby anomaly, (pioneer 10 seems to have been resolved)
journals.aps.org...
Together with ESA colleague and orbital mechanics specialist Frank Budnik, Morley co-authored a scientific report in 2006 that studied the Rosetta anomaly during the 2005 swingby and listed possible causes. These range from tidal effects peculiar to the near-Earth environment, atmospheric drag, or the pressure of radiation emitted or reflected by the Earth
If those anomalies are what they refer to as "tidal effects peculiar to the near-Earth environment" then that would be my first guess, and while I'm not opposed to the idea of new physics I see no compelling need for it with the data set related to these flybys, though admittedly based on limited knowledge of how well they've programmed the anomalies above found by the GRACE mission. Even if by some miracle they managed to program the GRACE mission data perfectly into their predicted flyby trajectory, how accurate is the GRACE mission data? Does it look any different at different altitudes? Maybe a mission with higher resolution measurements would reveal more detail of the anomalies.
Earth's gravity measured by NASA's GRACE mission, showing deviations from the theoretical gravity of an idealized smooth Earth, the so-called earth ellipsoid.
on a TV game show, where you know there are only three doors and you've eliminated door 1 and door 2, then you could use some logic along those lines to conclude it must be behind door #3. However I don't think the real world works like that. It may be impossible to even list all the possibilities, in order to determine what "whatever remains". There may be possibilities we didn't even think of so I don't see how we can make any conclusions about what remains.
channelling Sherlock Holmes..... "when you have eliminated the impossible, whatever remains, however improbable, must be the truth"
personally I haven't ruled that out, but I don't see how any modification of gravity theory by itself could solve all our observational conflicts like the bullet cluster which you said you're aware of. So even if there's something wrong with gravity theory, there's still something else, at least it appears that way.
maybe there's something about gravitation, maybe even classical gravitation, we have wrong
originally posted by: mbkennel
a reply to: Arbitrageur
My overall gut feeling
a) rotation curves are still there
but whenever we REALLY look for Dark Matter
b) local Solar neighborhood
c) microlensing
d) CERN
it somehow always seems to slipslide away.
Lol nice one.
originally posted by: [post=19410573]ErosA433 Either way, it is an exciting and vibrant field, and I can say that, for those who want to say we do it for the money, or we are a waste of money time and effort... Lets just say these experiments cost less than what a single NBA star gets a year... only, other than living a celebrity lifestyle upon retirement... we generally work 18+ hours a day, have to go down into dusty mine each day and basically figure out how to built insanely clean experiments... Then get told we have no clue what we are doing